England Championship Predictions

Updated 4 days ago

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Games for Nov 15, 2024

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
12/09/2023 03:00 PM	Bristol City Huddersfield	41.9% 30.6%	27.5%	+150 +225 +140 +220	1 1	-1.18312-1.18185	-1.29157
12/09/2023 03:00 PM	Sheffield Wednesday Stoke City	26.1% 46.8%	27.0%	+310 +118 +310 +100	1 0	-1.40772-1.46132	-1.34320
12/09/2023 03:00 PM	Millwall Cardiff City	30.1% 42.1%	27.7%	+280 +121 +275 +110	0 1	-0.81150-0.79125	-0.86491
12/09/2023 03:00 PM	Hull City Queens Park Rangers	41.1% 33.0%	25.9%	+140 +220 +135 +210	0 2	-1.18617-1.18127	-1.10951
12/09/2023 03:00 PM	Preston North End Norwich City	19.3% 56.6%	24.2%	+310 -110 +300 -105	0 0	-1.35553-1.28910	-1.41977
12/09/2023 12:30 PM	Leeds United Blackburn	55.9% 20.8%	23.2%	-130 +335 -135 +325	2 0	-0.59784-0.60658	-0.58100
12/08/2023 08:00 PM	Birmingham City Coventry City	21.6% 52.7%	25.7%	+385 -135 +380 -145	0 2	-0.58451-0.57647	-0.63999
11/29/2023 07:45 PM	Birmingham City Blackburn	15.8% 63.4%	20.8%	+350 -123 +340 -130	2 4	-0.62474-0.61828	-0.45646
11/29/2023 07:45 PM	Swansea City Leeds United	21.4% 54.2%	24.3%	+840 -302 +800 -315	1 3	-0.31562-0.32327	-0.61195
11/28/2023 07:45 PM	Stoke City Queens Park Rangers	40.8% 32.3%	26.9%	+163 +230 +175 +200	2 4	-1.18013-1.12316	-1.13032
11/28/2023 07:45 PM	Preston North End Middlesbrough	33.2% 38.0%	28.7%	+450 -145 +435 -155	0 4	-0.55415-0.54775	-0.96666
11/28/2023 07:45 PM	Rotherham United Hull City	29.9% 44.4%	25.6%	+705 -215 +600 -210	1 4	-0.40351-0.43841	-0.81128
11/28/2023 07:45 PM	West Bromwich Albion Cardiff City	38.6% 34.3%	27.1%	+155 +240 +140 +215	1 0	-0.92533-0.92576	-0.95210
11/25/2023 03:00 PM	Hull City Swansea City	21.6% 54.9%	23.5%	+185 +191 +150 +185	2 2	-1.19779-1.24643	-1.44719
11/25/2023 03:00 PM	Queens Park Rangers Norwich City	15.9% 63.0%	21.2%	+360 -127 +365 -140	0 1	-0.61035-0.58926	-0.46229
11/25/2023 03:00 PM	Cardiff City Preston North End	37.2% 35.1%	27.7%	+230 +140 +225 +135	2 1	-1.22095-1.22809	-0.98918

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21

		Regular Season				Postseason
#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
2	West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)	23.4	7.2	15.4	85.6	33.5%	90.8%	9.2%	0.0%
3	Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)	21.3	12.1	12.6	76.5	1.0%	6.8%	87.7%	0.0%
3	Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)	23.7	8.9	13.4	84.5	23.9%	50.2%	49.0%	0.0%
5	Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)	20.4	14.6	10.9	72.3	0.5%	1.7%	63.1%	0.0%
6	Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)	19.4	11.9	14.8	72.9	0.6%	2.9%	70.6%	0.0%
7	Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)	17.5	16.5	11.9	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.7%	0.0%
8	Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)	16.7	17.5	11.9	61.9	0.0%	0.0%	5.9%	0.8%
9	Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)	17.8	17.0	11.2	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.2%	0.2%
10	Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)	15.2	13.8	17.0	62.6	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	0.6%
11	Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)	16.9	17.8	11.3	62.0	0.0%	0.0%	5.0%	1.0%
12	Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)	17.7	20.4	7.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.8%	1.7%
13	Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)	18.1	20.1	7.8	62.1	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%	0.7%
14	Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)	14.0	13.1	18.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.3%	0.8%
15	Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)	15.6	18.2	12.2	59.0	0.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.1%
17	Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)	13.8	18.2	14.0	55.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	8.8%
18	Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)	14.0	17.6	14.4	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	9.3%
19	Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)	14.0	21.3	10.7	52.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	24.0%
20	Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)	14.0	19.7	12.3	54.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	17.6%
21	Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)	13.9	21.4	10.7	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.6%
21	Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)	12.5	18.7	14.8	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	27.9%
23	Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)	10.3	21.1	14.6	45.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.