Newcastle United at Manchester City

Updated

Newcastle United

5.5%11.7%82.8%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.62Projected Goals 2.83
0Final Score 5

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Liverpool+700
W 3-0 at Norwich City+123
W 0-1 vs Crystal Palace+130
W 1-2 vs Leicester City+110
W 0-1 vs Wolverhampton+100
Manchester City
Money Line
W 4-0 at Leeds United-320
W 1-5 vs Watford-840
W 0-3 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-450
T 2-2 vs Liverpool+100
W 2-0 at Burnley-590

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United+1300+970+1400+1600+1615+1700+1700+1573.6
Manchester City-500-725-595-575-703-575-575-444.2
Draw+600+577+675+700+692+675+692+706.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United+1750-+1500--+1600+1600+1573.6
Manchester City-650--572---600-572-444.2
Draw+675-+615--+650+650+706.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 50.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +994 to +970
Manchester City ML moved from -713 to -725

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Manchester City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Newcastle United: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 40.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +1750 to +1600
Manchester City ML moved from -575 to -600

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-102o3-154o3¼-120o3¼-120-o3¼-120o3-148o3¼-109
Underu3¼-118u3+139u3¼+100u3¼+104-u3¼+104u3¼+104u3¼+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-145o3-150o3-153-o3-150o3½+110o3-150o3¼-109
Underu3+125u3+130u3+133-u3+120u3½-130u3½-130u3¼+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.2%
 
No56.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.19%
Exactly 218.92%
Exactly 418.73%
Exactly 67.42%
Exactly 81.57%
Exactly 100.21%
 
Exactly 110.98%
Exactly 321.74%
Exactly 512.91%
Exactly 73.65%
Exactly 90.60%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 054.05%
Exactly 133.25%
Exactly 210.23%
Exactly 32.10%
Exactly 40.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 05.89%
Exactly 116.69%
Exactly 223.62%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 415.78%
Exactly 58.94%
Exactly 64.22%
Exactly 71.71%
Exactly 80.60%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.28%
Exactly 225.81%
Exactly 45.48%
Exactly 60.46%
 
Exactly 132.36%
Exactly 313.73%
Exactly 51.75%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 075.21%
Exactly 121.42%
Exactly 23.05%
Exactly 30.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 026.96%
Exactly 135.34%
Exactly 223.16%
Exactly 310.12%
Exactly 43.32%
Exactly 50.87%
Exactly 60.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals1.23%
Wins by 3+ goals0.20%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals63.24%
Wins by 3+ goals41.24%
Wins by 4+ goals22.94%
Wins by 5+ goals10.97%
Wins by 6+ goals4.55%
Wins by 7+ goals1.63%
Wins by 8+ goals0.49%
Wins by 9+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Manchester City
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal4.23%
Wins by 2 goals1.03%
Wins by 3 goals0.18%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal19.52%
Wins by 2 goals22.00%
Wins by 3 goals18.31%
Wins by 4 goals11.97%
Wins by 5 goals6.42%
Wins by 6 goals2.91%
Wins by 7 goals1.14%
Wins by 8 goals0.39%
Wins by 9 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.81%3.19%
1.585.83%14.17%
2.566.91%33.09%
3.545.18%54.82%
4.526.45%73.55%
5.513.54%86.46%
6.56.12%93.88%
7.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.545.95%54.05%
1.512.69%87.31%
2.52.46%97.54%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.11%5.89%
1.577.42%22.58%
2.553.80%46.20%
3.531.50%68.50%
4.515.72%84.28%
5.56.79%93.21%
6.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.72%20.28%
1.547.37%52.63%
2.521.55%78.45%
3.57.82%92.18%
4.52.34%97.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle United
Manchester City
Score012345
0
3.19%
9.02%
12.77%
12.05%
8.53%
4.83%
1
1.96%
5.55%
7.86%
7.41%
5.25%
2.97%
2
0.60%
1.71%
2.42%
2.28%
1.61%
0.91%
3
0.12%
0.35%
0.50%
0.47%
0.33%
0.19%
Newcastle United
1-01.96%
2-00.60%
2-11.71%
3-00.12%
3-10.35%
3-20.50%
Draw
0-03.19%
1-15.55%
2-22.42%
3-30.47%
Manchester City
0-19.02%
0-212.77%
1-27.86%
0-312.05%
1-37.41%
2-32.28%
0-48.53%
1-45.25%
2-41.61%
3-40.33%
0-54.83%
1-52.97%
2-50.91%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle United
Manchester City
Score0123456
0
20.28%
26.58%
17.42%
7.61%
2.49%
0.65%
0.14%
1
5.78%
7.57%
4.96%
2.17%
0.71%
0.19%
0.04%
2
0.82%
1.08%
0.71%
0.31%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Newcastle United
1-05.78%
2-00.82%
2-11.08%
Draw
0-020.28%
1-17.57%
2-20.71%
Manchester City
0-126.58%
0-217.42%
1-24.96%
0-37.61%
1-32.17%
2-30.31%
0-42.49%
1-40.71%
2-40.10%
0-50.65%
1-50.19%
0-60.14%
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