English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for Nov 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Brighton and Hove Albion
Manchester United		18.6%
65.1%		16.3%
+465
-155
+450
-150
1
2		-0.52618-0.55417-0.42963
Fulham
Aston Villa		25.3%
52.4%		22.3%
+210
+153
+205
+160
1
3		-0.95158-0.98500-0.64577
Tottenham
Newcastle United		52.5%
25.7%		21.8%
-145
+465
-145
+422
2
2		-1.15302-1.13402-1.00190
Burnley
Southampton		28.1%
46.9%		25.0%
+305
+105
+296
+105
2
3		-0.74627-0.76295-0.75668
Liverpool
Arsenal		45.5%
29.1%		25.3%
+145
+190
+146
+180
3
0		-0.92271-0.94076-0.78702
Manchester City
Leicester City		53.3%
24.9%		21.8%
-140
+434
-150
+415
2
0		-0.56565-0.55769-0.62974
Sheffield United
Leeds United		30.3%
41.6%		28.1%
+531
-175
+525
-182
1
2		-0.48167-0.48156-0.87628
West Bromwich Albion
Chelsea		14.0%
76.0%		10.0%
+1156
-347
+1200
-385
5
2		-2.55993-2.60167-1.96604
Tottenham
Aston Villa		44.4%
31.2%		24.5%
+140
+205
+140
+204
2
0		-0.90135-0.91113-0.37331
Arsenal
West Ham United		41.1%
32.3%		26.6%
+117
+245
+115
+245
3
3		-1.04230-1.04577-0.76007
Newcastle United
Brighton and Hove Albion		31.2%
41.1%		27.7%
+450
-132
+480
-138
0
3		-0.59589-0.58227-0.88877
Leeds United
Fulham		39.5%
32.4%		28.0%
+185
+165
+180
+155
2
1		-0.45661-0.46933-0.39193
Liverpool
Wolverhampton		53.6%
24.3%		22.1%
-155
+500
-150
+444
1
0		-0.17755-0.19445-0.37389
West Ham United
Manchester United		22.3%
59.2%		18.5%
+385
-125
+389
-125
0
1		-0.62288-0.62493-0.31978
Tottenham
Arsenal		35.1%
37.9%		27.0%
+179
+165
+180
+165
1
2		-1.00403-1.01319-0.65539
Sheffield United
Leicester City		20.6%
59.4%		20.0%
+675
-190
+626
-190
0
5		-0.44771-0.45616-0.29824
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.