English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for Nov 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Crystal Palace
Newcastle United		34.2%
36.4%		29.4%
+693
-209
+700
-230
0
4		-0.41539-0.40191-1.01063
Brighton and Hove Albion
Manchester City		6.3%
80.5%		13.2%
+750
-275
+740
-267
1
2		-0.33475-0.33127-0.21698
Wolverhampton
Bournemouth		54.1%
21.0%		24.9%
+225
+136
+210
+130
2
1		-1.19972-1.16970-0.61389
Everton
Liverpool		15.4%
64.4%		20.2%
+695
-254
+710
-260
0
2		-0.35906-0.34335-0.44012
Manchester City
Arsenal		60.5%
17.6%		21.9%
+152
+203
+146
+200
0
1		-1.13538-1.13797-1.73875
Aston Villa
Wolverhampton		30.4%
43.0%		26.6%
+108
+262
+100
+255
1
1		-1.32927-1.35899-1.32463
Newcastle United
West Ham United		23.2%
52.4%		24.4%
+112
+249
+105
+244
2
2		-1.33644-1.35596-1.40940
Liverpool
Brighton and Hove Albion		67.0%
13.2%		19.8%
+110
+228
+110
+225
2
2		-1.45406-1.41964-1.62030
Bournemouth
Everton		13.7%
66.8%		19.5%
+315
-109
+305
-115
0
3		-0.67836-0.67303-0.40360
Chelsea
Burnley		60.8%
17.3%		21.9%
-143
+437
-145
+390
4
1		-0.55462-0.57552-0.49720
Chelsea
Fulham		67.4%
13.4%		19.2%
+125
+257
+118
+260
2
0		-0.82114-0.81202-0.39447
Liverpool
Tottenham		47.5%
27.3%		25.3%
+125
+198
+125
+190
1
2		-1.11850-1.10627-1.29953
Manchester City
Wolverhampton		69.0%
12.3%		18.7%
-242
+725
-265
+775
1
2		-2.13116-2.19095-2.09867
Sheffield United
West Ham United		22.2%
52.3%		25.5%
+645
-217
+600
-228
0
2		-0.40366-0.41020-0.64863
Burnley
Newcastle United		32.3%
38.8%		28.9%
+771
-260
+730
-275
0
2		-0.35435-0.35702-0.94714
Crystal Palace
Manchester United		11.2%
70.6%		18.2%
+530
-173
+485
-175
1
0		-1.86523-1.80868-2.19006
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.