England Championship Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cardiff City
Huddersfield
43.4%
30.7%
25.8%
+110
+275
+115
+260
0
0
-0.73459-0.72600-0.70804
Swansea City
Stoke City
42.1%
30.7%
27.2%
+201
+157
+195
+165
2
1
-0.77529-0.74822-0.54716
Bournemouth
Bristol City
43.4%
29.9%
26.7%
-123
+355
-125
+360
2
1
-0.33537-0.33024-0.52394
Barnsley
Queens Park Rangers
35.1%
37.4%
27.5%
+155
+192
+140
+200
3
1
-0.62770-0.58778-0.72412
Blackburn
Reading
35.8%
36.8%
27.4%
+221
+133
+215
+130
0
1
-0.54573-0.54822-0.67875
Luton Town
Nottingham Forest
30.5%
41.7%
27.8%
+356
-107
+360
-115
1
0
-1.21106-1.24140-0.86069
Middlesbrough
Coventry City
32.8%
37.6%
29.5%
+160
+196
+160
+195
2
1
-0.63040-0.63198-0.76400
Derby County
Cardiff City
29.3%
44.8%
25.9%
+285
+114
+290
+110
0
4
-0.44201-0.43078-0.50306
Birmingham City
Huddersfield
29.9%
43.7%
26.4%
+200
+151
+210
+150
1
1
-0.69712-0.69892-0.71128
Preston North End
Millwall
31.3%
40.5%
28.2%
+245
+132
+250
+130
1
2
-0.51432-0.50509-0.57245
Cardiff City
Middlesbrough
37.7%
34.2%
28.1%
+186
+165
+185
+165
1
1
-0.69388-0.69380-0.69428
Bristol City
Swansea City
25.7%
50.6%
23.7%
+473
-141
+475
-140
3
1
-1.47072-1.47116-1.08655
Sheffield Wednesday
Luton Town
33.2%
38.1%
28.6%
+245
+136
+240
+130
2
3
-0.52121-0.51669-0.62698
Huddersfield
Preston North End
28.9%
45.6%
25.5%
+218
+132
+215
+135
0
3
-0.54787-0.55734-0.49053
Reading
Rotherham United
36.1%
36.4%
27.6%
+126
+230
+125
+230
1
0
-0.52167-0.51988-0.69766
Stoke City
Brentford
24.9%
52.5%
22.6%
+385
-123
+375
-120
1
2
-0.31759-0.32641-0.38880
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.