Arsenal at Watford

Updated

Arsenal

64.6%21.1%14.3%
Arsenal WinDrawWin
1.94Projected Goals 0.78
3Final Score 2

Watford

Last 5 Games

Arsenal
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Wolverhampton-150
W 1-0 at Wolverhampton+130
T 0-0 vs Burnley-330
L 2-1 vs Manchester City+435
W 5-0 at Norwich City-202
Watford
Money Line
T 0-0 at Manchester United+750
L 4-1 vs Crystal Palace+210
W 1-0 at Aston Villa+450
L 2-0 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+290
L 0-1 at West Ham United+575

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal-170-184-190-185-197-185-184-170.6
Watford+500+621+500+575+528+575+621+604.6
Draw+290+322+310+320+321+320+322+339.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal-170--200--215-200-200-170.6
Watford+510-+600-+525+600+600+604.6
Draw+290-+310-+250+315+315+339.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Watford: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Watford: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -188 to -195
Watford ML moved from +558 to +528

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Watford: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -190 to -200
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2½-105o2½-112o2½-111-o2½-111o2½-105o2½+100
Underu2½-108u2½-110u2½-108u2½-105-u2½-105u2½-105u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-105o2½-110-o2½-110o2½-110o2½-105o2½+100
Underu2½-115u2½-115u2½-110-u2½-120u2½-110u2½-110u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.4%
 
No53.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.59%
Exactly 224.37%
Exactly 415.02%
Exactly 63.71%
Exactly 80.49%
 
Exactly 117.92%
Exactly 322.09%
Exactly 58.17%
Exactly 71.44%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 014.40%
Exactly 127.90%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 317.47%
Exactly 48.46%
Exactly 53.28%
Exactly 61.06%
Exactly 70.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 045.75%
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 213.99%
Exactly 33.65%
Exactly 40.71%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.38%
Exactly 222.51%
Exactly 42.98%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.74%
Exactly 39.45%
Exactly 50.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 040.76%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 216.41%
Exactly 34.91%
Exactly 41.10%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 069.62%
Exactly 125.21%
Exactly 24.56%
Exactly 30.55%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals39.30%
Wins by 3+ goals19.37%
Wins by 4+ goals7.85%
Wins by 5+ goals2.65%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals4.15%
Wins by 3+ goals0.90%
Wins by 4+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal
Watford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal25.22%
Wins by 2 goals19.93%
Wins by 3 goals11.52%
Wins by 4 goals5.21%
Wins by 5 goals1.92%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal10.17%
Wins by 2 goals3.24%
Wins by 3 goals0.75%
Wins by 4 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.41%6.59%
1.575.50%24.50%
2.551.13%48.87%
3.529.04%70.96%
4.514.01%85.99%
5.55.84%94.16%
6.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.60%14.40%
1.557.70%42.30%
2.530.66%69.34%
3.513.19%86.81%
4.54.72%95.28%
5.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.25%45.75%
1.518.47%81.53%
2.54.49%95.51%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.62%28.38%
1.535.87%64.13%
2.513.36%86.64%
3.53.92%96.08%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal
Watford
Score01234
0
6.59%
5.15%
2.01%
0.52%
0.10%
1
12.77%
9.98%
3.90%
1.02%
0.20%
2
12.37%
9.67%
3.78%
0.99%
0.19%
3
7.99%
6.25%
2.44%
0.64%
0.12%
4
3.87%
3.03%
1.18%
0.31%
0.06%
5
1.50%
1.17%
0.46%
0.12%
0.02%
Arsenal
1-012.77%
2-012.37%
2-19.67%
3-07.99%
3-16.25%
3-22.44%
4-03.87%
4-13.03%
4-21.18%
4-30.31%
5-01.50%
5-11.17%
5-20.46%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-06.59%
1-19.98%
2-23.78%
3-30.64%
Watford
0-15.15%
0-22.01%
1-23.90%
0-30.52%
1-31.02%
2-30.99%
0-40.10%
1-40.20%
2-40.19%
3-40.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal
Watford
Score0123
0
28.38%
10.28%
1.86%
0.22%
1
25.47%
9.22%
1.67%
0.20%
2
11.43%
4.14%
0.75%
0.09%
3
3.42%
1.24%
0.22%
0.03%
4
0.77%
0.28%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-025.47%
2-011.43%
2-14.14%
3-03.42%
3-11.24%
3-20.22%
4-00.77%
4-10.28%
5-00.14%
Draw
0-028.38%
1-19.22%
2-20.75%
Watford
0-110.28%
0-21.86%
1-21.67%
0-30.22%
1-30.20%