England Championship Predictions

Updated 6 days ago

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Games for Nov 16, 2024

Games for Nov 18, 2024

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
09/13/2022 07:00 PM	Burnley Preston North End	58.5% 18.1%	23.4%	+149 +210 +140 +210	1 1	-1.23564-1.21362	-1.45051
09/13/2022 06:45 PM	Cardiff City Middlesbrough	38.4% 33.5%	28.1%	+448 -135 +450 -145	3 2	-1.72800-1.75493	-0.95693
09/13/2022 06:45 PM	Watford Blackburn	39.5% 32.3%	28.2%	+186 +176 +165 +180	0 2	-1.03010-1.08028	-1.12871
09/13/2022 06:45 PM	Stoke City Hull City	32.9% 40.2%	26.9%	+166 +193 +150 +185	3 0	-0.99929-0.96880	-1.11313
09/13/2022 06:45 PM	Wigan Athletic Huddersfield	17.4% 60.8%	21.8%	+199 +162 +190 +160	2 1	-1.11972-1.11541	-1.74801
09/04/2022 11:00 AM	Stoke City Reading	31.9% 40.5%	27.5%	+157 +197 +145 +200	1 2	-1.11789-1.14662	-0.90293
09/03/2022 02:00 PM	Birmingham City Preston North End	20.3% 55.8%	23.9%	+425 -123 +425 -130	1 0	-1.68169-1.69876	-1.59411
09/03/2022 02:00 PM	Bristol City Blackburn	27.9% 46.2%	25.9%	+223 +131 +210 +130	3 2	-1.19561-1.18159	-1.27787
09/03/2022 02:00 PM	Cardiff City Millwall	33.8% 37.4%	28.8%	+267 +126 +270 +115	0 2	-0.84056-0.81697	-0.98465
09/03/2022 02:00 PM	Coventry City Norwich City	18.0% 57.3%	24.7%	+451 -145 +380 -140	0 3	-0.54103-0.58913	-0.55670
09/03/2022 02:00 PM	Queens Park Rangers Swansea City	16.0% 63.4%	20.6%	+202 +155 +210 +130	0 1	-0.95420-0.88312	-0.45515
09/03/2022 02:00 PM	Wigan Athletic Luton Town	14.8% 65.0%	20.2%	+302 +113 +270 +110	2 1	-1.41231-1.36106	-1.90892
09/02/2022 07:00 PM	Burnley West Bromwich Albion	46.7% 26.5%	26.7%	+235 +133 +260 +110	1 1	-1.25576-1.26012	-1.31875
08/31/2022 06:45 PM	Swansea City Stoke City	44.5% 28.1%	27.3%	+265 +117 +245 +115	1 1	-1.25435-1.27168	-1.29865
08/31/2022 06:45 PM	Preston North End Coventry City	33.4% 37.5%	29.1%	+238 +134 +230 +130	1 0	-1.24289-1.24303	-1.09590
08/31/2022 06:45 PM	Huddersfield Bristol City	23.9% 50.8%	25.3%	+366 -125 +350 -130	0 2	-0.61658-0.61990	-0.67686

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21

		Regular Season				Postseason
#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
2	West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)	23.4	7.2	15.4	85.6	33.5%	90.8%	9.2%	0.0%
3	Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)	21.3	12.1	12.6	76.5	1.0%	6.8%	87.7%	0.0%
3	Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)	23.7	8.9	13.4	84.5	23.9%	50.2%	49.0%	0.0%
5	Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)	20.4	14.6	10.9	72.3	0.5%	1.7%	63.1%	0.0%
6	Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)	19.4	11.9	14.8	72.9	0.6%	2.9%	70.6%	0.0%
7	Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)	17.5	16.5	11.9	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.7%	0.0%
8	Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)	16.7	17.5	11.9	61.9	0.0%	0.0%	5.9%	0.8%
9	Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)	17.8	17.0	11.2	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.2%	0.2%
10	Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)	15.2	13.8	17.0	62.6	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	0.6%
11	Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)	16.9	17.8	11.3	62.0	0.0%	0.0%	5.0%	1.0%
12	Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)	17.7	20.4	7.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.8%	1.7%
13	Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)	18.1	20.1	7.8	62.1	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%	0.7%
14	Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)	14.0	13.1	18.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.3%	0.8%
15	Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)	15.6	18.2	12.2	59.0	0.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.1%
17	Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)	13.8	18.2	14.0	55.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	8.8%
18	Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)	14.0	17.6	14.4	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	9.3%
19	Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)	14.0	21.3	10.7	52.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	24.0%
20	Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)	14.0	19.7	12.3	54.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	17.6%
21	Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)	13.9	21.4	10.7	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.6%
21	Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)	12.5	18.7	14.8	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	27.9%
23	Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)	10.3	21.1	14.6	45.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.