Newcastle United at Manchester City

Updated

Newcastle United

5.5%11.7%82.8%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.62Projected Goals 2.83
0Final Score 2

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Liverpool+150
T 1-1 at Bournemouth-175
T 1-1 vs West Ham United-157
T 0-0 at Crystal Palace-116
W 0-1 vs Fulham-210
Manchester City
Money Line
W 4-1 at Bournemouth-310
W 3-1 at Arsenal+127
W 1-3 vs Aston Villa-325
L 0-1 at Tottenham-110
W 0-3 vs Wolverhampton-410

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United+585+590+525+580-+580+590-
Manchester City-215-193-205-195--195-193-
Draw+382+351+350+340-+340+351-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United+490-+550-+430+475+550-
Manchester City-270--205--220-180-180-
Draw+340-+341-+295+325+341-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Manchester City: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +565 to +558
Manchester City ML moved from -187 to -193

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Manchester City: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +500 to +475
Manchester City ML moved from -185 to -205

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-123o2½-131o2¾-110o2¾-110-o2¾-110o2½-131-
Underu2¾+107u2½+116u2¾-110u2¾-106-u2¾-106u2¾-106-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o3+120o2½-138-o3+115o3+120o2½-138-
Underu3-135u3-140u2½+118-u3-145u3-140u3-140-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.2%
 
No56.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.19%
Exactly 218.92%
Exactly 418.73%
Exactly 67.42%
Exactly 81.57%
Exactly 100.21%
 
Exactly 110.98%
Exactly 321.74%
Exactly 512.91%
Exactly 73.65%
Exactly 90.60%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 054.05%
Exactly 133.25%
Exactly 210.23%
Exactly 32.10%
Exactly 40.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 05.89%
Exactly 116.69%
Exactly 223.62%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 415.78%
Exactly 58.94%
Exactly 64.22%
Exactly 71.71%
Exactly 80.60%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.28%
Exactly 225.81%
Exactly 45.48%
Exactly 60.46%
 
Exactly 132.36%
Exactly 313.73%
Exactly 51.75%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 075.21%
Exactly 121.42%
Exactly 23.05%
Exactly 30.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 026.96%
Exactly 135.34%
Exactly 223.16%
Exactly 310.12%
Exactly 43.32%
Exactly 50.87%
Exactly 60.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals1.23%
Wins by 3+ goals0.20%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals63.24%
Wins by 3+ goals41.24%
Wins by 4+ goals22.94%
Wins by 5+ goals10.97%
Wins by 6+ goals4.55%
Wins by 7+ goals1.63%
Wins by 8+ goals0.49%
Wins by 9+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Manchester City
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal4.23%
Wins by 2 goals1.03%
Wins by 3 goals0.18%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal19.52%
Wins by 2 goals22.00%
Wins by 3 goals18.31%
Wins by 4 goals11.97%
Wins by 5 goals6.42%
Wins by 6 goals2.91%
Wins by 7 goals1.14%
Wins by 8 goals0.39%
Wins by 9 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.81%3.19%
1.585.83%14.17%
2.566.91%33.09%
3.545.18%54.82%
4.526.45%73.55%
5.513.54%86.46%
6.56.12%93.88%
7.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.545.95%54.05%
1.512.69%87.31%
2.52.46%97.54%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.11%5.89%
1.577.42%22.58%
2.553.80%46.20%
3.531.50%68.50%
4.515.72%84.28%
5.56.79%93.21%
6.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.72%20.28%
1.547.37%52.63%
2.521.55%78.45%
3.57.82%92.18%
4.52.34%97.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle United
Manchester City
Score012345
0
3.19%
9.02%
12.77%
12.05%
8.53%
4.83%
1
1.96%
5.55%
7.86%
7.41%
5.25%
2.97%
2
0.60%
1.71%
2.42%
2.28%
1.61%
0.91%
3
0.12%
0.35%
0.50%
0.47%
0.33%
0.19%
Newcastle United
1-01.96%
2-00.60%
2-11.71%
3-00.12%
3-10.35%
3-20.50%
Draw
0-03.19%
1-15.55%
2-22.42%
3-30.47%
Manchester City
0-19.02%
0-212.77%
1-27.86%
0-312.05%
1-37.41%
2-32.28%
0-48.53%
1-45.25%
2-41.61%
3-40.33%
0-54.83%
1-52.97%
2-50.91%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle United
Manchester City
Score0123456
0
20.28%
26.58%
17.42%
7.61%
2.49%
0.65%
0.14%
1
5.78%
7.57%
4.96%
2.17%
0.71%
0.19%
0.04%
2
0.82%
1.08%
0.71%
0.31%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Newcastle United
1-05.78%
2-00.82%
2-11.08%
Draw
0-020.28%
1-17.57%
2-20.71%
Manchester City
0-126.58%
0-217.42%
1-24.96%
0-37.61%
1-32.17%
2-30.31%
0-42.49%
1-40.71%
2-40.10%
0-50.65%
1-50.19%
0-60.14%