England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 12, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Queens Park Rangers
West Bromwich Albion 		18.9%
59.4%		21.7%
+240
+115

1.00
1.95		2.95
o2½-120
u2½+100

Birmingham City
Derby County 		21.9%
52.6%		25.4%
+116
+260

0.91
1.56		2.47
o2½+112
u2½-134

Cardiff City
Bolton Wanderers 		76.6%
8.6%		14.8%
+150
+165

2.56
0.75		3.31
o3-105
u3-108

Norwich City
Middlesbrough 		48.8%
23.9%		27.2%
+283
-114

1.41
0.89		2.30
o3-112
u3-107

Stoke City
Watford 		22.5%
51.6%		25.9%
+196
+139

0.91
1.52		2.43
o2½-110
u2½-110

Burnley
Swansea City 		41.4%
30.0%		28.7%
+263
+100

1.23
1.00		2.23
o2½-114
u2½-105

Millwall
Blackburn 		28.7%
43.9%		27.4%
+150
+180

1.04
1.34		2.38
o2½-112
u2½-105

Games for Sep 11, 2026
Games for Sep 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Preston North End
Cardiff City		30.9%
43.3%		25.8%
+306
+102
+315
-105
0
4		-0.40383-0.38556-0.83619
Swansea City
Huddersfield		52.2%
24.9%		22.8%
+125
+260
+120
+260
1
4		-0.95550-0.96940-1.38950
Luton Town
Stoke City		29.4%
44.7%		26.0%
+265
+125
+275
+120
0
3		-0.48023-0.46164-0.80629
Birmingham City
Sheffield Wednesday		27.2%
47.1%		25.8%
+196
+172
+200
+170
1
0		-0.73633-0.74722-0.63643
Middlesbrough
Reading		30.5%
42.7%		26.7%
+210
+153
+210
+150
2
0		-0.79989-0.80647-0.55746
Barnsley
Bristol City		30.9%
42.2%		26.9%
-101
+300
-105
+310
1
0		-0.40381-0.38946-0.54829
Wycombe Wanderers
Millwall		50.0%
50.0%		0.0%
+385
-125
+400
-130
0
0		-0.81123-0.82240
Blackburn
Nottingham Forest		37.4%
34.2%		28.5%
+190
+161
+195
+165
0
1		-0.64186-0.64095-1.07394
Bournemouth
Queens Park Rangers		50.0%
26.8%		23.3%
+131
+210
+130
+220
1
2		-0.85099-0.87184-1.31845
Brentford
Coventry City		47.9%
26.9%		25.3%
+120
+278
-125
+360
0
2		-0.99997-1.26851-1.31442
Derby County
Watford		24.0%
52.0%		24.0%
+400
-122
+400
-125
1
2		-0.31038-0.30748-0.65331
Rotherham United
Bournemouth		50.0%
50.0%		0.0%
+375
-130
+380
-135
0
1		-0.31662-0.30942
Blackburn
Barnsley		40.2%
32.7%		27.1%
+180
+156
+180
+160
1
2		-0.64934-0.65678-1.11734
Norwich City
Coventry City		44.3%
28.0%		27.7%
-144
+414
-135
+410
2
0		-0.28493-0.29366-0.32800
Birmingham City
Millwall		23.8%
52.8%		23.4%
+330
+120
+300
+120
0
2		-0.41318-0.43826-0.63841
Brentford
Queens Park Rangers		53.5%
25.2%		21.4%
-105
+300
-120
+325
1
2		-1.11474-1.19942-1.37999
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.