Manchester City
Aston Villa
Last 5 Games
Money Line Analysis
Implied Margin
Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.
More on Implied MarginImplied Margin
Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.
More on Implied Margin| Open Line | Bookmaker | Bovada | BetOnline | GTBets | SportsBetting | Best Line | No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | -237 | - | -240 | -215 | -238 | -215 | -215 | -198.0 |
| Aston Villa | +587 | - | +600 | +625 | +625 | +625 | +625 | +657.0 |
| Draw | +374 | - | +380 | +365 | +359 | +365 | +380 | +391.4 |
| Open Line | South Point | Circa | Caesars | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | -290 | - | -230 | - | - | -240 | -230 | -198.0 |
| Aston Villa | +750 | - | +613 | - | - | +650 | +650 | +657.0 |
| Draw | +430 | - | +365 | - | - | +375 | +375 | +391.4 |
Overall
Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating
Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base RatingBet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends
Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet TrendsLatest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam MoveOverall
Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating
Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base RatingBet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends
Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet TrendsLatest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam MoveOver/Under Analysis
| Open Line | Bookmaker | Bovada | BetOnline | GTBets | SportsBetting | Best Line | No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | - | o2¾-102 | o2¾-104 | - | o2¾-104 | o2¾+108 | ||
| Under | - | u2¾-118 | u2¾-116 | - | u2¾-116 | u2¾-108 |
| Open Line | South Point | Circa | Caesars | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | o3+130 | o3+130 | - | o3+115 | o3+130 | o2¾+108 | ||
| Under | u3-150 | u3-150 | - | u3-145 | u3-150 | u2¾-108 |
Goal Props
Both Teams to Score | |
|---|---|
| Yes | 42.0% |
| No | 58.0% |
Total Goals
Exact Goals Scored - Overall | |
|---|---|
| Exactly 0 | 5.61% |
| Exactly 2 | 23.27% |
| Exactly 4 | 16.10% |
| Exactly 6 | 4.45% |
| Exactly 8 | 0.66% |
| Exactly 1 | 16.16% |
| Exactly 3 | 22.35% |
| Exactly 5 | 9.28% |
| Exactly 7 | 1.83% |
| Exactly 9 | 0.21% |
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City | |
|---|---|
| Exactly 0 | 10.56% |
| Exactly 1 | 23.74% |
| Exactly 2 | 26.69% |
| Exactly 3 | 19.99% |
| Exactly 4 | 11.24% |
| Exactly 5 | 5.05% |
| Exactly 6 | 1.89% |
| Exactly 7 | 0.61% |
| Exactly 8 | 0.17% |
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa | |
|---|---|
| Exactly 0 | 53.09% |
| Exactly 1 | 33.62% |
| Exactly 2 | 10.64% |
| Exactly 3 | 2.25% |
| Exactly 4 | 0.36% |
Exact Goals Scored - First Half | |
|---|---|
| Exactly 0 | 26.34% |
| Exactly 2 | 23.44% |
| Exactly 4 | 3.48% |
| Exactly 6 | 0.21% |
| Exactly 1 | 35.14% |
| Exactly 3 | 10.42% |
| Exactly 5 | 0.93% |
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City | |
|---|---|
| Exactly 0 | 35.32% |
| Exactly 1 | 36.76% |
| Exactly 2 | 19.13% |
| Exactly 3 | 6.64% |
| Exactly 4 | 1.73% |
| Exactly 5 | 0.36% |
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa | |
|---|---|
| Exactly 0 | 74.59% |
| Exactly 1 | 21.87% |
| Exactly 2 | 3.21% |
| Exactly 3 | 0.31% |
Alternate Props
Spread
| Manchester City | |
|---|---|
| Wins by 2+ goals | 50.14% |
| Wins by 3+ goals | 27.94% |
| Wins by 4+ goals | 12.96% |
| Wins by 5+ goals | 5.08% |
| Aston Villa | |
|---|---|
| Wins by 2+ goals | 2.11% |
| Wins by 3+ goals | 0.36% |
Exact Winning Margin
Manchester City
Aston Villa
| Manchester City | |
|---|---|
| Wins by 1 goal | 23.97% |
| Wins by 2 goals | 22.20% |
| Wins by 3 goals | 14.97% |
| Wins by 4 goals | 7.88% |
| Wins by 5 goals | 3.39% |
| Aston Villa | |
|---|---|
| Wins by 1 goal | 6.75% |
| Wins by 2 goals | 1.75% |
| Wins by 3 goals | 0.32% |
Total Goals Over/Under
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94.39% | 5.61% |
| 1.5 | 78.24% | 21.76% |
| 2.5 | 54.96% | 45.04% |
| 3.5 | 32.61% | 67.39% |
| 4.5 | 16.52% | 83.48% |
| 5.5 | 7.24% | 92.76% |
| 6.5 | 2.79% | 97.21% |
Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89.44% | 10.56% |
| 1.5 | 65.69% | 34.31% |
| 2.5 | 39.01% | 60.99% |
| 3.5 | 19.01% | 80.99% |
| 4.5 | 7.78% | 92.22% |
| 5.5 | 2.73% | 97.27% |
Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 46.91% | 53.09% |
| 1.5 | 13.29% | 86.71% |
| 2.5 | 2.65% | 97.35% |
Total Goals - First Half Over/Under
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 73.66% | 26.34% |
| 1.5 | 38.51% | 61.49% |
| 2.5 | 15.08% | 84.92% |
| 3.5 | 4.66% | 95.34% |
| 4.5 | 1.18% | 98.82% |
Score Props
Correct Score
| Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.61% | 3.55% | 1.12% | 0.24% |
| 1 | 12.61% | 7.98% | 2.53% | 0.53% |
| 2 | 14.17% | 8.97% | 2.84% | 0.60% |
| 3 | 10.62% | 6.72% | 2.13% | 0.45% |
| 4 | 5.97% | 3.78% | 1.20% | 0.25% |
| 5 | 2.68% | 1.70% | 0.54% | 0.11% |
| Manchester City | |
|---|---|
| 1-0 | 12.61% |
| 2-0 | 14.17% |
| 2-1 | 8.97% |
| 3-0 | 10.62% |
| 3-1 | 6.72% |
| 3-2 | 2.13% |
| 4-0 | 5.97% |
| 4-1 | 3.78% |
| 4-2 | 1.20% |
| 4-3 | 0.25% |
| 5-0 | 2.68% |
| 5-1 | 1.70% |
| 5-2 | 0.54% |
| 5-3 | 0.11% |
| Draw | |
|---|---|
| 0-0 | 5.61% |
| 1-1 | 7.98% |
| 2-2 | 2.84% |
| 3-3 | 0.45% |
| Aston Villa | |
|---|---|
| 0-1 | 3.55% |
| 0-2 | 1.12% |
| 1-2 | 2.53% |
| 0-3 | 0.24% |
| 1-3 | 0.53% |
| 2-3 | 0.60% |
Correct Score - First Half
| Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 26.34% | 7.72% | 1.13% | 0.11% |
| 1 | 27.42% | 8.04% | 1.18% | 0.12% |
| 2 | 14.27% | 4.18% | 0.61% | 0.06% |
| 3 | 4.95% | 1.45% | 0.21% | 0.02% |
| 4 | 1.29% | 0.38% | 0.06% | 0.01% |
| 5 | 0.27% | 0.08% | 0.01% | 0.00% |
| Manchester City | |
|---|---|
| 1-0 | 27.42% |
| 2-0 | 14.27% |
| 2-1 | 4.18% |
| 3-0 | 4.95% |
| 3-1 | 1.45% |
| 3-2 | 0.21% |
| 4-0 | 1.29% |
| 4-1 | 0.38% |
| 5-0 | 0.27% |
| Draw | |
|---|---|
| 0-0 | 26.34% |
| 1-1 | 8.04% |
| 2-2 | 0.61% |
| Aston Villa | |
|---|---|
| 0-1 | 7.72% |
| 0-2 | 1.13% |
| 1-2 | 1.18% |
| 0-3 | 0.11% |
| 1-3 | 0.12% |