Manchester United at Arsenal

Updated 20 days ago

08:15 PM • Dec 4, 2024

Manchester United

44.4%26.3%29.2%

Manchester United WinDrawArsenal Win

1.43Projected Goals 1.11

0Final Score 2

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

Manchester United		Money Line
W 0-4	12/01 vs Everton	-175
W 0-3	11/10 vs Leicester City	-305
T 1-1	11/03 vs Chelsea	+164
L 1-2	10/27 at West Ham United	+120
T 0-0	10/06 at Aston Villa	+210

Arsenal		Money Line
W 5-2	11/30 at West Ham United	-240
T 1-1	11/10 at Chelsea	+146
L 0-1	11/02 at Newcastle United	+100
T 2-2	10/27 vs Liverpool	+125
L 0-2	10/19 at Bournemouth	-125

Money Line Analysis

:2.9%:4.8%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester United	+500	-	+550	+600	-	+600	+600	-
Arsenal	-200	-	-220	-225	-	-225	-220	-
Draw	+370	-	+370	+400	-	+400	+400	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester United	+560	-	+560	-	+550	+600	+600	-
Arsenal	-220	-	-240	-	-250	-235	-235	-
Draw	+370	-	+385	-	+355	+385	+385	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Manchester United: 50.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Manchester United: 60.0%

Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Manchester United: 0.0%

Arsenal: 10.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Manchester United: 0.0%

Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Manchester United ML moved from +615 to +60012/04/2024
07:59 PM

Arsenal ML moved from -220 to -23012/04/2024
07:53 PM

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Manchester United: 60.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Manchester United: 60.0%

Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Manchester United: 0.0%

Arsenal: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Manchester United: 0.0%

Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Manchester United ML moved from +600 to +56012/04/2024
08:13 PM

Arsenal ML moved from -225 to -24012/04/2024
07:18 PM

Over/Under Analysis

:2.3%:4.3%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¾-122	-	o3+100	o3-106	-	o3-106	o3+100	-
Under	u2¾+102	-	u3-120	u3-110	-	u3-110	u3-110	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o3+105	o3+100	o3+100	-	o3+100	o3+100	o3+100	-
Under	u3-125	u3-120	u3-120	-	u3-130	u3-120	u3-120	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-145 to o3+10012/04/2024
06:23 PM

The Under moved from u3-125 to u2½+12012/04/2024
12:40 PM

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	51.0%


No	49.0%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	7.89%
Exactly 2	25.44%
Exactly 4	13.67%
Exactly 6	2.94%
Exactly 8	0.34%


Exactly 1	20.04%
Exactly 3	21.54%
Exactly 5	6.95%
Exactly 7	1.07%

Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 0	23.90%
Exactly 1	34.21%
Exactly 2	24.48%
Exactly 3	11.68%
Exactly 4	4.18%
Exactly 5	1.20%
Exactly 6	0.29%

Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 0	33.01%
Exactly 1	36.59%
Exactly 2	20.27%
Exactly 3	7.49%
Exactly 4	2.08%
Exactly 5	0.46%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	30.86%
Exactly 2	21.33%
Exactly 4	2.46%
Exactly 6	0.11%


Exactly 1	36.28%
Exactly 3	8.36%
Exactly 5	0.58%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 0	51.55%
Exactly 1	34.16%
Exactly 2	11.32%
Exactly 3	2.50%
Exactly 4	0.41%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 0	59.86%
Exactly 1	30.72%
Exactly 2	7.88%
Exactly 3	1.35%
Exactly 4	0.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals	21.41%
Wins by 3+ goals	8.12%
Wins by 4+ goals	2.47%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.59%

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals	11.35%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.38%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.76%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester United

Arsenal

Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal	22.96%
Wins by 2 goals	13.30%
Wins by 3 goals	5.65%
Wins by 4 goals	1.88%
Wins by 5 goals	0.50%

Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal	17.78%
Wins by 2 goals	7.97%
Wins by 3 goals	2.61%
Wins by 4 goals	0.65%
Wins by 5 goals	0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	92.11%	7.89%
1.5	72.07%	27.93%
2.5	46.63%	53.37%
3.5	25.09%	74.91%
4.5	11.42%	88.58%
5.5	4.47%	95.53%
6.5	1.53%	98.47%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	76.10%	23.90%
1.5	41.89%	58.11%
2.5	17.41%	82.59%
3.5	5.73%	94.27%
4.5	1.55%	98.45%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	66.99%	33.01%
1.5	30.40%	69.60%
2.5	10.13%	89.87%
3.5	2.64%	97.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	69.14%	30.86%
1.5	32.86%	67.14%
2.5	11.53%	88.47%
3.5	3.17%	96.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester United

Arsenal

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7.89%	8.74%	4.85%	1.79%	0.50%	0.11%
1	11.29%	12.52%	6.94%	2.56%	0.71%	0.16%
2	8.08%	8.96%	4.96%	1.83%	0.51%	0.11%
3	3.86%	4.27%	2.37%	0.87%	0.24%	0.05%
4	1.38%	1.53%	0.85%	0.31%	0.09%	0.02%
5	0.39%	0.44%	0.24%	0.09%	0.02%	0.01%

Manchester United
1-0	11.29%
2-0	8.08%
2-1	8.96%
3-0	3.86%
3-1	4.27%
3-2	2.37%
4-0	1.38%
4-1	1.53%
4-2	0.85%
4-3	0.31%
5-0	0.39%
5-1	0.44%
5-2	0.24%

Draw
0-0	7.89%
1-1	12.52%
2-2	4.96%
3-3	0.87%

Arsenal
0-1	8.74%
0-2	4.85%
1-2	6.94%
0-3	1.79%
1-3	2.56%
2-3	1.83%
0-4	0.50%
1-4	0.71%
2-4	0.51%
3-4	0.24%
0-5	0.11%
1-5	0.16%
2-5	0.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester United

Arsenal

Score	0	1	2	3
0	30.86%	15.83%	4.06%	0.69%
1	20.45%	10.49%	2.69%	0.46%
2	6.78%	3.48%	0.89%	0.15%
3	1.50%	0.77%	0.20%	0.03%
4	0.25%	0.13%	0.03%	0.01%

Manchester United
1-0	20.45%
2-0	6.78%
2-1	3.48%
3-0	1.50%
3-1	0.77%
3-2	0.20%
4-0	0.25%
4-1	0.13%

Draw
0-0	30.86%
1-1	10.49%
2-2	0.89%

Arsenal
0-1	15.83%
0-2	4.06%
1-2	2.69%
0-3	0.69%
1-3	0.46%
2-3	0.15%

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