England Championship Predictions

Updated 5 days ago

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Games for Nov 14, 2024

Games for Nov 16, 2024

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/22/2023 02:00 PM	Swansea City Norwich City	31.3% 39.3%	29.4%	+291 -105 +285 -110	3 0	-1.40246-1.39707	-1.16066
04/22/2023 02:00 PM	Queens Park Rangers Burnley	10.7% 72.0%	17.3%	+885 -278 +725 -280	2 1	-2.31922-2.15935	-2.23241
04/15/2023 06:45 PM	Hull City Blackburn	29.2% 45.4%	25.4%	+460 -150 +425 -150	0 0	-1.39727-1.39707	-1.37085
04/15/2023 02:00 PM	Coventry City Queens Park Rangers	35.1% 36.4%	28.4%	+145 +213 +150 +190	3 0	-0.92900-0.96748	-1.04566
04/15/2023 02:00 PM	West Bromwich Albion Stoke City	40.3% 32.2%	27.5%	+245 +120 +245 +120	2 1	-1.26965-1.28913	-0.90904
04/15/2023 02:00 PM	Bristol City Watford	21.4% 53.5%	25.1%	+285 +100 +290 +100	0 2	-0.72998-0.74244	-0.62558
04/15/2023 02:00 PM	Luton Town Rotherham United	29.1% 44.6%	26.3%	+107 +311 +100 +320	2 0	-0.75656-0.73791	-1.23515
04/15/2023 02:00 PM	Huddersfield Swansea City	14.3% 65.2%	20.5%	+486 -165 +460 -170	0 1	-0.50803-0.51341	-0.42725
04/15/2023 02:00 PM	Preston North End Millwall	29.3% 42.4%	28.3%	+373 -107 +355 -110	0 2	-0.69345-0.69663	-0.85802
04/15/2023 02:00 PM	Burnley Reading	55.2% 20.5%	24.3%	-189 +617 -195 +610	0 0	-1.45504-1.43683	-1.41576
04/14/2023 07:00 PM	Norwich City Middlesbrough	48.8% 23.9%	27.2%	+282 -101 +270 -105	1 5	-0.71660-0.72044	-1.42974
04/10/2023 04:30 PM	Middlesbrough Bristol City	29.3% 42.9%	27.8%	-105 +265 +100 +265	2 2	-1.34289-1.33139	-1.28071
04/10/2023 02:00 PM	Queens Park Rangers West Bromwich Albion	18.9% 59.4%	21.7%	+469 -136 +450 -150	2 2	-1.31026-1.35911	-1.52952
04/10/2023 02:00 PM	Millwall Hull City	32.3% 39.9%	27.9%	+143 +234 +135 +235	0 1	-1.23791-1.25956	-0.91985
04/10/2023 02:00 PM	Reading Preston North End	35.4% 36.4%	28.1%	+452 -129 +405 -130	1 2	-0.60051-0.62228	-1.00937
04/10/2023 02:00 PM	Watford Coventry City	47.4% 24.7%	27.8%	+282 +106 +250 +120	2 2	-1.30155-1.21456	-1.27927

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21

		Regular Season				Postseason
#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
2	West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)	23.4	7.2	15.4	85.6	33.5%	90.8%	9.2%	0.0%
3	Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)	21.3	12.1	12.6	76.5	1.0%	6.8%	87.7%	0.0%
3	Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)	23.7	8.9	13.4	84.5	23.9%	50.2%	49.0%	0.0%
5	Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)	20.4	14.6	10.9	72.3	0.5%	1.7%	63.1%	0.0%
6	Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)	19.4	11.9	14.8	72.9	0.6%	2.9%	70.6%	0.0%
7	Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)	17.5	16.5	11.9	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.7%	0.0%
8	Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)	16.7	17.5	11.9	61.9	0.0%	0.0%	5.9%	0.8%
9	Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)	17.8	17.0	11.2	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.2%	0.2%
10	Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)	15.2	13.8	17.0	62.6	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	0.6%
11	Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)	16.9	17.8	11.3	62.0	0.0%	0.0%	5.0%	1.0%
12	Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)	17.7	20.4	7.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.8%	1.7%
13	Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)	18.1	20.1	7.8	62.1	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%	0.7%
14	Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)	14.0	13.1	18.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.3%	0.8%
15	Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)	15.6	18.2	12.2	59.0	0.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.1%
17	Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)	13.8	18.2	14.0	55.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	8.8%
18	Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)	14.0	17.6	14.4	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	9.3%
19	Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)	14.0	21.3	10.7	52.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	24.0%
20	Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)	14.0	19.7	12.3	54.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	17.6%
21	Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)	13.9	21.4	10.7	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.6%
21	Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)	12.5	18.7	14.8	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	27.9%
23	Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)	10.3	21.1	14.6	45.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.