England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 12, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Queens Park Rangers
West Bromwich Albion 		18.9%
59.4%		21.7%
+245
+115

1.00
1.95		2.95
o2½-120
u2½+100

Birmingham City
Derby County 		21.9%
52.6%		25.4%
+116
+247

0.91
1.56		2.47
o2½+112
u2½-134

Cardiff City
Bolton Wanderers 		76.6%
8.6%		14.8%
+157
+155

2.56
0.75		3.31
o3+100
u3-120

Norwich City
Middlesbrough 		48.8%
23.9%		27.2%
+283
-114

1.41
0.89		2.30
o3-112
u3-107

Stoke City
Watford 		22.5%
51.6%		25.9%
+196
+139

0.91
1.52		2.43
o2½-110
u2½-110

Burnley
Swansea City 		41.4%
30.0%		28.7%
+224
+117

1.23
1.00		2.23
o2½-112
u2½-108

Millwall
Blackburn 		28.7%
43.9%		27.4%
+145
+189

1.04
1.34		2.38
o2½-112
u2½-106

Games for Sep 11, 2026
Games for Sep 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Hull City
Sheffield Wednesday		38.5%
33.6%		27.8%
+255
+111
+250
+110
1
0		-1.31550-1.30324-0.95436
Watford
Bristol City		44.7%
27.7%		27.6%
+295
-110
+320
-115
1
2		-0.71131-0.67523-1.28244
Cardiff City
Queens Park Rangers		43.5%
30.8%		25.7%
+215
+133
+230
+130
0
0		-1.20956-1.21221-1.35841
Derby County
Swansea City		17.9%
58.6%		23.5%
+290
+120
+315
+115
0
1		-0.85433-0.81511-0.53433
Stoke City
Preston North End		34.9%
36.7%		28.4%
+195
+150
+210
+150
1
1		-1.16844-1.16437-1.26012
Burnley
Coventry City		59.3%
16.9%		23.8%
+125
+220
+150
+200
2
1		-0.86919-0.96582-0.52177
Leeds United
Luton Town		66.4%
13.8%		19.7%
-152
+460
-180
+485
1
1		-1.38874-1.48567-1.62283
Middlesbrough
Blackburn		25.1%
49.1%		25.8%
+145
+180
+140
+195
2
0		-0.96220-0.92402-1.38099
Preston North End
Derby County		33.9%
37.2%		28.9%
+280
+123
+295
+115
0
2		-0.86848-0.81579-0.99015
West Bromwich Albion
Norwich City		27.9%
44.5%		27.5%
+250
+105
+265
+110
0
1		-0.78329-0.78117-0.80880
Bristol City
Burnley		14.1%
64.9%		20.9%
+380
-132
+420
-135
0
1		-0.62124-0.60547-0.43205
Swansea City
Leeds United		21.4%
54.2%		24.3%
+1000
-357
+1200
-410
2
2		-1.71108-1.81689-1.41313
Queens Park Rangers
Stoke City		25.2%
49.9%		24.8%
+245
+120
+265
+115
1
3		-0.85329-0.81577-0.69417
Sheffield Wednesday
Cardiff City		24.7%
49.7%		25.6%
+155
+175
+150
+190
1
1		-1.24022-1.22984-1.36145
Luton Town
Hull City		26.5%
48.4%		25.2%
+205
+135
+235
+130
1
0		-1.17002-1.25372-1.32901
Middlesbrough
Luton Town		34.1%
36.9%		29.0%
+160
+160
+165
+160
0
0		-1.29580-1.28888-1.23846
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.