Aston Villa at Crystal Palace

Updated

Aston Villa

38.7%28.0%33.3%
Aston Villa WinDrawCrystal Palace Win
1.23Projected Goals 1.12
1Final Score 3

Crystal Palace

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Everton-125
L 0-2 at Bournemouth+100
L 2-3 at Manchester City+1600
T 1-1 vs Burnley+110
T 1-1 vs Crystal Palace-110
Crystal Palace
Money Line
T 1-1 at Liverpool+1300
L 2-0 vs Arsenal+340
W 0-1 vs Manchester United+175
L 2-3 at Everton+365
T 1-1 at Aston Villa+332

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+185+213+200+210+199+212+213-
Crystal Palace+155+155+150+147+145+150+155-
Draw+215+223+210+225+217+220+225-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+190-+201-+170+200+201-
Crystal Palace+150-+148-+130+145+148-
Draw+225-+215-+210+220+220-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Crystal Palace: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 30.0%
Crystal Palace: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Crystal Palace: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +220 to +214
Crystal Palace ML moved from +149 to +143

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Crystal Palace: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 30.0%
Crystal Palace: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Crystal Palace: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Aston Villa ML
No Steam Moves On Crystal Palace ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-122o2½+128o2¼-108o2¼+100-o2¼+100o2¼+100-
Underu2¼+102u2½-143u2¼-112u2¼-116-u2¼-116u2½-143-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110o2½+120o2½+125-o2½+110o2½+120o2½+125-
Underu2½-130u2½-140u2½-145-u2½-140u2½-140u2½-140-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.6%
 
No52.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.58%
Exactly 226.35%
Exactly 412.08%
Exactly 62.22%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.47%
Exactly 320.60%
Exactly 55.67%
Exactly 70.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 029.30%
Exactly 135.97%
Exactly 222.08%
Exactly 39.03%
Exactly 42.77%
Exactly 50.68%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Crystal Palace
Exactly 032.69%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 220.43%
Exactly 37.62%
Exactly 42.13%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.76%
Exactly 219.91%
Exactly 41.96%
 
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 37.21%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 056.65%
Exactly 132.19%
Exactly 29.15%
Exactly 31.73%
Exactly 40.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Crystal Palace
Exactly 059.59%
Exactly 130.85%
Exactly 27.99%
Exactly 31.38%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals16.76%
Wins by 3+ goals5.62%
Wins by 4+ goals1.50%
Wins by 5+ goals0.32%
Crystal Palace
Wins by 2+ goals13.28%
Wins by 3+ goals4.04%
Wins by 4+ goals0.93%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Crystal Palace
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal21.90%
Wins by 2 goals11.14%
Wins by 3 goals4.12%
Wins by 4 goals1.18%
Wins by 5 goals0.27%
Crystal Palace
Wins by 1 goal19.95%
Wins by 2 goals9.24%
Wins by 3 goals3.10%
Wins by 4 goals0.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.42%9.58%
1.567.95%32.05%
2.541.60%58.40%
3.521.00%79.00%
4.58.92%91.08%
5.53.25%96.75%
6.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.70%29.30%
1.534.73%65.27%
2.512.65%87.35%
3.53.62%96.38%

Total Goals Crystal Palace Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.31%32.69%
1.530.76%69.24%
2.510.33%89.67%
3.52.71%97.29%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.24%33.76%
1.529.58%70.42%
2.59.68%90.32%
3.52.47%97.53%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Crystal Palace
Score012345
0
9.58%
10.71%
5.99%
2.23%
0.62%
0.14%
1
11.76%
13.15%
7.35%
2.74%
0.77%
0.17%
2
7.22%
8.07%
4.51%
1.68%
0.47%
0.11%
3
2.95%
3.30%
1.85%
0.69%
0.19%
0.04%
4
0.91%
1.01%
0.57%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.22%
0.25%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-011.76%
2-07.22%
2-18.07%
3-02.95%
3-13.30%
3-21.85%
4-00.91%
4-11.01%
4-20.57%
4-30.21%
5-00.22%
5-10.25%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-09.58%
1-113.15%
2-24.51%
3-30.69%
Crystal Palace
0-110.71%
0-25.99%
1-27.35%
0-32.23%
1-32.74%
2-31.68%
0-40.62%
1-40.77%
2-40.47%
3-40.19%
0-50.14%
1-50.17%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Crystal Palace
Score01234
0
33.76%
17.48%
4.52%
0.78%
0.10%
1
19.18%
9.93%
2.57%
0.44%
0.06%
2
5.45%
2.82%
0.73%
0.13%
0.02%
3
1.03%
0.53%
0.14%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.15%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-019.18%
2-05.45%
2-12.82%
3-01.03%
3-10.53%
3-20.14%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-033.76%
1-19.93%
2-20.73%
Crystal Palace
0-117.48%
0-24.52%
1-22.57%
0-30.78%
1-30.44%
2-30.13%
0-40.10%