England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 9, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Birmingham City
Norwich City 		11.1%
69.9%		19.0%
+288
-112

0.69
2.08		2.77
o2½-125
u2½+105

West Bromwich Albion
Derby County 		45.9%
27.3%		26.8%
+120
+232

1.41
1.03		2.44
o2½-105
u2½-114

Queens Park Rangers
Charlton Athletic 		34.5%
38.6%		27.0%
+135
+224

1.21
1.29		2.50
o2½-102
u2½-116

Games for Sep 8, 2026
Games for Sep 12, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Watford
Blackburn		39.5%
32.3%		28.2%
+250
+118
+245
+125
1
1		-1.22728-1.19789-1.26624
Stoke City
Birmingham City		50.2%
24.0%		25.7%
+355
-138
+350
-130
1
1		-1.43469-1.38438-1.35743
Swansea City
Hull City		45.8%
28.2%		26.0%
+232
+128
+225
+130
1
2		-0.86434-0.88187-1.26560
Preston North End
Middlesbrough		33.2%
38.0%		28.7%
+550
-185
+525
-200
0
4		-0.46192-0.46300-0.96666
Charlton Athletic
Millwall		23.5%
50.2%		26.2%
+400
-138
+390
-130
0
4		-0.59390-0.62027-0.68832
West Bromwich Albion
Derby County		45.9%
27.3%		26.8%
+175
+175
+185
+160
1
1		-1.21086-1.19902-1.31849
Middlesbrough
Stoke City		28.0%
44.5%		27.6%
+152
+195
+130
+210
2
1		-0.96058-0.88312-1.27472
Derby County
Charlton Athletic		36.4%
34.8%		28.8%
+188
+157
+175
+175
2
1		-1.11602-1.06025-1.01156
Birmingham City
Sheffield Wednesday		23.0%
50.9%		26.1%
-239
+626
-220
+605
2
0		-0.41065-0.42497-1.46968
Norwich City
West Bromwich Albion		36.0%
34.8%		29.3%
+255
+106
+275
+100
5
0		-1.32558-1.36897-1.02304
Millwall
Coventry City		35.3%
34.0%		30.6%
+305
-114
+350
-120
1
2		-0.67917-0.65433-1.07834
Blackburn
Swansea City		24.6%
50.1%		25.2%
+360
-125
+260
+115
1
3		-0.64710-0.81482-0.69053
Hull City
Preston North End		35.1%
37.6%		27.3%
+208
+132
+220
+130
3
0		-1.18908-1.21224-1.04592
Birmingham City
Swansea City		11.2%
70.3%		18.5%
+162
+165
+175
+165
1
1		-1.23227-1.22622-1.68918
Derby County
Preston North End		30.0%
42.2%		27.9%
+225
+138
+265
+115
1
0		-1.22786-1.34504-1.20464
Queens Park Rangers
Stoke City		25.2%
49.9%		24.8%
+245
+116
+255
+110
0
0		-1.23739-1.27447-1.39380
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.10244 
Sportsbooks20-0-1 (0.750)2 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.95340
0.14903

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.