Wolverhampton at Aston Villa

Updated

Wolverhampton

34.5%27.6%37.9%
Wolverhampton WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.17Projected Goals 1.23
1Final Score 3

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Wolverhampton
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Newcastle United+260
L 6-2 vs Chelsea+295
L 0-2 at Arsenal+1825
L 0-2 at Liverpool+1475
L 3-1 vs Crystal Palace+227
Aston Villa
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Everton-145
W 2-1 at Leicester City-115
L 2-0 vs Arsenal+360
W 2-1 at West Ham United+179
L 0-5 at Crystal Palace+370

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Wolverhampton+440-+440+445-+445+445-
Aston Villa-170--180-160--160-160-
Draw+355-+340+322-+322+340-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Wolverhampton+425-+447-+440+425+447-
Aston Villa-175--179--195-175-179-
Draw+345-+338-+315+345+345-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Wolverhampton: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Wolverhampton: 50.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Wolverhampton: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Wolverhampton ML moved from +455 to +445
Aston Villa ML moved from -180 to -190

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Wolverhampton: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Wolverhampton: 50.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Wolverhampton: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Wolverhampton ML
No Steam Moves On Aston Villa ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-103-o2¾-120o2¾-120-o2¾-120o2¾-120-
Underu3-113-u2¾+100u2¾+104-u2¾+104u2¾+104-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-105o3+105-o3+100o3+100o3+105-
Underu3-115u3-115u3-125-u3-130u3-120u3-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-105 to o3-125
The Under moved from u3-105 to u3-130

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.07%
Exactly 226.13%
Exactly 412.54%
Exactly 62.41%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.77%
Exactly 320.90%
Exactly 56.02%
Exactly 70.83%
Exact Goals Scored - Wolverhampton
Exactly 031.18%
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 221.17%
Exactly 38.22%
Exactly 42.40%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 029.09%
Exactly 135.92%
Exactly 222.18%
Exactly 39.13%
Exactly 42.82%
Exactly 50.70%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.92%
Exactly 220.32%
Exactly 42.09%
 
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 37.53%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Wolverhampton
Exactly 058.30%
Exactly 131.46%
Exactly 28.49%
Exactly 31.53%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 056.46%
Exactly 132.28%
Exactly 29.23%
Exactly 31.76%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Wolverhampton
Wins by 2+ goals14.24%
Wins by 3+ goals4.54%
Wins by 4+ goals1.15%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals16.39%
Wins by 3+ goals5.50%
Wins by 4+ goals1.48%
Wins by 5+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Wolverhampton
Aston Villa
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Wolverhampton
Wins by 1 goal20.24%
Wins by 2 goals9.70%
Wins by 3 goals3.39%
Wins by 4 goals0.92%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal21.44%
Wins by 2 goals10.89%
Wins by 3 goals4.03%
Wins by 4 goals1.16%
Wins by 5 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.93%9.07%
1.569.16%30.84%
2.543.03%56.97%
3.522.13%77.87%
4.59.59%90.41%
5.53.57%96.43%
6.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Wolverhampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.82%31.18%
1.532.48%67.52%
2.511.31%88.69%
3.53.08%96.92%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.91%29.09%
1.534.99%65.01%
2.512.81%87.19%
3.53.69%96.31%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.08%32.92%
1.530.51%69.49%
2.510.19%89.81%
3.52.66%97.34%

Score Props

Correct Score

Wolverhampton
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
9.07%
11.20%
6.91%
2.85%
0.88%
0.22%
1
10.57%
13.05%
8.06%
3.32%
1.02%
0.25%
2
6.16%
7.61%
4.70%
1.93%
0.60%
0.15%
3
2.39%
2.95%
1.82%
0.75%
0.23%
0.06%
4
0.70%
0.86%
0.53%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.16%
0.20%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Wolverhampton
1-010.57%
2-06.16%
2-17.61%
3-02.39%
3-12.95%
3-21.82%
4-00.70%
4-10.86%
4-20.53%
4-30.22%
5-00.16%
5-10.20%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-09.07%
1-113.05%
2-24.70%
3-30.75%
Aston Villa
0-111.20%
0-26.91%
1-28.06%
0-32.85%
1-33.32%
2-31.93%
0-40.88%
1-41.02%
2-40.60%
3-40.23%
0-50.22%
1-50.25%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Wolverhampton
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
32.92%
18.82%
5.38%
1.02%
0.15%
1
17.76%
10.15%
2.90%
0.55%
0.08%
2
4.79%
2.74%
0.78%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.86%
0.49%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.12%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Wolverhampton
1-017.76%
2-04.79%
2-12.74%
3-00.86%
3-10.49%
3-20.14%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-032.92%
1-110.15%
2-20.78%
Aston Villa
0-118.82%
0-25.38%
1-22.90%
0-31.02%
1-30.55%
2-30.15%
0-40.15%