England Championship Predictions

Updated

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Games for Nov 16, 2024
Games for Nov 18, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Middlesbrough
Watford
19.2%
56.0%
24.8%
+236
+145
+190
+155
1
2
-0.91327-0.98438-0.58010
Millwall
Burnley
14.9%
62.3%
22.8%
+406
-116
+385
-125
0
2
-0.64107-0.63811-0.47348
Hull City
Queens Park Rangers
41.1%
33.0%
25.9%
+382
-125
+345
-125
1
3
-0.61363-0.63709-1.10951
Luton Town
Cardiff City
24.5%
50.7%
24.8%
+207
+162
+200
+160
2
1
-1.14923-1.14863-1.40674
West Bromwich Albion
Wigan Athletic
71.9%
11.0%
17.1%
+105
+308
+105
+280
1
1
-1.26294-1.25727-1.76791
Norwich City
Birmingham City
62.7%
15.2%
22.1%
-123
+369
-130
+360
2
1
-0.62256-0.61865-0.46716
Coventry City
Hull City
28.2%
45.1%
26.7%
+142
+218
+125
+220
2
3
-1.17928-1.21295-0.79604
West Bromwich Albion
Huddersfield
53.1%
22.6%
24.3%
-145
+473
-120
+340
2
2
-1.39683-1.33018-1.41609
Reading
Millwall
32.4%
39.0%
28.6%
+437
-126
+380
-125
1
0
-1.70210-1.62100-1.12612
Queens Park Rangers
Watford
16.8%
61.6%
21.6%
+308
+105
+315
+100
3
2
-1.42858-1.45762-1.78635
Birmingham City
Rotherham United
20.6%
56.1%
23.4%
+286
+116
+295
+100
0
2
-0.79487-0.74354-0.57887
Preston North End
Cardiff City
28.0%
46.1%
25.9%
+174
+203
+170
+185
0
0
-1.14662-1.15176-1.34950
Swansea City
Middlesbrough
49.3%
24.3%
26.5%
+426
-140
+390
-140
1
2
-0.56402-0.59167-1.41527
Stoke City
Blackburn
29.2%
44.4%
26.4%
+213
+148
+190
+150
1
0
-1.16466-1.11590-1.23114
Cardiff City
Bristol City
35.6%
36.6%
27.9%
+252
+130
+235
+125
0
2
-0.85458-0.86034-1.00643
Wigan Athletic
Birmingham City
21.8%
53.8%
24.3%
+165
+217
+150
+200
1
0
-0.98083-0.96111-1.52138
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.