Liverpool at Watford

Updated

Liverpool

69.9%16.4%13.6%
Liverpool WinDrawWin
2.13Projected Goals 0.42
5Final Score 0

Watford

Last 5 Games

Liverpool
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Manchester City+201
W 0-3 vs Crystal Palace-375
T 1-1 vs Chelsea+140
W 0-2 vs Burnley-400
W 3-0 at Norwich City-221
Watford
Money Line
L 0-1 at Leeds United+371
T 1-1 vs Newcastle United+115
W 3-1 at Norwich City+236
L 0-1 at Tottenham+675
L 0-2 at Brighton and Hove Albion+445

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool-280--325-290-362-290-290-251.2
Watford+725-+750+775+891+775+891+794.1
Draw+425-+475+465+470+465+475+478.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool-310--315--350-290-290-251.2
Watford+800-+736-+625+720+736+794.1
Draw+445-+475-+375+440+475+478.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Liverpool: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from -305 to -335
Watford ML moved from +799 to +775

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Liverpool: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from -284 to -315
Watford ML moved from +780 to +720

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o3¼+102o3-117-o3-117o3-106
Under-u3¼-122u3-103-u3-103u3+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o3-120-o3-125o3-130o3-106
Underu3+105u3+100-u3-105u3+110u3+106

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes30.0%
 
No70.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.79%
Exactly 225.38%
Exactly 413.77%
Exactly 62.99%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.89%
Exactly 321.59%
Exactly 57.03%
Exactly 71.09%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 011.82%
Exactly 125.24%
Exactly 226.95%
Exactly 319.18%
Exactly 410.24%
Exactly 54.37%
Exactly 61.56%
Exactly 70.47%
Exactly 80.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 065.92%
Exactly 127.47%
Exactly 25.72%
Exactly 30.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.68%
Exactly 221.42%
Exactly 42.49%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 38.43%
Exactly 50.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 037.21%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.18%
Exactly 35.99%
Exactly 41.48%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 082.45%
Exactly 115.91%
Exactly 21.53%

Alternate Props

Spread

Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals52.35%
Wins by 3+ goals28.70%
Wins by 4+ goals12.98%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals0.97%

Exact Winning Margin

Liverpool
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal25.22%
Wins by 2 goals23.65%
Wins by 3 goals15.72%
Wins by 4 goals8.04%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal4.91%
Wins by 2 goals0.88%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.21%7.79%
1.572.32%27.68%
2.546.95%53.05%
3.525.36%74.64%
4.511.59%88.41%
5.54.56%95.44%
6.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.18%11.82%
1.562.94%37.06%
2.535.99%64.01%
3.516.81%83.19%
4.56.57%93.43%
5.52.20%97.80%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.534.08%65.92%
1.56.61%93.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.32%30.68%
1.533.07%66.93%
2.511.65%88.35%
3.53.22%96.78%

Score Props

Correct Score

Liverpool
Watford
Score012
0
7.79%
3.25%
0.68%
1
16.64%
6.93%
1.44%
2
17.77%
7.40%
1.54%
3
12.64%
5.27%
1.10%
4
6.75%
2.81%
0.59%
Liverpool
1-016.64%
2-017.77%
2-17.40%
3-012.64%
3-15.27%
3-21.10%
4-06.75%
4-12.81%
4-20.59%
Draw
0-07.79%
1-16.93%
2-21.54%
3-30.15%
Watford
0-13.25%
0-20.68%
1-21.44%

Correct Score - First Half

Liverpool
Watford
Score012
0
30.68%
5.92%
0.57%
1
30.33%
5.85%
0.56%
2
14.99%
2.89%
0.28%
3
4.94%
0.95%
0.09%
4
1.22%
0.24%
0.02%
5
0.24%
0.05%
0.00%
Liverpool
1-030.33%
2-014.99%
2-12.89%
3-04.94%
3-10.95%
4-01.22%
4-10.24%
5-00.24%
Draw
0-030.68%
1-15.85%
2-20.28%
Watford
0-15.92%
0-20.57%
1-20.56%
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