Everton at Aston Villa

Updated

Everton

38.3%26.8%34.9%
Everton WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.30Projected Goals 1.23
2Final Score 3

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Everton
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Bournemouth+196
L 0-4 at Tottenham+700
L 3-0 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+196
L 1-2 at Arsenal+1200
W 0-1 vs Sheffield United-240
Aston Villa
Money Line
W 2-1 at Leicester City-115
L 2-0 vs Arsenal+360
W 2-1 at West Ham United+179
L 0-5 at Crystal Palace+370
T 3-3 vs Liverpool+280

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Everton+565-+420+433-+440+440-
Aston Villa-215--150-148--148-148-
Draw+360-+295+300-+295+295-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Everton+575-+397-+440+390+440-
Aston Villa-215--145--190-145-145-
Draw+355-+285-+275+290+290-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Everton: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Everton: 50.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Everton: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Everton ML moved from +440 to +433
Aston Villa ML moved from -153 to -160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Everton: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Everton: 50.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Everton: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Everton ML moved from +430 to +390
Aston Villa ML moved from -206 to -222

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-120-o2¾+100o2¾+102-o2¾+102o2¾+102-
Underu2¾+104-u2¾-120u2¾-118-u2¾-118u2¾-118-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110o2½-125o2½-120-o2½-135o2½-130o2½-120-
Underu3-130u2½+105u2½+100-u2½+105u2½+110u2½+110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-135 to u2½+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.5%
 
No48.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.94%
Exactly 225.48%
Exactly 413.62%
Exactly 62.91%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.12%
Exactly 321.51%
Exactly 56.90%
Exactly 71.05%
Exact Goals Scored - Everton
Exactly 027.21%
Exactly 135.42%
Exactly 223.05%
Exactly 310.00%
Exactly 43.25%
Exactly 50.85%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 029.20%
Exactly 135.94%
Exactly 222.12%
Exactly 39.08%
Exactly 42.79%
Exactly 50.69%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.96%
Exactly 221.28%
Exactly 42.44%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 38.32%
Exactly 50.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Everton
Exactly 054.74%
Exactly 132.99%
Exactly 29.94%
Exactly 32.00%
Exactly 40.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 056.55%
Exactly 132.23%
Exactly 29.19%
Exactly 31.75%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Everton
Wins by 2+ goals17.08%
Wins by 3+ goals5.96%
Wins by 4+ goals1.66%
Wins by 5+ goals0.37%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals14.90%
Wins by 3+ goals4.94%
Wins by 4+ goals1.31%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Everton
Aston Villa
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Everton
Wins by 1 goal21.16%
Wins by 2 goals11.13%
Wins by 3 goals4.29%
Wins by 4 goals1.30%
Wins by 5 goals0.31%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal20.01%
Wins by 2 goals9.95%
Wins by 3 goals3.63%
Wins by 4 goals1.04%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.06%7.94%
1.571.93%28.07%
2.546.45%53.55%
3.524.94%75.06%
4.511.32%88.68%
5.54.42%95.58%
6.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Everton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.79%27.21%
1.537.37%62.63%
2.514.33%85.67%
3.54.33%95.67%
4.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.80%29.20%
1.534.86%65.14%
2.512.73%87.27%
3.53.65%96.35%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.04%30.96%
1.532.75%67.25%
2.511.46%88.54%
3.53.14%96.86%

Score Props

Correct Score

Everton
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
7.94%
9.78%
6.02%
2.47%
0.76%
0.19%
1
10.34%
12.73%
7.84%
3.22%
0.99%
0.24%
2
6.73%
8.28%
5.10%
2.09%
0.64%
0.16%
3
2.92%
3.59%
2.21%
0.91%
0.28%
0.07%
4
0.95%
1.17%
0.72%
0.30%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.25%
0.30%
0.19%
0.08%
0.02%
0.01%
Everton
1-010.34%
2-06.73%
2-18.28%
3-02.92%
3-13.59%
3-22.21%
4-00.95%
4-11.17%
4-20.72%
4-30.30%
5-00.25%
5-10.30%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-07.94%
1-112.73%
2-25.10%
3-30.91%
Aston Villa
0-19.78%
0-26.02%
1-27.84%
0-32.47%
1-33.22%
2-32.09%
0-40.76%
1-40.99%
2-40.64%
3-40.28%
0-50.19%
1-50.24%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Everton
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
30.96%
17.64%
5.03%
0.96%
0.14%
1
18.65%
10.63%
3.03%
0.58%
0.08%
2
5.62%
3.20%
0.91%
0.17%
0.02%
3
1.13%
0.64%
0.18%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.17%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Everton
1-018.65%
2-05.62%
2-13.20%
3-01.13%
3-10.64%
3-20.18%
4-00.17%
Draw
0-030.96%
1-110.63%
2-20.91%
Aston Villa
0-117.64%
0-25.03%
1-23.03%
0-30.96%
1-30.58%
2-30.17%
0-40.14%