Southampton at Brighton and Hove Albion

Updated

Southampton

39.0%27.7%33.3%
Southampton WinDrawBrighton and Hove Albion Win
1.25Projected Goals 1.14
1Final Score 3

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Fulham+185
L 1-3 at Newcastle United+1050
L 1-0 vs Bournemouth+155
T 3-3 at Arsenal
L 2-0 vs Crystal Palace+187
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
L 1-4 at Newcastle United+311
W 3-0 at Arsenal+335
W 0-1 vs Manchester United+119
W 0-6 vs Wolverhampton-174
W 2-1 at Chelsea+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+900+1178+1200+1150-+1150+1200-
Brighton and Hove Albion-385-467-575-445--445-445-
Draw+525+681+675+625-+625+681-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+1000-+1100--+1100+1100-
Brighton and Hove Albion-435--483---470-470-
Draw+585-+610--+600+610-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 60.0%
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +1191 to +1178
Brighton and Hove Albion ML moved from -550 to -575

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 60.0%
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +1115 to +1100
Brighton and Hove Albion ML moved from -435 to -483

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o3½-114o3½-118o3½-111-o3½-111o3½-111-
Underu3+105u3½-101u3½-102u3½-105-u3½-105u3½-101-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+105o3½-120o3½-115-o3½-135o3½-135o3½-115-
Underu3½-125u3½+100u3½-105-u3½+105u3½+115u3½+115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3¾-112 to u3½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½+100 to o3½-135
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.15%
Exactly 226.16%
Exactly 412.47%
Exactly 62.38%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.88%
Exactly 320.86%
Exactly 55.96%
Exactly 70.81%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 028.51%
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 222.45%
Exactly 39.39%
Exactly 42.95%
Exactly 50.74%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 032.10%
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 220.72%
Exactly 37.85%
Exactly 42.23%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.05%
Exactly 220.26%
Exactly 42.07%
 
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 37.48%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 055.93%
Exactly 132.50%
Exactly 29.44%
Exactly 31.83%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 059.09%
Exactly 131.09%
Exactly 28.18%
Exactly 31.43%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals17.15%
Wins by 3+ goals5.85%
Wins by 4+ goals1.59%
Wins by 5+ goals0.34%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals13.37%
Wins by 3+ goals4.11%
Wins by 4+ goals0.96%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Brighton and Hove Albion
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal21.87%
Wins by 2 goals11.31%
Wins by 3 goals4.26%
Wins by 4 goals1.25%
Wins by 5 goals0.29%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal19.80%
Wins by 2 goals9.26%
Wins by 3 goals3.15%
Wins by 4 goals0.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.85%9.15%
1.568.97%31.03%
2.542.80%57.20%
3.521.95%78.05%
4.59.48%90.52%
5.53.52%96.48%
6.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.49%28.51%
1.535.72%64.28%
2.513.27%86.73%
3.53.87%96.13%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.90%32.10%
1.531.42%68.58%
2.510.70%89.30%
3.52.85%97.15%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.95%33.05%
1.530.36%69.64%
2.510.10%89.90%
3.52.63%97.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score012345
0
9.15%
10.40%
5.91%
2.24%
0.64%
0.14%
1
11.48%
13.05%
7.41%
2.81%
0.80%
0.18%
2
7.21%
8.19%
4.65%
1.76%
0.50%
0.11%
3
3.02%
3.43%
1.95%
0.74%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.95%
1.07%
0.61%
0.23%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.24%
0.27%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Southampton
1-011.48%
2-07.21%
2-18.19%
3-03.02%
3-13.43%
3-21.95%
4-00.95%
4-11.07%
4-20.61%
4-30.23%
5-00.24%
5-10.27%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-09.15%
1-113.05%
2-24.65%
3-30.74%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-110.40%
0-25.91%
1-27.41%
0-32.24%
1-32.81%
2-31.76%
0-40.64%
1-40.80%
2-40.50%
3-40.21%
0-50.14%
1-50.18%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score01234
0
33.05%
17.39%
4.57%
0.80%
0.11%
1
19.20%
10.10%
2.66%
0.47%
0.06%
2
5.58%
2.94%
0.77%
0.14%
0.02%
3
1.08%
0.57%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.16%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Southampton
1-019.20%
2-05.58%
2-12.94%
3-01.08%
3-10.57%
3-20.15%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-033.05%
1-110.10%
2-20.77%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-117.39%
0-24.57%
1-22.66%
0-30.80%
1-30.47%
2-30.14%
0-40.11%