Newcastle United at Brighton and Hove Albion

Updated 1049 days ago

05:30 PM • Nov 6, 2021

Newcastle United

31.9%26.0%42.1%

Newcastle United WinDrawBrighton and Hove Albion Win

1.11Projected Goals 1.47

1Final Score 1

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United		Money Line
T 1-1	10/23 at Crystal Palace	+328
L 3-2	10/17 vs Tottenham	+260
L 1-2	10/02 at Wolverhampton	+350
T 1-1	9/25 at Watford	+254
T 1-1	9/17 vs Leeds United	+200

Brighton and Hove Albion		Money Line
L 4-1	10/23 vs Manchester City	+700
T 0-0	10/16 at Norwich City	+110
T 0-0	10/02 vs Arsenal	+225
T 1-1	9/27 at Crystal Palace	+170
W 1-2	9/19 vs Leicester City	+150

Money Line Analysis

:3.6%:4.2%

	Open Line	Bookmaker	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United	+400	-	+450	+495	+456	+495	+495	+525.9
Brighton and Hove Albion	-145	-	-170	-170	-173	-170	-170	-155.0
Draw	+285	-	+310	+320	+306	+320	+320	+330.2

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United	+465	-	+485	-	+400	+525	+525	+525.9
Brighton and Hove Albion	-165	-	-175	-	-190	-180	-175	-155.0
Draw	+300	-	+307	-	+270	+305	+307	+330.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +500 to +48511/06/2021
04:42 PM

Brighton and Hove Albion ML moved from -173 to -18211/06/2021
11:22 AM

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +490 to +48011/06/2021
04:42 PM

Brighton and Hove Albion ML moved from -174 to -18511/06/2021
10:17 AM

Over/Under Analysis

	Open Line	Bookmaker	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	o2½-112	o2½-114	-	o2½-114		o2½+100
Under		-	u2½-108	u2½-106	-	u2½-106		u2½+100

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		o2½-110	o2½-110	-	o2½-110	o2½-110		o2½+100
Under		u2½-110	u2½-110	-	u2½-120	u2½-110		u2½+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	51.7%


No	48.3%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	7.55%
Exactly 2	25.20%
Exactly 4	14.02%
Exactly 6	3.12%
Exactly 8	0.37%


Exactly 1	19.50%
Exactly 3	21.70%
Exactly 5	7.25%
Exactly 7	1.15%
Exactly 9	0.11%

Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 0	32.78%
Exactly 1	36.56%
Exactly 2	20.39%
Exactly 3	7.58%
Exactly 4	2.11%
Exactly 5	0.47%

Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 0	23.03%
Exactly 1	33.81%
Exactly 2	24.83%
Exactly 3	12.15%
Exactly 4	4.46%
Exactly 5	1.31%
Exactly 6	0.32%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	30.23%
Exactly 2	21.63%
Exactly 4	2.58%
Exactly 6	0.12%


Exactly 1	36.16%
Exactly 3	8.63%
Exactly 5	0.62%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 0	59.66%
Exactly 1	30.81%
Exactly 2	7.96%
Exactly 3	1.37%
Exactly 4	0.18%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 0	50.67%
Exactly 1	34.45%
Exactly 2	11.71%
Exactly 3	2.65%
Exactly 4	0.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals	11.17%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.33%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.75%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.11%

Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals	22.16%
Wins by 3+ goals	8.57%
Wins by 4+ goals	2.66%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.65%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United

Brighton and Hove Albion

Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal	17.47%
Wins by 2 goals	7.84%
Wins by 3 goals	2.58%
Wins by 4 goals	0.65%
Wins by 5 goals	0.11%

Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal	23.01%
Wins by 2 goals	13.60%
Wins by 3 goals	5.91%
Wins by 4 goals	2.01%
Wins by 5 goals	0.55%
Wins by 6 goals	0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	92.45%	7.55%
1.5	72.95%	27.05%
2.5	47.75%	52.25%
3.5	26.05%	73.95%
4.5	12.03%	87.97%
5.5	4.79%	95.21%
6.5	1.67%	98.33%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	67.22%	32.78%
1.5	30.66%	69.34%
2.5	10.27%	89.73%
3.5	2.69%	97.31%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	76.97%	23.03%
1.5	43.16%	56.84%
2.5	18.33%	81.67%
3.5	6.18%	93.82%
4.5	1.71%	98.29%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	69.77%	30.23%
1.5	33.61%	66.39%
2.5	11.97%	88.03%
3.5	3.35%	96.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle United

Brighton and Hove Albion

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7.55%	11.08%	8.14%	3.98%	1.46%	0.43%
1	8.42%	12.36%	9.08%	4.44%	1.63%	0.48%
2	4.70%	6.90%	5.06%	2.48%	0.91%	0.27%
3	1.75%	2.56%	1.88%	0.92%	0.34%	0.10%
4	0.49%	0.71%	0.52%	0.26%	0.09%	0.03%
5	0.11%	0.16%	0.12%	0.06%	0.02%	0.01%

Newcastle United
1-0	8.42%
2-0	4.70%
2-1	6.90%
3-0	1.75%
3-1	2.56%
3-2	1.88%
4-0	0.49%
4-1	0.71%
4-2	0.52%
4-3	0.26%
5-0	0.11%
5-1	0.16%
5-2	0.12%

Draw
0-0	7.55%
1-1	12.36%
2-2	5.06%
3-3	0.92%

Brighton and Hove Albion
0-1	11.08%
0-2	8.14%
1-2	9.08%
0-3	3.98%
1-3	4.44%
2-3	2.48%
0-4	1.46%
1-4	1.63%
2-4	0.91%
3-4	0.34%
0-5	0.43%
1-5	0.48%
2-5	0.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle United

Brighton and Hove Albion

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	30.23%	20.55%	6.99%	1.58%	0.27%
1	15.61%	10.61%	3.61%	0.82%	0.14%
2	4.03%	2.74%	0.93%	0.21%	0.04%
3	0.69%	0.47%	0.16%	0.04%	0.01%

Newcastle United
1-0	15.61%
2-0	4.03%
2-1	2.74%
3-0	0.69%
3-1	0.47%
3-2	0.16%

Draw
0-0	30.23%
1-1	10.61%
2-2	0.93%

Brighton and Hove Albion
0-1	20.55%
0-2	6.99%
1-2	3.61%
0-3	1.58%
1-3	0.82%
2-3	0.21%
0-4	0.27%
1-4	0.14%

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