England Championship Predictions

Updated 13 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
09/18/2021 02:00 PM	Stoke City Derby County	37.7% 35.7%	26.6%	+120 +285 +115 +280	1 2	-1.38326-1.38462	-1.02879
09/18/2021 02:00 PM	Bournemouth Cardiff City	41.8% 32.8%	25.4%	+141 +205 +145 +205	1 0	-0.92010-0.94348	-0.87223
09/18/2021 02:00 PM	Nottingham Forest Huddersfield	39.7% 33.6%	26.7%	+310 +102 +290 +105	2 0	-1.45214-1.41157	-0.92367
09/18/2021 02:00 PM	Coventry City Millwall	30.4% 42.2%	27.4%	+200 +161 +200 +155	1 1	-1.17193-1.17834	-1.29539
09/18/2021 02:00 PM	West Bromwich Albion Preston North End	42.5% 32.4%	25.1%	+105 +275 +105 +260	1 1	-1.28172-1.30280	-1.38402
09/18/2021 02:00 PM	Swansea City Luton Town	48.7% 27.1%	24.2%	+260 +119 +260 +120	3 3	-1.20899-1.19600	-1.41989
09/18/2021 02:00 PM	Blackburn Barnsley	41.2% 33.5%	25.3%	+162 +210 +150 +215	0 0	-1.14898-1.17067	-1.37369
09/15/2021 06:45 PM	Barnsley Stoke City	30.5% 44.2%	25.3%	+475 -152 +480 -150	1 1	-1.36457-1.32991	-1.37263
09/15/2021 06:45 PM	Luton Town Bristol City	30.8% 44.2%	25.0%	+225 +138 +220 +135	1 1	-1.19610-1.20141	-1.38442
09/15/2021 06:45 PM	Fulham Birmingham City	59.5% 19.7%	20.9%	+119 +301 +110 +280	4 1	-0.80223-0.79248	-0.51980
09/15/2021 06:45 PM	Cardiff City Coventry City	38.9% 34.9%	26.2%	+235 +128 +245 +120	0 1	-0.85491-0.83924	-1.05185
09/15/2021 06:45 PM	Millwall Swansea City	26.1% 48.8%	25.1%	+210 +160 +210 +155	0 0	-1.15629-1.14555	-1.38135
09/15/2021 06:45 PM	Middlesbrough Nottingham Forest	32.4% 40.3%	27.3%	+190 +176 +185 +170	2 0	-1.08901-1.09527	-1.12569
09/14/2021 07:00 PM	Derby County West Bromwich Albion	26.1% 50.3%	23.6%	+600 -204 +635 -200	0 0	-1.51481-1.43767	-1.44562
09/14/2021 06:45 PM	Hull City Blackburn	32.4% 43.6%	23.9%	+320 -108 +345 -110	0 2	-0.69913-0.69689	-0.82908
09/14/2021 06:45 PM	Queens Park Rangers Bournemouth	22.6% 56.9%	20.5%	+325 -123 +330 -125	1 2	-0.62820-0.63779	-0.56373

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21

		Regular Season				Postseason
#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
2	West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)	23.4	7.2	15.4	85.6	33.5%	90.8%	9.2%	0.0%
3	Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)	21.3	12.1	12.6	76.5	1.0%	6.8%	87.7%	0.0%
3	Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)	23.7	8.9	13.4	84.5	23.9%	50.2%	49.0%	0.0%
5	Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)	20.4	14.6	10.9	72.3	0.5%	1.7%	63.1%	0.0%
6	Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)	19.4	11.9	14.8	72.9	0.6%	2.9%	70.6%	0.0%
7	Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)	17.5	16.5	11.9	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.7%	0.0%
8	Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)	16.7	17.5	11.9	61.9	0.0%	0.0%	5.9%	0.8%
9	Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)	17.8	17.0	11.2	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.2%	0.2%
10	Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)	15.2	13.8	17.0	62.6	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	0.6%
11	Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)	16.9	17.8	11.3	62.0	0.0%	0.0%	5.0%	1.0%
12	Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)	17.7	20.4	7.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.8%	1.7%
13	Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)	18.1	20.1	7.8	62.1	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%	0.7%
14	Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)	14.0	13.1	18.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.3%	0.8%
15	Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)	15.6	18.2	12.2	59.0	0.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.1%
17	Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)	13.8	18.2	14.0	55.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	8.8%
18	Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)	14.0	17.6	14.4	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	9.3%
19	Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)	14.0	21.3	10.7	52.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	24.0%
20	Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)	14.0	19.7	12.3	54.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	17.6%
21	Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)	13.9	21.4	10.7	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.6%
21	Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)	12.5	18.7	14.8	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	27.9%
23	Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)	10.3	21.1	14.6	45.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.