Manchester City at Burnley

Updated

Manchester City

76.9%15.2%7.8%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
2.42Projected Goals 0.64
3Final Score 0

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
T 1-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion-120
W 0-1 vs Chelsea-165
W 3-0 at Everton-275
W 1-2 vs Leeds United-685
W 0-3 vs West Ham United-585
Burnley
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Newcastle United+138
T 1-1 at Aston Villa+290
L 0-1 at Tottenham+850
L 3-1 vs Aston Villa+205
W 2-1 at Watford+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-335--315-315--315-315-
Burnley+860-+800+865-+865+865-
Draw+465-+460+480-+480+480-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-335--310---325-310-
Burnley+800-+675--+825+825-
Draw+465-+477--+460+477-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 20.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -305 to -315
Burnley ML moved from +845 to +835

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 20.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -299 to -310
Burnley ML moved from +750 to +675

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+106-o2¾-122o2¾-122-o2¾-122o2¾-122-
Underu3-122-u2¾+102u2¾+106-u2¾+106u2¾+106-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102o3+105o3+100-o3+100o3+110o3+110-
Underu3-122u3-125u3-120-u3-130u3-130u3-120-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.0%
 
No57.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.67%
Exactly 221.93%
Exactly 417.14%
Exactly 65.36%
Exactly 80.90%
 
Exactly 114.32%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 510.50%
Exactly 72.35%
Exactly 90.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 08.84%
Exactly 121.45%
Exactly 226.01%
Exactly 321.03%
Exactly 412.75%
Exactly 56.19%
Exactly 62.50%
Exactly 70.87%
Exactly 80.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 052.85%
Exactly 133.70%
Exactly 210.74%
Exactly 32.28%
Exactly 40.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.22%
Exactly 224.35%
Exactly 44.08%
Exactly 60.27%
 
Exactly 134.34%
Exactly 311.51%
Exactly 51.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 032.53%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 220.51%
Exactly 37.68%
Exactly 42.16%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 074.44%
Exactly 121.98%
Exactly 23.24%
Exactly 30.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals54.15%
Wins by 3+ goals31.79%
Wins by 4+ goals15.65%
Wins by 5+ goals6.54%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals1.85%
Wins by 3+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Burnley
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal22.68%
Wins by 2 goals22.36%
Wins by 3 goals16.14%
Wins by 4 goals9.11%
Wins by 5 goals4.21%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal5.96%
Wins by 2 goals1.53%
Wins by 3 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.33%4.67%
1.581.01%18.99%
2.559.08%40.92%
3.536.69%63.31%
4.519.54%80.46%
5.59.04%90.96%
6.53.68%96.32%
7.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.16%8.84%
1.569.70%30.30%
2.543.69%56.31%
3.522.66%77.34%
4.59.91%90.09%
5.53.72%96.28%
6.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.15%52.85%
1.513.44%86.56%
2.52.70%97.30%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.78%24.22%
1.541.44%58.56%
2.517.09%82.91%
3.55.58%94.42%
4.51.50%98.50%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Burnley
Score0123
0
4.67%
2.98%
0.95%
0.20%
1
11.34%
7.23%
2.30%
0.49%
2
13.75%
8.77%
2.80%
0.59%
3
11.12%
7.09%
2.26%
0.48%
4
6.74%
4.30%
1.37%
0.29%
5
3.27%
2.08%
0.66%
0.14%
Manchester City
1-011.34%
2-013.75%
2-18.77%
3-011.12%
3-17.09%
3-22.26%
4-06.74%
4-14.30%
4-21.37%
4-30.29%
5-03.27%
5-12.08%
5-20.66%
5-30.14%
Draw
0-04.67%
1-17.23%
2-22.80%
3-30.48%
Burnley
0-12.98%
0-20.95%
1-22.30%
0-30.20%
1-30.49%
2-30.59%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Burnley
Score0123
0
24.22%
7.15%
1.06%
0.10%
1
27.19%
8.03%
1.18%
0.12%
2
15.27%
4.51%
0.67%
0.07%
3
5.71%
1.69%
0.25%
0.02%
4
1.60%
0.47%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.36%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-027.19%
2-015.27%
2-14.51%
3-05.71%
3-11.69%
3-20.25%
4-01.60%
4-10.47%
5-00.36%
5-10.11%
Draw
0-024.22%
1-18.03%
2-20.67%
Burnley
0-17.15%
0-21.06%
1-21.18%
0-30.10%
1-30.12%