Manchester United at Aston Villa

Updated

Manchester United

58.2%22.0%19.8%
Manchester United WinDrawWin
1.92Projected Goals 1.02
0Final Score 0

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Manchester United
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Tottenham+115
T 0-0 at Crystal Palace+145
W 3-0 at Southampton-125
L 3-0 vs Liverpool+260
L 1-2 at Brighton and Hove Albion+190
Aston Villa
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Wolverhampton-179
W 2-3 vs Everton-145
W 2-1 at Leicester City-115
L 2-0 vs Arsenal+360
W 2-1 at West Ham United+179

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester United+170-+195+215-+215+215-
Aston Villa+140-+120+120-+120+120-
Draw+280-+290+280-+280+290-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester United+190-+183-+205+210+210-
Aston Villa+130-+125-+105+115+115-
Draw+270-+292-+270+280+292-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester United: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester United: 50.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Manchester United: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester United: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester United ML moved from +224 to +213
Aston Villa ML moved from +130 to +115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester United: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester United: 50.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Manchester United: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester United: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester United ML moved from +200 to +175
Aston Villa ML moved from +120 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-108-o3¼-108o3¼-104-o3¼-104o3¼-104-
Underu3-112-u3¼-112u3¼-112-u3¼-112u3¼-112-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3½+120o3-135-o3½+115o3-135o3-135-
Underu3-105u3½-140u3+115-u3½-145u3+115u3½-140-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-130 to o3½+115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.7%
 
No45.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.28%
Exactly 222.84%
Exactly 416.46%
Exactly 64.74%
Exactly 80.73%
 
Exactly 115.54%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.68%
Exactly 71.99%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 014.72%
Exactly 128.20%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 317.25%
Exactly 48.26%
Exactly 53.17%
Exactly 61.01%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 035.89%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.84%
Exactly 36.44%
Exactly 41.65%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.63%
Exactly 223.75%
Exactly 43.67%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.89%
Exactly 310.78%
Exactly 51.00%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 041.19%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 216.20%
Exactly 34.79%
Exactly 41.06%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 062.22%
Exactly 129.52%
Exactly 27.00%
Exactly 31.11%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals34.18%
Wins by 3+ goals16.36%
Wins by 4+ goals6.46%
Wins by 5+ goals2.12%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals6.98%
Wins by 3+ goals1.89%
Wins by 4+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester United
Aston Villa
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal23.90%
Wins by 2 goals17.82%
Wins by 3 goals9.90%
Wins by 4 goals4.34%
Wins by 5 goals1.56%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal12.78%
Wins by 2 goals5.09%
Wins by 3 goals1.50%
Wins by 4 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.72%5.28%
1.579.18%20.82%
2.556.33%43.67%
3.533.94%66.06%
4.517.48%82.52%
5.57.80%92.20%
6.53.06%96.94%
7.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.28%14.72%
1.557.07%42.93%
2.530.06%69.94%
3.512.80%87.20%
4.54.54%95.46%
5.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.11%35.89%
1.527.33%72.67%
2.58.49%91.51%
3.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.37%25.63%
1.539.48%60.52%
2.515.73%84.27%
3.54.95%95.05%
4.51.28%98.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester United
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
5.28%
5.41%
2.77%
0.95%
0.24%
1
10.12%
10.37%
5.31%
1.82%
0.47%
2
9.70%
9.94%
5.09%
1.74%
0.45%
3
6.19%
6.35%
3.25%
1.11%
0.28%
4
2.97%
3.04%
1.56%
0.53%
0.14%
5
1.14%
1.16%
0.60%
0.20%
0.05%
Manchester United
1-010.12%
2-09.70%
2-19.94%
3-06.19%
3-16.35%
3-23.25%
4-02.97%
4-13.04%
4-21.56%
4-30.53%
5-01.14%
5-11.16%
5-20.60%
5-30.20%
Draw
0-05.28%
1-110.37%
2-25.09%
3-31.11%
4-40.14%
Aston Villa
0-15.41%
0-22.77%
1-25.31%
0-30.95%
1-31.82%
2-31.74%
0-40.24%
1-40.47%
2-40.45%
3-40.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester United
Aston Villa
Score0123
0
25.63%
12.16%
2.88%
0.46%
1
22.73%
10.79%
2.56%
0.40%
2
10.08%
4.78%
1.13%
0.18%
3
2.98%
1.41%
0.34%
0.05%
4
0.66%
0.31%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Manchester United
1-022.73%
2-010.08%
2-14.78%
3-02.98%
3-11.41%
3-20.34%
4-00.66%
4-10.31%
5-00.12%
Draw
0-025.63%
1-110.79%
2-21.13%
Aston Villa
0-112.16%
0-22.88%
1-22.56%
0-30.46%
1-30.40%
2-30.18%
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