English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for Nov 1, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Tottenham
Everton		40.7%
33.0%		26.3%
+229
+130
+230
+130
3
0		-1.22489-1.22960-0.89855
Crystal Palace
Arsenal		17.6%
59.3%		23.1%
+800
-265
+770
-260
0
1		-0.35472-0.36583-0.52339
Burnley
Wolverhampton		22.5%
51.3%		26.2%
+350
-105
+340
-105
3
2		-1.53907-1.51891-1.49192
Manchester City
Aston Villa		72.3%
11.0%		16.7%
-118
+350
-120
+335
0
1		-1.53040-1.50463-2.20482
Brighton and Hove Albion
Manchester United		11.4%
70.7%		17.9%
+263
+101
+250
+102
2
4		-0.72396-0.74608-0.34660
Fulham
Newcastle United		26.9%
45.8%		27.2%
+500
-170
+500
-170
1
2		-0.49645-0.50788-0.78034
Sunderland
Chelsea		5.4%
82.6%		12.0%
+735
-235
+675
-235
2
1		-2.15356-2.09273-2.92471
West Ham United
Leeds United		39.5%
33.1%		27.4%
+365
-122
+380
-128
1
2		-0.63294-0.61654-1.10434
Manchester United
Liverpool		28.6%
45.3%		26.1%
+353
-144
+400
-143
2
1		-1.54477-1.62009-1.25110
Aston Villa
Tottenham		21.1%
56.7%		22.2%
+225
+130
+220
+130
2
1		-1.21295-1.18790-1.55580
Arsenal
Fulham		60.1%
17.2%		22.7%
-198
+650
-200
+620
1
0		-0.43869-0.45374-0.50931
Wolverhampton
Sunderland		64.6%
13.7%		21.6%
+222
+150
+212
+155
0
2		-0.95093-0.97172-1.98777
Leeds United
Burnley		34.3%
36.5%		29.1%
+122
+262
+125
+245
0
2		-1.32122-1.27949-1.00753
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace		21.7%
52.4%		25.9%
+272
+114
+240
+120
3
3		-1.24296-1.25506-1.35151
Everton
Manchester City		10.1%
73.7%		16.2%
+800
-233
+720
-235
0
2		-0.39202-0.40063-0.30453
Newcastle United
Brighton and Hove Albion		29.0%
43.2%		27.7%
+150
+193
+140
+194
1
2		-1.10166-1.12083-0.83935
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.