English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for Dec 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Everton
Leicester City		25.5%
49.5%		24.9%
+263
+135
+282
+100
1
1		-1.23943-1.29916-1.38910
Bournemouth
Liverpool		5.8%
81.9%		12.4%
+975
-345
+970
-380
0
3		-0.27085-0.26529-0.19981
Newcastle United
Fulham		37.2%
33.7%		29.1%
+150
+187
+140
+185
1
3		-1.08477-1.09919-1.08655
Chelsea
West Ham United		51.0%
25.0%		24.0%
+100
+260
+100
+255
3
0		-0.72054-0.73054-0.67274
Newcastle United
Wolverhampton		22.2%
52.9%		24.9%
+102
+266
+100
+260
2
1		-0.73743-0.74360-1.50724
Arsenal
Tottenham		30.8%
42.8%		26.4%
+158
+176
+140
+185
1
0		-0.97891-0.91980-1.17775
Chelsea
Bournemouth		71.0%
11.5%		17.5%
+122
+208
+120
+213
1
0		-0.83179-0.82166-0.34259
Everton
Aston Villa		38.3%
34.9%		26.8%
+440
-148
+440
-145
2
3		-0.55075-0.55741-1.05168
Leicester City
Crystal Palace		53.1%
21.8%		25.0%
+440
-148
+441
-160
2
2		-1.41774-1.44477-1.38458
West Ham United
Fulham		49.3%
24.9%		25.9%
+226
+132
+214
+135
1
1		-1.25520-1.27165-1.35236
Manchester United
Southampton		57.4%
20.3%		22.2%
-122
+320
-125
+340
3
0		-0.62972-0.62008-0.55426
Liverpool
Manchester United		36.4%
35.8%		27.8%
-106
+265
-110
+260
3
0		-0.69635-0.69111-1.01079
Crystal Palace
Chelsea		13.8%
66.5%		19.7%
+415
-153
+400
-160
1
1		-1.50747-1.50544-1.62308
Tottenham
Newcastle United		57.6%
19.9%		22.5%
+165
+152
+165
+145
1
2		-0.94814-0.93718-1.61661
Manchester City
West Ham United		71.0%
11.6%		17.4%
-245
+640
-259
+640
3
1		-0.37231-0.37077-0.34231
Bournemouth
Everton		13.7%
66.8%		19.5%
+142
+202
+145
+196
3
2		-0.91742-0.93052-1.98967
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.