Newcastle United at Watford

Updated 1091 days ago

02:00 PM • Sep 25, 2021

Newcastle United

41.3%26.5%32.2%

Newcastle United WinDrawWatford Win

1.42Projected Goals 1.10

1Final Score 1

Watford

Last Games

Newcastle United		Money Line
T 1-1	9/17 vs Leeds United	+200
T 2-2	8/28 vs Southampton	+140
L 0-2	8/21 at Aston Villa	+320
L 4-2	8/15 vs West Ham United	+235
W 2-0	5/23 at Fulham	+190

Watford		Money Line
W 3-1	9/18 at Norwich City	+236
L 0-1	8/29 at Tottenham	+675
L 0-2	8/21 at Brighton and Hove Albion	+445
W 2-3	8/14 vs Aston Villa	+252

Money Line Analysis

:2.8%:3.5%

	Open Line	Bookmaker	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United	+195	-	+245	+255	+244	+255	+255	+266.8
Watford	+145	-	+115	+112	+109	+112	+115	+120.7
Draw	+235	-	+245	+255	+244	+255	+255	+264.7

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United	+230	-	+254	-	+220	+250	+254	+266.8
Watford	+125	-	+107	-	+100	+115	+115	+120.7
Draw	+230	-	+248	-	+215	+235	+248	+264.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +265 to +25509/25/2021
01:51 PM

Watford ML moved from +118 to +11109/24/2021
03:51 PM

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Newcastle United ML

Watford ML moved from +110 to +10009/25/2021
08:09 AM

Over/Under Analysis

	Open Line	Bookmaker	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	o2½-108	o2½+100	-	o2½+100		o2½+100
Under		-	u2½-112	u2½-120	-	u2½-120		u2½+100

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		o2½-105	o2½-108	-	o2½-110	o2½-105		o2½+100
Under		u2½-115	u2½-112	-	u2½-120	u2½-115		u2½+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	50.6%


No	49.4%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	8.06%
Exactly 2	25.56%
Exactly 4	13.51%
Exactly 6	2.86%
Exactly 8	0.32%


Exactly 1	20.29%
Exactly 3	21.45%
Exactly 5	6.80%
Exactly 7	1.03%

Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 0	24.32%
Exactly 1	34.38%
Exactly 2	24.31%
Exactly 3	11.46%
Exactly 4	4.05%
Exactly 5	1.15%
Exactly 6	0.27%

Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 0	33.14%
Exactly 1	36.60%
Exactly 2	20.21%
Exactly 3	7.44%
Exactly 4	2.05%
Exactly 5	0.45%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	31.16%
Exactly 2	21.18%
Exactly 4	2.40%
Exactly 6	0.11%


Exactly 1	36.33%
Exactly 3	8.23%
Exactly 5	0.56%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 0	51.96%
Exactly 1	34.02%
Exactly 2	11.14%
Exactly 3	2.43%
Exactly 4	0.40%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 0	59.97%
Exactly 1	30.67%
Exactly 2	7.84%
Exactly 3	1.34%
Exactly 4	0.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals	21.07%
Wins by 3+ goals	7.91%
Wins by 4+ goals	2.38%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.57%

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals	11.42%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.39%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.77%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United

Watford

Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal	22.93%
Wins by 2 goals	13.16%
Wins by 3 goals	5.53%
Wins by 4 goals	1.82%
Wins by 5 goals	0.48%

Watford
Wins by 1 goal	17.91%
Wins by 2 goals	8.03%
Wins by 3 goals	2.63%
Wins by 4 goals	0.66%
Wins by 5 goals	0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	91.94%	8.06%
1.5	71.65%	28.35%
2.5	46.09%	53.91%
3.5	24.64%	75.36%
4.5	11.13%	88.87%
5.5	4.33%	95.67%
6.5	1.47%	98.53%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	75.68%	24.32%
1.5	41.30%	58.70%
2.5	16.99%	83.01%
3.5	5.53%	94.47%
4.5	1.48%	98.52%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	66.86%	33.14%
1.5	30.26%	69.74%
2.5	10.05%	89.95%
3.5	2.61%	97.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	68.84%	31.16%
1.5	32.51%	67.49%
2.5	11.32%	88.68%
3.5	3.09%	96.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle United

Watford

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8.06%	8.90%	4.92%	1.81%	0.50%	0.11%
1	11.39%	12.58%	6.95%	2.56%	0.71%	0.16%
2	8.06%	8.90%	4.91%	1.81%	0.50%	0.11%
3	3.80%	4.19%	2.32%	0.85%	0.24%	0.05%
4	1.34%	1.48%	0.82%	0.30%	0.08%	0.02%
5	0.38%	0.42%	0.23%	0.09%	0.02%	0.01%

Newcastle United
1-0	11.39%
2-0	8.06%
2-1	8.90%
3-0	3.80%
3-1	4.19%
3-2	2.32%
4-0	1.34%
4-1	1.48%
4-2	0.82%
4-3	0.30%
5-0	0.38%
5-1	0.42%
5-2	0.23%

Draw
0-0	8.06%
1-1	12.58%
2-2	4.91%
3-3	0.85%

Watford
0-1	8.90%
0-2	4.92%
1-2	6.95%
0-3	1.81%
1-3	2.56%
2-3	1.81%
0-4	0.50%
1-4	0.71%
2-4	0.50%
3-4	0.24%
0-5	0.11%
1-5	0.16%
2-5	0.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle United

Watford

Score	0	1	2	3
0	31.16%	15.93%	4.07%	0.69%
1	20.40%	10.43%	2.67%	0.45%
2	6.68%	3.41%	0.87%	0.15%
3	1.46%	0.75%	0.19%	0.03%
4	0.24%	0.12%	0.03%	0.01%

Newcastle United
1-0	20.40%
2-0	6.68%
2-1	3.41%
3-0	1.46%
3-1	0.75%
3-2	0.19%
4-0	0.24%
4-1	0.12%

Draw
0-0	31.16%
1-1	10.43%
2-2	0.87%

Watford
0-1	15.93%
0-2	4.07%
1-2	2.67%
0-3	0.69%
1-3	0.45%
2-3	0.15%

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