England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Hull City
Blackburn 		29.2%
45.4%		25.4%
+265
+105
+300
-105
1.17
1.52		2.69
o2¼-120
u2¼+102

Millwall
Coventry City 		35.3%
34.0%		30.6%
+330
-115
+355
-120
1.02
1.00		2.02
o2¼-108
u2¼-111

Luton Town
Swansea City 		16.7%
61.2%		22.0%
+255
+105
+260
+105
0.86
1.87		2.73
o2½+104
u2½-120

Cardiff City
Watford 		24.2%
50.1%		25.7%
+345
-130
+395
-115
0.98
1.53		2.51
o2½-106
u2½-108

Volatility Bet Value Active
Leeds United
Derby County 		64.1%
14.9%		21.0%
-156
+440
-165
+480
1.96
0.81		2.77
o2¼+102
u2¼-118

Burnley
Middlesbrough 		59.2%
17.1%		23.7%
+180
+155
+190
+150
1.71
0.79		2.50
o2¼-114
u2¼-102

Games for Dec 28, 2024
Games for Jan 1, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Queens Park Rangers
Norwich City 		15.9%
63.0%		21.2%
+420
-154
+380
-140
2.82
o2½-120
u2½+103

1st H
44:00		0
0
Sheffield Wednesday
Preston North End 		28.7%
43.6%		27.7%
+165
+175
+190
+165
2.34
o2¼+108
u2¼-124

1st H
43:00		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bristol City
Blackburn		27.9%
46.2%		25.9%
+205
+131
+245
+110
0
3		-0.89070-0.79239-0.77221
Preston North End
Middlesbrough		33.2%
38.0%		28.7%
+480
-195
+565
-215
1
1		-1.56695-1.56647-1.24775
Queens Park Rangers
Sheffield Wednesday		31.0%
41.8%		27.2%
+210
+125
+215
+130
1
1		-1.26164-1.25846-1.30056
Luton Town
Millwall		25.9%
46.8%		27.3%
+195
+142
+170
+160
1
0		-1.13997-1.04537-1.34954
Hull City
Leeds United		13.1%
68.6%		18.3%
+575
-235
+725
-255
0
2		-0.41943-0.36962-0.37715
Swansea City
West Bromwich Albion		36.1%
35.4%		28.5%
+310
-112
+320
-115
0
1		-0.69830-0.67523-1.03829
Sheffield Wednesday
Millwall		26.0%
45.8%		28.2%
+210
+135
+205
+140
0
3		-0.91327-0.92637-0.78198
Bristol City
Derby County		35.3%
35.6%		29.2%
+150
+180
+150
+190
0
3		-1.09243-1.11590-1.03398
Norwich City
Coventry City		48.9%
23.6%		27.5%
+260
-101
+300
-115
1
0		-1.32343-1.43658-0.71582
Blackburn
Burnley		17.2%
60.4%		22.3%
+240
+120
+290
-110
1
1		-1.23350-1.35759-1.49843
Middlesbrough
Cardiff City		26.5%
47.3%		26.2%
+101
+250
-115
+290
2
0		-0.76479-0.67548-1.32727
Queens Park Rangers
Luton Town		31.6%
41.9%		26.5%
+275
-110
+280
-110
2
1		-1.38071-1.38725-1.15293
Cardiff City
Swansea City		23.3%
52.0%		24.7%
+285
+102
+295
-105
1
1		-1.25012-1.30258-1.39776
Derby County
Watford		18.6%
56.7%		24.6%
+310
-115
+300
-110
1
2		-0.68820-0.69693-0.56722
Luton Town
Preston North End		28.6%
44.5%		26.8%
+140
+185
+140
+190
0
1		-1.10715-1.11480-0.80968
West Bromwich Albion
Stoke City		40.3%
32.2%		27.5%
+170
+160
+180
+155
2
1		-1.05406-1.08063-0.90904
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.