England Championship Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 26, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Derby County
Sheffield Wednesday		32.8%
37.6%		29.6%
+107
+250
+110
+265
3
0		-0.78858-0.78946-1.11605
Hull City
Millwall		32.1%
40.1%		27.9%
+260
-102
+275
-105
3
1		-1.34335-1.36971-1.13734
Queens Park Rangers
Middlesbrough		29.1%
44.4%		26.5%
+290
-114
+305
-115
1
3		-0.69453-0.67647-0.81234
Charlton Athletic
Birmingham City		39.0%
32.7%		28.2%
+525
-204
+575
-190
1
1		-1.48325-1.44770-1.26471
Bristol City
Coventry City		34.7%
35.8%		29.5%
+430
-185
+440
-180
0
1		-0.48812-0.49088-1.02680
Swansea City
Stoke City		44.5%
28.1%		27.3%
+245
+114
+355
-125
1
2		-0.82362-0.63592-1.26776
Millwall
Derby County		35.9%
33.8%		30.3%
+167
+167
+185
+165
1
1		-1.20058-1.18097-1.19538
Birmingham City
Queens Park Rangers		24.4%
50.9%		24.7%
+144
+174
+140
+195
1
2		-1.08291-1.13038-0.67556
Middlesbrough
Charlton Athletic		37.1%
34.0%		28.8%
+140
+185
+115
+245
2
1		-0.94801-0.81340-0.99061
Coventry City
Preston North End		30.2%
41.4%		28.4%
+103
+255
-115
+300
1
1		-1.31104-1.37200-1.25790
West Bromwich Albion
Queens Park Rangers		50.4%
25.2%		24.4%
+193
+135
+200
+150
1
3		-0.91359-0.96582-1.37817
Millwall
Bristol City		32.9%
37.9%		29.2%
+265
+100
+265
+105
1
0		-1.36473-1.34508-1.11258
Middlesbrough
Hull City		28.6%
45.0%		26.5%
+133
+174
+145
+185
4
1		-0.91534-0.94384-1.25344
Watford
Birmingham City		61.4%
16.1%		22.5%
+330
-132
+345
-125
1
2		-0.64025-0.63709-1.82921
Preston North End
Sheffield Wednesday		35.0%
35.6%		29.3%
+111
+220
+125
+230
3
2		-0.82417-0.86022-1.04842
Swansea City
West Bromwich Albion		36.1%
35.4%		28.5%
+330
-120
+360
-120
2
3		-0.67182-0.65751-1.03829
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.78858 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.78946 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.11605
-0.32747
-0.32659

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.