Chelsea at Manchester City

Updated

Chelsea

16.4%20.4%63.2%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.95Projected Goals 2.07
0Final Score 1

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
W 3-1 at Bournemouth+110
L 1-3 at Arsenal+500
L 2-1 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+190
L 0-1 at Wolverhampton-130
T 0-0 vs Liverpool+110
Manchester City
Money Line
W 3-0 at Everton-275
W 1-2 vs Leeds United-685
W 0-3 vs West Ham United-585
W 2-1 at Fulham-368
W 1-4 vs Arsenal-165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+725+481+500+490-+490+500-
Manchester City-305-166-180-172--172-166-
Draw+460+329+320+328-+328+329-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+950-+425--+450+450-
Manchester City-370--166---165-165-
Draw+495-+320--+310+320-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Manchester City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +490 to +480
Manchester City ML moved from -165 to -175

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Manchester City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +425 to +400
Manchester City ML moved from -150 to -165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3+186o2½-102o2½+104-o2½+104o2½+104-
Underu3-115u3-216u2½-118u2½-120-u2½-120u2½-118-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o2½-110o2½-110-o2½-120o2½-110o2½-110-
Underu3+100u2½-110u2½-110-u2½-110u2½-110u2½-110-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Over: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 60.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-145 to u2½-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.5%
 
No46.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.90%
Exactly 222.28%
Exactly 416.90%
Exactly 65.13%
Exactly 80.83%
 
Exactly 114.77%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.20%
Exactly 72.21%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 038.74%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.42%
Exactly 35.51%
Exactly 41.31%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 012.64%
Exactly 126.14%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 318.64%
Exactly 49.64%
Exactly 53.99%
Exactly 61.38%
Exactly 70.41%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.74%
Exactly 224.13%
Exactly 43.92%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.55%
Exactly 311.24%
Exactly 51.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 064.46%
Exactly 128.30%
Exactly 26.21%
Exactly 30.91%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 038.38%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.60%
Exactly 35.62%
Exactly 41.35%
Exactly 50.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals5.40%
Wins by 3+ goals1.36%
Wins by 4+ goals0.26%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals39.31%
Wins by 3+ goals20.07%
Wins by 4+ goals8.53%
Wins by 5+ goals3.06%
Wins by 6+ goals0.94%
Wins by 7+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Manchester City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal10.95%
Wins by 2 goals4.04%
Wins by 3 goals1.10%
Wins by 4 goals0.23%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal23.89%
Wins by 2 goals19.24%
Wins by 3 goals11.54%
Wins by 4 goals5.46%
Wins by 5 goals2.13%
Wins by 6 goals0.70%
Wins by 7 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.10%4.90%
1.580.34%19.66%
2.558.06%41.94%
3.535.65%64.35%
4.518.76%81.24%
5.58.56%91.44%
6.53.44%96.56%
7.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.26%38.74%
1.524.52%75.48%
2.57.10%92.90%
3.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.36%12.64%
1.561.22%38.78%
2.534.19%65.81%
3.515.55%84.45%
4.55.91%94.09%
5.51.92%98.08%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.26%24.74%
1.540.71%59.29%
2.516.57%83.43%
3.55.34%94.66%
4.51.41%98.59%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Manchester City
Score012345
0
4.90%
10.13%
10.47%
7.22%
3.73%
1.55%
1
4.64%
9.60%
9.93%
6.85%
3.54%
1.47%
2
2.20%
4.55%
4.71%
3.25%
1.68%
0.69%
3
0.70%
1.44%
1.49%
1.03%
0.53%
0.22%
4
0.16%
0.34%
0.35%
0.24%
0.13%
0.05%
Chelsea
1-04.64%
2-02.20%
2-14.55%
3-00.70%
3-11.44%
3-21.49%
4-00.16%
4-10.34%
4-20.35%
4-30.24%
Draw
0-04.90%
1-19.60%
2-24.71%
3-31.03%
4-40.13%
Manchester City
0-110.13%
0-210.47%
1-29.93%
0-37.22%
1-36.85%
2-33.25%
0-43.73%
1-43.54%
2-41.68%
3-40.53%
0-51.55%
1-51.47%
2-50.69%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Manchester City
Score012345
0
24.74%
23.69%
11.35%
3.62%
0.87%
0.17%
1
10.86%
10.40%
4.98%
1.59%
0.38%
0.07%
2
2.38%
2.28%
1.09%
0.35%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.35%
0.33%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-010.86%
2-02.38%
2-12.28%
3-00.35%
3-10.33%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-024.74%
1-110.40%
2-21.09%
Manchester City
0-123.69%
0-211.35%
1-24.98%
0-33.62%
1-31.59%
2-30.35%
0-40.87%
1-40.38%
0-50.17%