England Championship Predictions

Updated 13 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
10/16/2021 02:00 PM	Bournemouth Bristol City	44.2% 30.4%	25.4%	-113 +320 -110 +330	2 0	-0.68148-0.69589	-0.81719
10/16/2021 11:30 AM	Queens Park Rangers Fulham	20.6% 59.7%	19.6%	+390 -152 +420 -165	1 4	-0.54407-0.52548	-0.51562
10/15/2021 07:00 PM	Birmingham City West Bromwich Albion	20.0% 60.5%	19.5%	+525 -176 +500 -170	0 1	-0.49650-0.50203	-0.50243
10/02/2021 02:00 PM	Millwall Barnsley	37.5% 35.2%	27.2%	+167 +204 +160 +200	1 0	-1.01611-1.00550	-0.97987
10/02/2021 02:00 PM	Reading Cardiff City	33.7% 41.5%	24.8%	+280 +101 +280 +100	1 0	-1.37421-1.38665	-1.08791
10/02/2021 02:00 PM	Preston North End Queens Park Rangers	38.3% 36.7%	25.0%	+290 -106 +280 -105	2 3	-0.70627-0.71719	-1.00275
10/02/2021 02:00 PM	Middlesbrough Hull City	31.8% 43.3%	24.9%	+149 +198 +145 +200	0 2	-1.13582-1.15119	-0.83688
10/02/2021 02:00 PM	Swansea City Derby County	46.8% 27.9%	25.3%	+205 +161 +205 +160	0 0	-1.17328-1.13199	-1.37543
10/02/2021 02:00 PM	Nottingham Forest Birmingham City	44.2% 29.6%	26.2%	+280 +123 +255 +120	3 0	-1.36861-1.31927	-0.81694
10/02/2021 02:00 PM	Huddersfield Luton Town	31.7% 43.0%	25.4%	+290 +104 +290 -105	0 0	-1.29485-1.31602	-1.37219
10/02/2021 11:30 AM	Fulham Coventry City	48.9% 25.8%	25.3%	-101 +285 -105 +270	1 4	-1.38218-1.35973	-1.35298
10/01/2021 06:45 PM	West Bromwich Albion Stoke City	40.1% 34.4%	25.5%	+125 +245 +120 +260	0 1	-1.28132-1.32950	-1.06743
09/29/2021 06:45 PM	Nottingham Forest Barnsley	35.8% 37.1%	27.1%	+223 +145 +235 +145	3 1	-1.21200-1.25917	-1.02650
09/29/2021 06:45 PM	Reading Derby County	38.1% 35.7%	26.2%	+255 +116 +245 +115	0 1	-0.81236-0.81758	-1.03013
09/29/2021 06:45 PM	Swansea City Fulham	31.6% 42.0%	26.5%	+735 -256 +725 -260	1 3	-0.37587-0.37589	-0.86831
09/29/2021 06:45 PM	Coventry City Luton Town	35.4% 37.8%	26.8%	+160 +185 +160 +180	0 5	-1.09234-1.08246	-0.97236

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21

		Regular Season				Postseason
#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
2	West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)	23.4	7.2	15.4	85.6	33.5%	90.8%	9.2%	0.0%
3	Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)	21.3	12.1	12.6	76.5	1.0%	6.8%	87.7%	0.0%
3	Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)	23.7	8.9	13.4	84.5	23.9%	50.2%	49.0%	0.0%
5	Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)	20.4	14.6	10.9	72.3	0.5%	1.7%	63.1%	0.0%
6	Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)	19.4	11.9	14.8	72.9	0.6%	2.9%	70.6%	0.0%
7	Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)	17.5	16.5	11.9	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.7%	0.0%
8	Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)	16.7	17.5	11.9	61.9	0.0%	0.0%	5.9%	0.8%
9	Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)	17.8	17.0	11.2	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.2%	0.2%
10	Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)	15.2	13.8	17.0	62.6	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	0.6%
11	Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)	16.9	17.8	11.3	62.0	0.0%	0.0%	5.0%	1.0%
12	Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)	17.7	20.4	7.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.8%	1.7%
13	Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)	18.1	20.1	7.8	62.1	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%	0.7%
14	Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)	14.0	13.1	18.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.3%	0.8%
15	Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)	15.6	18.2	12.2	59.0	0.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.1%
17	Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)	13.8	18.2	14.0	55.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	8.8%
18	Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)	14.0	17.6	14.4	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	9.3%
19	Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)	14.0	21.3	10.7	52.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	24.0%
20	Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)	14.0	19.7	12.3	54.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	17.6%
21	Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)	13.9	21.4	10.7	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.6%
21	Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)	12.5	18.7	14.8	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	27.9%
23	Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)	10.3	21.1	14.6	45.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.