Chelsea at Newcastle United

Updated

Chelsea

62.4%20.7%16.8%
Chelsea WinDrawWin
2.03Projected Goals 0.95
1Final Score 4

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
T 4-4 vs Manchester City+375
W 4-1 at Tottenham+205
T 2-2 vs Arsenal+225
W 4-1 at Burnley-145
W 2-0 at Fulham+118
Newcastle United
Money Line
L 0-2 at Bournemouth-108
W 0-1 vs Arsenal+170
T 2-2 at Wolverhampton-122
W 0-4 vs Crystal Palace-230
T 2-2 at West Ham United+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+180+175+155+160-+160+175-
Newcastle United+158+160+165+173-+173+173-
Draw+245+250+260+252-+252+260-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+175-+157-+135+155+157-
Newcastle United+150-+165-+150+165+165-
Draw+240-+250-+230+255+255-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 50.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Newcastle United: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +173 to +165
Newcastle United ML moved from +167 to +158

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 50.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +155 to +135
Newcastle United ML moved from +177 to +165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-116o2½-130o2¾-112o2¾-105-o2¾-105o2½-130-
Underu2½+100u2½+110u2¾-108u2¾-111-u2¾-111u2¾-108-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-125o2½-130-o2½-135o2½-135o2½-125-
Underu2½+100u2½+105u2½+110-u2½+105u2½+115u2½+115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.2%
 
No46.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.10%
Exactly 222.58%
Exactly 416.67%
Exactly 64.92%
Exactly 80.78%
 
Exactly 115.17%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.93%
Exactly 72.09%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 013.15%
Exactly 126.68%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 318.30%
Exactly 49.28%
Exactly 53.76%
Exactly 61.27%
Exactly 70.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 038.74%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.42%
Exactly 35.50%
Exactly 41.30%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.20%
Exactly 223.94%
Exactly 43.79%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.73%
Exactly 311.00%
Exactly 51.04%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 039.09%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.24%
Exactly 35.40%
Exactly 41.27%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 064.47%
Exactly 128.30%
Exactly 26.21%
Exactly 30.91%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals38.26%
Wins by 3+ goals19.21%
Wins by 4+ goals7.98%
Wins by 5+ goals2.76%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals5.57%
Wins by 3+ goals1.41%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Newcastle United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal24.03%
Wins by 2 goals19.05%
Wins by 3 goals11.23%
Wins by 4 goals5.22%
Wins by 5 goals1.99%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal11.23%
Wins by 2 goals4.16%
Wins by 3 goals1.14%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.90%5.10%
1.579.73%20.27%
2.557.16%42.84%
3.534.76%65.24%
4.518.08%81.92%
5.58.16%91.84%
6.53.23%96.77%
7.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.85%13.15%
1.560.17%39.83%
2.533.10%66.90%
3.514.81%85.19%
4.55.53%94.47%
5.51.76%98.24%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.26%38.74%
1.524.52%75.48%
2.57.10%92.90%
3.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.80%25.20%
1.540.06%59.94%
2.516.13%83.87%
3.55.13%94.87%
4.51.34%98.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Newcastle United
Score01234
0
5.10%
4.83%
2.29%
0.72%
0.17%
1
10.34%
9.80%
4.65%
1.47%
0.35%
2
10.48%
9.94%
4.71%
1.49%
0.35%
3
7.09%
6.72%
3.19%
1.01%
0.24%
4
3.60%
3.41%
1.62%
0.51%
0.12%
5
1.46%
1.38%
0.66%
0.21%
0.05%
Chelsea
1-010.34%
2-010.48%
2-19.94%
3-07.09%
3-16.72%
3-23.19%
4-03.60%
4-13.41%
4-21.62%
4-30.51%
5-01.46%
5-11.38%
5-20.66%
5-30.21%
Draw
0-05.10%
1-19.80%
2-24.71%
3-31.01%
4-40.12%
Newcastle United
0-14.83%
0-22.29%
1-24.65%
0-30.72%
1-31.47%
2-31.49%
0-40.17%
1-40.35%
2-40.35%
3-40.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Newcastle United
Score0123
0
25.20%
11.06%
2.43%
0.36%
1
23.67%
10.39%
2.28%
0.33%
2
11.12%
4.88%
1.07%
0.16%
3
3.48%
1.53%
0.34%
0.05%
4
0.82%
0.36%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-023.67%
2-011.12%
2-14.88%
3-03.48%
3-11.53%
3-20.34%
4-00.82%
4-10.36%
5-00.15%
Draw
0-025.20%
1-110.39%
2-21.07%
Newcastle United
0-111.06%
0-22.43%
1-22.28%
0-30.36%
1-30.33%
2-30.16%