England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Swansea City
Queens Park Rangers 		54.9%
21.6%		23.5%
+190
+147

1.75
1.01		2.76
o2¼+100
u2¼-118

Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday 		33.4%
36.7%		29.9%
+121
+215

1.02
1.09		2.11
o2½-105
u2½-112

Norwich City
Millwall 		43.8%
27.3%		29.0%
+225
+125

1.24
0.91		2.15
o2¼+100
u2¼-118

Bristol City
Luton Town 		37.4%
34.3%		28.3%
+185
+150

1.19
1.12		2.31
o2¼-110
u2¼-110

Preston North End
Hull City 		30.1%
43.8%		26.2%
+330
-112

1.14
1.44		2.58
o2¼+100
u2¼-118

Derby County
West Bromwich Albion 		21.0%
54.8%		24.2%
+300
-105

0.94
1.67		2.61
o2-125
u2+107

Stoke City
Leeds United 		13.4%
67.2%		19.4%
+1000
-360

0.82
2.11		2.93
o2¾-110
u2¾-110

Games for Apr 20, 2025
Games for Apr 26, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Norwich City
Luton Town		52.3%
22.1%		25.6%
+160
+160
+170
+170
1
0		-1.02104-1.04055-0.64846
Blackburn
Leeds United		15.4%
64.4%		20.2%
+825
-325
+950
-340
1
1		-1.71175-1.75331-1.59776
Coventry City
Cardiff City		26.2%
47.4%		26.4%
+126
+225
+125
+225
1
1		-1.23491-1.25836-1.33022
Stoke City
Burnley		15.0%
63.3%		21.6%
+530
-200
+575
-200
0
0		-1.47797-1.49584-1.53058
Watford
Queens Park Rangers		53.0%
22.5%		24.5%
+175
+155
+175
+165
1
3		-1.00215-1.02666-1.49299
Burnley
Middlesbrough		59.2%
17.1%		23.7%
+175
+160
+185
+155
0
0		-1.23309-1.22816-1.44134
Leeds United
Derby County		64.1%
14.9%		21.0%
-159
+460
-165
+480
1
0		-0.54206-0.52396-0.44416
Cardiff City
Watford		24.2%
50.1%		25.7%
+310
-111
+375
-115
2
1		-1.45402-1.57012-1.42055
Luton Town
Swansea City		16.7%
61.2%		22.0%
+280
+100
+275
+100
1
2		-0.74482-0.74036-0.49086
Millwall
Coventry City		35.3%
34.0%		30.6%
+320
-115
+355
-120
0
0		-1.28873-1.30247-1.18273
Hull City
Blackburn		29.2%
45.4%		25.4%
+275
+105
+300
-105
1
0		-1.37338-1.43704-1.23193
Sheffield Wednesday
Preston North End		28.7%
43.6%		27.7%
+165
+175
+190
+165
1
3		-1.07324-1.02340-0.83071
Queens Park Rangers
Norwich City		15.9%
63.0%		21.2%
+420
-154
+380
-140
1
1		-1.40478-1.39821-1.55339
Leeds United
Stoke City		59.3%
18.2%		22.5%
-210
+550
-230
+675
2
0		-0.44635-0.40810-0.52312
West Bromwich Albion
Derby County		45.9%
27.3%		26.8%
+160
+190
+175
+190
1
2		-1.12043-1.11106-1.29708
Queens Park Rangers
Swansea City		16.0%
63.4%		20.6%
+320
-115
+325
-110
0
3		-0.68274-0.69848-0.45515
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks64-2-0 (0.667)0-0.97746 
Sportsbooks64-2-0 (0.667)0-1.00218 
DRatings63-3-0 (0.500)0-0.98893
-0.01147
0.01325

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.