England Championship Predictions

Updated

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Games for Jan 6, 2025
Games for Jan 9, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday		37.3%
32.5%		30.2%
+235
+133
+245
+130
2
2		-1.14633-1.17756-1.19730
Coventry City
Norwich City		18.0%
57.3%		24.7%
+255
+105
+260
+120
1
2		-0.77158-0.81455-0.55670
Cardiff City
Middlesbrough		38.4%
33.5%		28.1%
+480
-180
+475
-180
1
1		-1.46850-1.49767-1.26926
Leeds United
Hull City		60.6%
18.0%		21.4%
-190
+500
-190
+550
3
3		-1.46521-1.47190-1.54201
Derby County
Bristol City		28.6%
43.8%		27.5%
+360
-125
+360
-115
0
1		-0.65680-0.67525-0.82508
West Bromwich Albion
Swansea City		28.4%
44.8%		26.8%
+215
+130
+185
+155
1
1		-1.21476-1.22816-1.31602
Burnley
Blackburn		51.8%
22.9%		25.2%
+135
+270
+125
+260
1
0		-0.88312-0.85982-0.65707
Middlesbrough
Hull City		28.6%
45.0%		26.5%
+129
+195
+120
+220
1
0		-0.88812-0.83605-1.25344
Preston North End
West Bromwich Albion		22.8%
52.8%		24.4%
+300
-105
+340
-110
1
3		-0.73222-0.69503-0.63837
Derby County
Sheffield Wednesday		32.8%
37.6%		29.6%
+290
+106
+300
+105
2
4		-0.78513-0.76233-0.97864
Norwich City
Luton Town		52.3%
22.1%		25.6%
+160
+160
+170
+170
1
0		-1.02104-1.04055-0.64846
Blackburn
Leeds United		15.4%
64.4%		20.2%
+825
-325
+950
-340
1
1		-1.71175-1.75331-1.59776
Coventry City
Cardiff City		26.2%
47.4%		26.4%
+126
+225
+125
+225
1
1		-1.23491-1.25836-1.33022
Stoke City
Burnley		15.0%
63.3%		21.6%
+530
-200
+575
-200
0
0		-1.47797-1.49584-1.53058
Watford
Queens Park Rangers		53.0%
22.5%		24.5%
+175
+155
+175
+165
1
3		-1.00215-1.02666-1.49299
Burnley
Middlesbrough		59.2%
17.1%		23.7%
+175
+160
+185
+155
0
0		-1.23309-1.22816-1.44134
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.