Brighton and Hove Albion at Aston Villa

Updated 1035 days ago

03:00 PM • Nov 20, 2021

Brighton and Hove Albion

30.6%24.5%44.9%

Brighton and Hove Albion WinDrawAston Villa Win

1.12Projected Goals 1.64

0Final Score 2

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Brighton and Hove Albion		Money Line
T 1-1	11/06 vs Newcastle United	-175
L 4-1	10/23 vs Manchester City	+700
T 0-0	10/16 at Norwich City	+110
T 0-0	10/02 vs Arsenal	+225
T 1-1	9/27 at Crystal Palace	+170

Aston Villa		Money Line
L 0-1	11/05 at Southampton	+275
L 1-3	10/22 at Arsenal	+285
L 3-2	10/16 vs Wolverhampton	+120
L 1-2	10/03 at Tottenham	+255
W 1-0	9/25 at Manchester United	+685

Money Line Analysis

:2.7%:3.3%

	Open Line	Bookmaker	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton and Hove Albion	+185	-	+200	+204	+194	+204	+204	+211.8
Aston Villa	+155	-	+145	+150	+148	+150	+150	+157.6
Draw	+225	-	+230	+235	+215	+235	+235	+243.5

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton and Hove Albion	+190	-	+195	-	+190	+200	+205	+211.8
Aston Villa	+150	-	+148	-	+130	+140	+148	+157.6
Draw	+225	-	+222	-	+190	+230	+230	+243.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Aston Villa: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Brighton and Hove Albion ML moved from +204 to +19411/20/2021
03:02 PM

Aston Villa ML moved from +146 to +14011/20/2021
06:40 AM

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Aston Villa: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Brighton and Hove Albion ML moved from +200 to +19011/20/2021
02:57 PM

Aston Villa ML moved from +150 to +13511/19/2021
07:48 AM

Over/Under Analysis

	Open Line	Bookmaker	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	o2¼-125	o2½+101	-	o2½+101		o2½+112
Under		-	u2¼+105	u2½-121	-	u2½-121		u2½-112

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		o2½+105	o2½+105	-	o2½+105	o2½+105		o2½+112
Under		u2½-125	u2½-125	-	u2½-135	u2½-125		u2½-112

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	54.2%


No	45.8%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	6.36%
Exactly 2	24.14%
Exactly 4	15.27%
Exactly 6	3.87%
Exactly 8	0.52%


Exactly 1	17.52%
Exactly 3	22.17%
Exactly 5	8.42%
Exactly 7	1.52%
Exactly 9	0.16%

Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 0	32.77%
Exactly 1	36.56%
Exactly 2	20.40%
Exactly 3	7.59%
Exactly 4	2.12%
Exactly 5	0.47%

Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 0	19.40%
Exactly 1	31.82%
Exactly 2	26.08%
Exactly 3	14.26%
Exactly 4	5.84%
Exactly 5	1.92%
Exactly 6	0.52%
Exactly 7	0.12%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	27.92%
Exactly 2	22.72%
Exactly 4	3.08%
Exactly 6	0.17%


Exactly 1	35.62%
Exactly 3	9.66%
Exactly 5	0.79%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 0	59.65%
Exactly 1	30.82%
Exactly 2	7.96%
Exactly 3	1.37%
Exactly 4	0.18%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 0	46.80%
Exactly 1	35.53%
Exactly 2	13.49%
Exactly 3	3.41%
Exactly 4	0.65%

Alternate Props

Spread

Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals	9.91%
Wins by 3+ goals	2.92%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.65%

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals	26.18%
Wins by 3+ goals	11.08%
Wins by 4+ goals	3.83%
Wins by 5+ goals	1.10%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Brighton and Hove Albion

Aston Villa

Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal	15.89%
Wins by 2 goals	6.99%
Wins by 3 goals	2.27%
Wins by 4 goals	0.56%

Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal	23.36%
Wins by 2 goals	15.11%
Wins by 3 goals	7.24%
Wins by 4 goals	2.73%
Wins by 5 goals	0.84%
Wins by 6 goals	0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	93.64%	6.36%
1.5	76.12%	23.88%
2.5	51.99%	48.01%
3.5	29.82%	70.18%
4.5	14.55%	85.45%
5.5	6.13%	93.87%
6.5	2.26%	97.74%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	67.23%	32.77%
1.5	30.67%	69.33%
2.5	10.28%	89.72%
3.5	2.69%	97.31%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	80.60%	19.40%
1.5	48.78%	51.22%
2.5	22.70%	77.30%
3.5	8.44%	91.56%
4.5	2.59%	97.41%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	72.08%	27.92%
1.5	36.46%	63.54%
2.5	13.74%	86.26%
3.5	4.07%	95.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

Brighton and Hove Albion

Aston Villa

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6.36%	10.43%	8.55%	4.67%	1.92%	0.63%
1	7.09%	11.63%	9.54%	5.21%	2.14%	0.70%
2	3.96%	6.49%	5.32%	2.91%	1.19%	0.39%
3	1.47%	2.41%	1.98%	1.08%	0.44%	0.15%
4	0.41%	0.67%	0.55%	0.30%	0.12%	0.04%

Brighton and Hove Albion
1-0	7.09%
2-0	3.96%
2-1	6.49%
3-0	1.47%
3-1	2.41%
3-2	1.98%
4-0	0.41%
4-1	0.67%
4-2	0.55%
4-3	0.30%

Draw
0-0	6.36%
1-1	11.63%
2-2	5.32%
3-3	1.08%
4-4	0.12%

Aston Villa
0-1	10.43%
0-2	8.55%
1-2	9.54%
0-3	4.67%
1-3	5.21%
2-3	2.91%
0-4	1.92%
1-4	2.14%
2-4	1.19%
3-4	0.44%
0-5	0.63%
1-5	0.70%
2-5	0.39%
3-5	0.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Brighton and Hove Albion

Aston Villa

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	27.92%	21.20%	8.05%	2.04%	0.39%
1	14.42%	10.95%	4.16%	1.05%	0.20%
2	3.73%	2.83%	1.07%	0.27%	0.05%
3	0.64%	0.49%	0.18%	0.05%	0.01%

Brighton and Hove Albion
1-0	14.42%
2-0	3.73%
2-1	2.83%
3-0	0.64%
3-1	0.49%
3-2	0.18%

Draw
0-0	27.92%
1-1	10.95%
2-2	1.07%

Aston Villa
0-1	21.20%
0-2	8.05%
1-2	4.16%
0-3	2.04%
1-3	1.05%
2-3	0.27%
0-4	0.39%
1-4	0.20%

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