English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for Nov 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
West Ham United
Tottenham		21.9%
55.1%		22.9%
+420
-135
+395
-139
1
3		-0.58048-0.58969-0.59553
Arsenal
Aston Villa		44.6%
29.4%		25.9%
+150
+200
+140
+200
1
0		-0.94338-0.91864-0.80694
Leeds United
Wolverhampton		24.9%
49.2%		25.9%
+252
+125
+270
+118
3
2		-1.27422-1.33116-1.39022
Newcastle United
Everton		19.7%
57.4%		22.9%
+229
+146
+218
+135
0
1		-0.91357-0.90101-0.55513
Liverpool
Arsenal		49.0%
25.4%		25.6%
+111
+272
+102
+270
2
0		-0.75963-0.73806-0.71368
Tottenham
Brighton and Hove Albion		53.6%
22.4%		24.0%
+117
+300
+115
+270
2
0		-0.77126-0.79880-0.62439
Manchester City
Crystal Palace		75.3%
8.6%		16.1%
-291
+900
-322
+900
0
0		-1.75267-1.76358-1.82853
Leicester City
Arsenal		34.1%
37.9%		27.9%
+663
-228
+685
-245
0
2		-0.38796-0.38306-0.96932
Watford
Southampton		15.9%
62.9%		21.2%
+455
-143
+435
-150
2
1		-1.72625-1.71336-1.83653
Norwich City
Leeds United		21.5%
53.2%		25.3%
+450
-155
+440
-165
1
2		-0.51565-0.52143-0.63188
Wolverhampton
Everton		29.3%
43.9%		26.7%
+259
+130
+245
+125
1
0		-1.30273-1.28786-1.22642
Aston Villa
West Ham United		31.8%
42.1%		26.1%
+201
+160
+190
+151
1
2		-0.97075-0.96551-0.86448
Newcastle United
Chelsea		12.2%
70.1%		17.7%
+742
-240
+720
-245
0
1		-0.37622-0.38747-0.35465
Tottenham
Manchester United		24.1%
52.0%		23.8%
+222
+135
+205
+132
2
3		-0.87203-0.88919-0.65314
Liverpool
Brighton and Hove Albion		67.0%
13.2%		19.8%
-205
+615
-200
+568
2
0		-0.41913-0.43200-0.40081
Everton
Tottenham		25.7%
49.9%		24.3%
+409
-133
+440
-155
0
5		-0.58282-0.54611-0.69433
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.