Watford at Manchester City

Updated

Watford

3.9%10.0%86.2%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.51Projected Goals 2.94
1Final Score 5

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Leeds United+180
L 0-2 at Liverpool+2000
W 2-1 at Southampton+435
L 3-2 vs Arsenal+600
T 0-0 at Manchester United+750
Manchester City
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-450
T 2-2 vs Liverpool+100
W 2-0 at Burnley-590
T 0-0 at Crystal Palace-322
W 1-4 vs Manchester United-250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+2400+2143+2200+2200+2512+2200+2512+2314.9
Manchester City-1000-838-950-820-1152-820-820-624.3
Draw+900+987+825+875+940+875+987+934.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+1940-+1975--+1940+1975+2314.9
Manchester City-850--840---850-840-624.3
Draw+820-+805--+820+820+934.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 20.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +2300 to +2200
Manchester City ML moved from -850 to -950

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Manchester City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +1915 to +1850
Manchester City ML moved from -780 to -840

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-112o3½-103o3½-102o3½+100-o3½+100o3½+100o3½+109
Underu3½-108u3½-112u3½-118u3½-116-u3½-116u3½-112u3½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-110o3½-105o3½-105-o3½-115o3½+100o3½+100o3½+109
Underu3½-120u3½-115u3½-115-u3½-115u3½-120u3½-115u3½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-116 to u3¼-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes37.4%
 
No62.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.18%
Exactly 218.92%
Exactly 418.73%
Exactly 67.42%
Exactly 81.57%
Exactly 100.21%
 
Exactly 110.98%
Exactly 321.74%
Exactly 512.91%
Exactly 73.65%
Exactly 90.60%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 060.50%
Exactly 130.40%
Exactly 27.64%
Exactly 31.28%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 05.26%
Exactly 115.50%
Exactly 222.82%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 416.48%
Exactly 59.71%
Exactly 64.76%
Exactly 72.00%
Exactly 80.74%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.27%
Exactly 225.82%
Exactly 45.48%
Exactly 60.47%
 
Exactly 132.35%
Exactly 313.73%
Exactly 51.75%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 079.24%
Exactly 118.44%
Exactly 22.15%
Exactly 30.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 025.58%
Exactly 134.88%
Exactly 223.77%
Exactly 310.80%
Exactly 43.68%
Exactly 51.00%
Exactly 60.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals0.74%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals67.83%
Wins by 3+ goals45.83%
Wins by 4+ goals26.47%
Wins by 5+ goals13.15%
Wins by 6+ goals5.67%
Wins by 7+ goals2.12%
Wins by 8+ goals0.67%
Wins by 9+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Manchester City
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Watford
Wins by 1 goal3.11%
Wins by 2 goals0.64%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal18.25%
Wins by 2 goals22.00%
Wins by 3 goals19.36%
Wins by 4 goals13.31%
Wins by 5 goals7.48%
Wins by 6 goals3.55%
Wins by 7 goals1.45%
Wins by 8 goals0.52%
Wins by 9 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.82%3.18%
1.585.84%14.16%
2.566.92%33.08%
3.545.19%54.81%
4.526.46%73.54%
5.513.54%86.46%
6.56.13%93.87%
7.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.539.50%60.50%
1.59.10%90.90%
2.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.74%5.26%
1.579.24%20.76%
2.556.42%43.58%
3.534.03%65.97%
4.517.55%82.45%
5.57.84%92.16%
6.53.08%96.92%
7.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.73%20.27%
1.547.37%52.63%
2.521.56%78.44%
3.57.82%92.18%
4.52.35%97.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Manchester City
Score012345
0
3.18%
9.38%
13.80%
13.55%
9.97%
5.87%
1
1.60%
4.71%
6.94%
6.81%
5.01%
2.95%
2
0.40%
1.18%
1.74%
1.71%
1.26%
0.74%
Watford
1-01.60%
2-00.40%
2-11.18%
Draw
0-03.18%
1-14.71%
2-21.74%
3-30.29%
Manchester City
0-19.38%
0-213.80%
1-26.94%
0-313.55%
1-36.81%
2-31.71%
0-49.97%
1-45.01%
2-41.26%
3-40.21%
0-55.87%
1-52.95%
2-50.74%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Manchester City
Score0123456
0
20.27%
27.64%
18.84%
8.56%
2.92%
0.80%
0.18%
1
4.72%
6.43%
4.38%
1.99%
0.68%
0.19%
0.04%
2
0.55%
0.75%
0.51%
0.23%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Watford
1-04.72%
2-00.55%
2-10.75%
Draw
0-020.27%
1-16.43%
2-20.51%
Manchester City
0-127.64%
0-218.84%
1-24.38%
0-38.56%
1-31.99%
2-30.23%
0-42.92%
1-40.68%
0-50.80%
1-50.19%
0-60.18%