England Championship Predictions

Updated 6 days ago

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Games for Nov 16, 2024

Games for Nov 18, 2024

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
10/07/2022 07:00 PM	Reading Queens Park Rangers	41.5% 32.1%	26.4%	+322 +101 +310 -110	1 2	-0.72136-0.69866	-1.13703
10/05/2022 07:00 PM	West Bromwich Albion Preston North End	43.8% 29.5%	26.7%	+152 +218 +145 +210	0 1	-1.17568-1.17847	-1.22122
10/05/2022 06:45 PM	Millwall Rotherham United	34.8% 36.4%	28.8%	+188 +169 +190 +160	1 1	-1.20925-1.18215	-1.24518
10/05/2022 06:45 PM	Swansea City Watford	32.6% 37.9%	29.5%	+366 -115 +355 -120	2 1	-1.55855-1.56480	-1.12123
10/05/2022 06:45 PM	Wigan Athletic Hull City	11.1% 72.2%	16.6%	+209 +158 +190 +155	1 2	-0.96651-0.98438	-0.32547
10/05/2022 06:45 PM	Stoke City Burnley	15.0% 63.3%	21.6%	+503 -160 +475 -160	1 1	-1.42833-1.39594	-1.53058
10/05/2022 06:45 PM	Birmingham City Middlesbrough	21.4% 53.5%	25.1%	+441 -133 +425 -145	0 1	-0.58629-0.57235	-0.62513
10/04/2022 07:00 PM	Blackburn Cardiff City	34.2% 38.9%	26.9%	+217 +142 +220 +130	0 1	-0.90887-0.88201	-0.94438
10/04/2022 07:00 PM	Norwich City Reading	44.2% 28.2%	27.6%	+105 +300 -110 +300	1 1	-1.28215-1.33124	-1.28837
10/04/2022 06:45 PM	Coventry City Bristol City	29.0% 43.1%	27.9%	+237 +121 +235 +115	0 0	-1.32370-1.30092	-1.27697
10/04/2022 06:45 PM	Huddersfield Luton Town	28.6% 44.5%	26.9%	+500 -144 +475 -155	3 3	-1.34696-1.35903	-1.31282
10/02/2022 11:00 AM	Watford Stoke City	42.8% 28.9%	28.2%	+175 +170 +180 +160	4 0	-1.05521-1.07790	-0.84866
10/01/2022 02:00 PM	Huddersfield Reading	22.4% 53.3%	24.2%	+240 +140 +225 +135	1 3	-0.90234-0.90387	-0.62860
10/01/2022 02:00 PM	Millwall Blackburn	28.7% 43.9%	27.4%	+260 +130 +230 +130	1 2	-0.84749-0.88201	-0.82371
10/01/2022 02:00 PM	Middlesbrough Coventry City	31.8% 38.6%	29.6%	+144 +212 +135 +200	0 1	-1.15951-1.15024	-0.95143
10/01/2022 02:00 PM	Swansea City West Bromwich Albion	36.1% 35.4%	28.5%	+414 -137 +410 -145	3 2	-1.66956-1.67906	-1.01960

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21

		Regular Season				Postseason
#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
2	West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)	23.4	7.2	15.4	85.6	33.5%	90.8%	9.2%	0.0%
3	Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)	21.3	12.1	12.6	76.5	1.0%	6.8%	87.7%	0.0%
3	Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)	23.7	8.9	13.4	84.5	23.9%	50.2%	49.0%	0.0%
5	Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)	20.4	14.6	10.9	72.3	0.5%	1.7%	63.1%	0.0%
6	Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)	19.4	11.9	14.8	72.9	0.6%	2.9%	70.6%	0.0%
7	Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)	17.5	16.5	11.9	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.7%	0.0%
8	Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)	16.7	17.5	11.9	61.9	0.0%	0.0%	5.9%	0.8%
9	Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)	17.8	17.0	11.2	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.2%	0.2%
10	Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)	15.2	13.8	17.0	62.6	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	0.6%
11	Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)	16.9	17.8	11.3	62.0	0.0%	0.0%	5.0%	1.0%
12	Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)	17.7	20.4	7.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.8%	1.7%
13	Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)	18.1	20.1	7.8	62.1	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%	0.7%
14	Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)	14.0	13.1	18.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.3%	0.8%
15	Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)	15.6	18.2	12.2	59.0	0.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.1%
17	Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)	13.8	18.2	14.0	55.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	8.8%
18	Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)	14.0	17.6	14.4	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	9.3%
19	Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)	14.0	21.3	10.7	52.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	24.0%
20	Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)	14.0	19.7	12.3	54.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	17.6%
21	Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)	13.9	21.4	10.7	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.6%
21	Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)	12.5	18.7	14.8	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	27.9%
23	Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)	10.3	21.1	14.6	45.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.