England Championship Predictions

Updated 6 days ago

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Games for Nov 15, 2024

Games for Nov 17, 2024

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
11/05/2022 03:00 PM	Hull City Millwall	32.1% 40.1%	27.9%	+343 -105 +355 -120	0 0	-1.26578-1.30247	-1.27816
11/04/2022 08:00 PM	Preston North End Reading	29.3% 44.1%	26.6%	+245 +137 +235 +130	2 1	-1.26525-1.25846	-1.22816
11/02/2022 07:45 PM	Queens Park Rangers Norwich City	15.9% 63.0%	21.2%	+287 +106 +280 +100	0 0	-1.28601-1.30048	-1.55339
11/02/2022 07:45 PM	Watford Cardiff City	41.2% 30.9%	27.9%	+161 +203 +150 +195	2 1	-0.98567-0.96648	-0.88581
11/02/2022 07:45 PM	Millwall Birmingham City	49.1% 24.0%	26.9%	+228 +146 +225 +135	0 0	-1.18241-1.19683	-1.31438
11/02/2022 07:45 PM	Stoke City Wigan Athletic	64.0% 15.3%	20.6%	+168 +193 +160 +190	1 0	-1.00772-1.00622	-0.44601
11/01/2022 07:45 PM	Swansea City Preston North End	48.2% 25.6%	26.2%	+222 +152 +210 +140	0 1	-0.94394-0.92591	-1.36180
11/01/2022 07:45 PM	Blackburn Coventry City	40.3% 31.6%	28.1%	+227 +144 +210 +145	0 1	-0.91787-0.94317	-1.15334
11/01/2022 07:45 PM	Reading Luton Town	39.7% 32.8%	27.5%	+309 +105 +285 +105	0 0	-1.24984-1.24327	-1.29168
11/01/2022 07:45 PM	Middlesbrough Hull City	28.6% 45.0%	26.5%	+158 +207 +135 +215	3 1	-0.96858-0.90387	-1.25344
10/25/2022 06:45 PM	Rotherham United Coventry City	33.4% 38.2%	28.4%	+500 -146 +500 -160	2 2	-1.35611-1.36932	-1.25892
10/23/2022 11:00 AM	Luton Town Watford	17.5% 59.4%	23.1%	+264 +124 +225 +130	0 4	-0.83308-0.88187	-0.52152
10/23/2022 11:00 AM	Cardiff City Swansea City	23.3% 52.0%	24.7%	+274 +120 +250 +115	0 2	-0.80352-0.81362	-0.65452
10/22/2022 02:00 PM	Wigan Athletic Queens Park Rangers	15.4% 64.9%	19.7%	+328 +100 +320 -110	1 2	-0.71474-0.69709	-0.43275
10/22/2022 02:00 PM	Hull City Rotherham United	35.7% 37.6%	26.7%	+200 +160 +210 +135	4 2	-1.12485-1.18127	-1.03058
10/22/2022 02:00 PM	Birmingham City Blackburn	15.8% 63.4%	20.8%	+273 +126 +260 +115	1 2	-0.82888-0.81482	-0.45646

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21

		Regular Season				Postseason
#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
2	West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)	23.4	7.2	15.4	85.6	33.5%	90.8%	9.2%	0.0%
3	Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)	21.3	12.1	12.6	76.5	1.0%	6.8%	87.7%	0.0%
3	Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)	23.7	8.9	13.4	84.5	23.9%	50.2%	49.0%	0.0%
5	Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)	20.4	14.6	10.9	72.3	0.5%	1.7%	63.1%	0.0%
6	Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)	19.4	11.9	14.8	72.9	0.6%	2.9%	70.6%	0.0%
7	Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)	17.5	16.5	11.9	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.7%	0.0%
8	Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)	16.7	17.5	11.9	61.9	0.0%	0.0%	5.9%	0.8%
9	Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)	17.8	17.0	11.2	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.2%	0.2%
10	Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)	15.2	13.8	17.0	62.6	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	0.6%
11	Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)	16.9	17.8	11.3	62.0	0.0%	0.0%	5.0%	1.0%
12	Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)	17.7	20.4	7.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.8%	1.7%
13	Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)	18.1	20.1	7.8	62.1	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%	0.7%
14	Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)	14.0	13.1	18.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.3%	0.8%
15	Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)	15.6	18.2	12.2	59.0	0.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.1%
17	Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)	13.8	18.2	14.0	55.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	8.8%
18	Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)	14.0	17.6	14.4	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	9.3%
19	Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)	14.0	21.3	10.7	52.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	24.0%
20	Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)	14.0	19.7	12.3	54.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	17.6%
21	Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)	13.9	21.4	10.7	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.6%
21	Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)	12.5	18.7	14.8	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	27.9%
23	Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)	10.3	21.1	14.6	45.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.