English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for Nov 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Everton
Aston Villa		38.3%
34.9%		26.8%
+335
-120
+330
-115
0
4		-0.63741-0.65585-1.05168
Newcastle United
Manchester City		5.5%
82.8%		11.7%
+320
-116
+340
-125
0
1		-0.65339-0.62946-0.18843
Manchester United
Tottenham		42.8%
31.2%		26.0%
+126
+205
+130
+203
0
2		-1.14810-1.13956-1.16363
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wolverhampton		24.7%
48.7%		26.6%
-122
+315
-120
+305
4
1		-0.63248-0.63892-1.39999
Bournemouth
Liverpool		5.8%
81.9%		12.4%
+1250
-480
+1120
-500
1
3		-0.21946-0.22570-0.19981
Wolverhampton
Manchester United		16.0%
63.0%		21.0%
+1100
-380
+1025
-375
0
1		-0.26801-0.28044-0.46137
Liverpool
Chelsea		42.5%
31.2%		26.3%
+120
+212
+120
+210
1
1		-1.38226-1.36857-1.33617
Aston Villa
Newcastle United		42.4%
31.1%		26.5%
+425
-152
+410
-155
1
5		-0.53681-0.54008-1.16812
Crystal Palace
Sheffield United		34.2%
34.4%		31.4%
+120
+286
+120
+252
1
0		-0.81423-0.83374-1.07256
Fulham
Everton		15.8%
62.9%		21.3%
+235
+135
+235
+130
1
0		-1.23567-1.24026-1.84427
West Ham United
Bournemouth		53.6%
22.0%		24.4%
+163
+171
+165
+172
1
1		-1.28710-1.27054-1.41256
Manchester City
Burnley		76.9%
7.8%		15.2%
-315
+865
-310
+825
3
0		-0.31017-0.31641-0.26246
Liverpool
Southampton		61.7%
17.3%		21.0%
-200
+515
-210
+485
4
4		-1.67004-1.68854-1.56074
Fulham
Manchester United		7.8%
77.4%		14.7%
+505
-205
+495
-195
1
2		-0.43212-0.44501-0.25603
West Ham United
Leicester City		21.8%
54.6%		23.6%
+236
+107
+230
+110
1
2		-0.75362-0.77694-0.60453
Tottenham
Leeds United		54.0%
22.5%		23.4%
+142
+179
+140
+170
4
1		-0.91143-0.91799-0.61598
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.