English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for Nov 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Fulham
Aston Villa		19.6%
57.5%		22.9%
+415
-133
+380
-140
0
1		-0.58121-0.58225-0.55342
Crystal Palace
Wolverhampton		24.2%
49.0%		26.8%
+273
+135
+251
+130
0
2		-0.87256-0.86938-0.71384
West Ham United
Bournemouth		53.6%
22.0%		24.4%
+157
+202
+150
+194
4
0		-0.96247-0.96302-0.62314
Tottenham
Newcastle United		57.6%
19.9%		22.5%
+308
-105
+325
-115
1
6		-0.69203-0.65518-1.61661
Everton
Crystal Palace		44.6%
28.2%		27.2%
+338
+100
+330
+100
0
0		-1.26054-1.25635-1.30195
Wolverhampton
Leicester City		22.7%
52.5%		24.8%
+215
+147
+205
+141
1
2		-0.92483-0.92445-0.64491
Leeds United
Fulham		41.0%
30.9%		28.1%
+213
+140
+198
+150
1
2		-0.89710-0.94305-1.17600
Southampton
Arsenal		23.1%
52.9%		24.0%
+1400
-500

3
3		-2.08192-1.42883
Arsenal
West Ham United		43.1%
30.2%		26.7%
-165
+481
-165
+470
2
2		-1.48554-1.45209-1.32193
Leicester City
Manchester City		13.9%
66.6%		19.4%
+1950
-689
+2000
-825
1
3		-0.15265-0.15081-0.40596
Bournemouth
Tottenham		9.9%
73.8%		16.2%
+590
-195
+543
-200
3
2		-1.95694-1.90683-2.31001
Fulham
Everton		15.8%
62.9%		21.3%
+256
+126
+255
+119
3
1		-1.29583-1.30745-1.84427
Crystal Palace
Southampton		25.8%
48.3%		25.8%
+175
+192
+165
+187
2
0		-1.03488-1.01688-1.35472
Brighton and Hove Albion
Chelsea		14.0%
66.5%		19.5%
+150
+204
+150
+190
2
1		-0.93494-0.95787-1.96390
Newcastle United
Aston Villa		24.1%
51.5%		24.4%
+116
+264
+106
+290
0
3		-1.31509-1.39465-0.66361
Arsenal
Liverpool		19.2%
57.9%		22.9%
+154
+181
+160
+165
2
2		-1.32002-1.30970-1.47451
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.