Chelsea at Watford

Updated

Chelsea

64.0%18.1%17.9%
Chelsea WinDrawWin
2.11Projected Goals 0.59
2Final Score 1

Watford

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Manchester United-180
W 3-0 at Leicester City-135
T 1-1 vs Burnley-365
W 0-7 vs Norwich City-493
W 1-3 vs Southampton-225
Watford
Money Line
L 2-4 at Leicester City+390
W 1-4 vs Manchester United+540
L 0-1 at Arsenal+650
W 5-2 at Everton+380
L 5-0 vs Liverpool+736

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-265--305-295-361-295-295-280.1
Watford+700-+800+885+916+885+916+1041.6
Draw+390-+400+435+461+435+461+469.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-275--325---320-325-280.1
Watford+775-+975--+850+975+1041.6
Draw+400-+412--+445+445+469.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -275 to -295
Watford ML moved from +750 to +725

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -298 to -325
Watford ML moved from +900 to +850

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o2¾-108o2¾-111-o2¾-111o2¾-103
Under-u2¾-112u2¾-109-u2¾-109u2¾+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+115o3+120-o3+105o3+120o2¾-103
Underu3-135u3-140-u3-135u3-140u2¾+103

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.2%
 
No60.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.71%
Exactly 224.49%
Exactly 414.89%
Exactly 63.62%
Exactly 80.47%
 
Exactly 118.13%
Exactly 322.05%
Exactly 58.05%
Exactly 71.40%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 012.12%
Exactly 125.57%
Exactly 226.99%
Exactly 318.99%
Exactly 410.02%
Exactly 54.23%
Exactly 61.49%
Exactly 70.45%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 055.38%
Exactly 132.73%
Exactly 29.67%
Exactly 31.90%
Exactly 40.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.63%
Exactly 222.39%
Exactly 42.92%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.81%
Exactly 39.34%
Exactly 50.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 037.64%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.97%
Exactly 35.85%
Exactly 41.43%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 076.06%
Exactly 120.81%
Exactly 22.85%
Exactly 30.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals47.74%
Wins by 3+ goals25.53%
Wins by 4+ goals11.29%
Wins by 5+ goals4.21%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals2.07%
Wins by 3+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Watford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal25.03%
Wins by 2 goals22.21%
Wins by 3 goals14.23%
Wins by 4 goals7.08%
Wins by 5 goals2.87%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal7.01%
Wins by 2 goals1.73%
Wins by 3 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.29%6.71%
1.575.16%24.84%
2.550.67%49.33%
3.528.62%71.38%
4.513.73%86.27%
5.55.69%94.31%
6.52.06%97.94%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.88%12.12%
1.562.31%37.69%
2.535.32%64.68%
3.516.34%83.66%
4.56.32%93.68%
5.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.544.62%55.38%
1.511.89%88.11%
2.52.22%97.78%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.37%28.63%
1.535.56%64.44%
2.513.17%86.83%
3.53.83%96.17%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Watford
Score0123
0
6.71%
3.97%
1.17%
0.23%
1
14.16%
8.37%
2.47%
0.49%
2
14.95%
8.83%
2.61%
0.51%
3
10.51%
6.21%
1.84%
0.36%
4
5.55%
3.28%
0.97%
0.19%
5
2.34%
1.38%
0.41%
0.08%
Chelsea
1-014.16%
2-014.95%
2-18.83%
3-010.51%
3-16.21%
3-21.84%
4-05.55%
4-13.28%
4-20.97%
4-30.19%
5-02.34%
5-11.38%
5-20.41%
Draw
0-06.71%
1-18.37%
2-22.61%
3-30.36%
Watford
0-13.97%
0-21.17%
1-22.47%
0-30.23%
1-30.49%
2-30.51%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Watford
Score012
0
28.63%
7.83%
1.07%
1
27.97%
7.65%
1.05%
2
13.67%
3.74%
0.51%
3
4.45%
1.22%
0.17%
4
1.09%
0.30%
0.04%
5
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
Chelsea
1-027.97%
2-013.67%
2-13.74%
3-04.45%
3-11.22%
3-20.17%
4-01.09%
4-10.30%
5-00.21%
Draw
0-028.63%
1-17.65%
2-20.51%
Watford
0-17.83%
0-21.07%
1-21.05%