England Championship Predictions

Updated 7 days ago

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Games for Nov 19, 2024

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/18/2022 02:00 PM	Bournemouth Coventry City	49.2% 24.0%	26.8%	+168 +179 +145 +190	3 0	-1.01033-0.94631	-0.70950
04/18/2022 02:00 PM	Stoke City Blackburn	29.2% 44.4%	26.4%	+319 +105 +295 +100	1 0	-1.45308-1.42412	-1.23114
04/18/2022 11:30 AM	Huddersfield Middlesbrough	26.2% 46.9%	26.8%	+414 -125 +350 -125	2 0	-1.66231-1.55452	-1.33800
04/15/2022 07:00 PM	Fulham Derby County	53.6% 20.9%	25.4%	-153 +495 -170 +495	1 2	-1.80777-1.83609	-1.56523
04/15/2022 04:30 PM	Queens Park Rangers Huddersfield	35.4% 37.3%	27.3%	+364 -110 +310 -110	2 2	-1.28978-1.31517	-1.29733
04/15/2022 02:00 PM	Cardiff City Hull City	34.9% 38.4%	26.7%	+229 +142 +200 +150	1 2	-0.91018-0.96582	-0.95774
04/15/2022 02:00 PM	Barnsley Swansea City	17.6% 59.7%	22.8%	+450 -143 +425 -155	1 1	-1.38346-1.42391	-1.47990
04/15/2022 02:00 PM	Bristol City Stoke City	30.8% 41.6%	27.5%	+387 -120 +410 -145	1 0	-1.59627-1.67906	-1.17762
04/15/2022 02:00 PM	Millwall Preston North End	34.2% 36.3%	29.5%	+234 +145 +225 +135	1 1	-1.17649-1.19683	-1.22234
04/15/2022 02:00 PM	Middlesbrough Bournemouth	18.5% 57.8%	23.8%	+338 -108 +300 -105	0 0	-1.30593-1.28910	-1.43616
04/15/2022 02:00 PM	Coventry City Birmingham City	44.0% 27.8%	28.2%	+105 +275 +105 +250	4 2	-0.74087-0.75724	-0.82109
04/15/2022 11:30 AM	Nottingham Forest Luton Town	35.5% 34.9%	29.6%	+175 +181 +130 +215	0 1	-1.05458-1.19690	-1.05329
04/11/2022 06:45 PM	Luton Town Huddersfield	35.8% 35.6%	28.6%	+224 +150 +210 +145	0 2	-0.93818-0.94804	-1.03339
04/10/2022 02:00 PM	Coventry City Fulham	15.9% 61.1%	22.9%	+704 -242 +650 -235	3 1	-2.11395-2.05925	-1.83753
04/09/2022 02:00 PM	Barnsley Millwall	26.9% 45.2%	27.9%	+464 -123 +420 -140	1 4	-0.61190-0.59104	-0.79398
04/09/2022 02:00 PM	Cardiff City Reading	34.0% 38.8%	27.1%	+257 +125 +220 +130	2 1	-1.29711-1.21224	-1.07884

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21

		Regular Season				Postseason
#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
2	West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)	23.4	7.2	15.4	85.6	33.5%	90.8%	9.2%	0.0%
3	Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)	21.3	12.1	12.6	76.5	1.0%	6.8%	87.7%	0.0%
3	Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)	23.7	8.9	13.4	84.5	23.9%	50.2%	49.0%	0.0%
5	Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)	20.4	14.6	10.9	72.3	0.5%	1.7%	63.1%	0.0%
6	Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)	19.4	11.9	14.8	72.9	0.6%	2.9%	70.6%	0.0%
7	Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)	17.5	16.5	11.9	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.7%	0.0%
8	Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)	16.7	17.5	11.9	61.9	0.0%	0.0%	5.9%	0.8%
9	Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)	17.8	17.0	11.2	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.2%	0.2%
10	Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)	15.2	13.8	17.0	62.6	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	0.6%
11	Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)	16.9	17.8	11.3	62.0	0.0%	0.0%	5.0%	1.0%
12	Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)	17.7	20.4	7.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.8%	1.7%
13	Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)	18.1	20.1	7.8	62.1	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%	0.7%
14	Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)	14.0	13.1	18.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.3%	0.8%
15	Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)	15.6	18.2	12.2	59.0	0.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.1%
17	Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)	13.8	18.2	14.0	55.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	8.8%
18	Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)	14.0	17.6	14.4	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	9.3%
19	Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)	14.0	21.3	10.7	52.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	24.0%
20	Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)	14.0	19.7	12.3	54.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	17.6%
21	Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)	13.9	21.4	10.7	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.6%
21	Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)	12.5	18.7	14.8	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	27.9%
23	Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)	10.3	21.1	14.6	45.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.