Aston Villa at Leeds United

Updated

Aston Villa

38.0%27.0%35.1%
Aston Villa WinDrawLeeds United Win
1.30Projected Goals 1.20
1Final Score 0

Leeds United

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Leicester City+260
T 0-0 at Brighton and Hove Albion+155
W 0-1 vs Arsenal+202
L 3-1 vs West Ham United+135
W 1-0 at Southampton+120
Leeds United
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Southampton+115
L 0-1 at Wolverhampton+220
L 2-4 at Arsenal+325
W 0-2 vs Crystal Palace-120
L 2-1 vs Everton+155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+165+248+235+240+259+260+260-
Leeds United+150+101+110+108-101+101+110-
Draw+265+278+270+290+259+290+290-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+210-+237-+180+215+237-
Leeds United+125-+102-+110+110+110-
Draw+255-+283-+240+290+290-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 60.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +240 to +230
Leeds United ML moved from +104 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 60.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +210 to +200
Leeds United ML moved from +125 to +115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3-103o3+100o3+103-o3+103o3+103-
Underu3+100u3-119u3-120u3-123-u3-123u3-119-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3+100o3-102-o3-115o3-105o3+100-
Underu3-115u3-120u3-118-u3-115u3-115u3-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.9%
 
No49.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.19%
Exactly 225.64%
Exactly 413.38%
Exactly 62.79%
Exactly 80.31%
 
Exactly 120.50%
Exactly 321.38%
Exactly 56.69%
Exactly 71.00%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 027.23%
Exactly 135.42%
Exactly 223.04%
Exactly 39.99%
Exactly 43.25%
Exactly 50.85%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 030.09%
Exactly 136.14%
Exactly 221.70%
Exactly 38.69%
Exactly 42.61%
Exactly 50.63%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.40%
Exactly 221.07%
Exactly 42.36%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 38.13%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 054.75%
Exactly 132.98%
Exactly 29.93%
Exactly 31.99%
Exactly 40.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 057.35%
Exactly 131.89%
Exactly 28.87%
Exactly 31.64%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals17.41%
Wins by 3+ goals6.08%
Wins by 4+ goals1.70%
Wins by 5+ goals0.38%
Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals14.31%
Wins by 3+ goals4.66%
Wins by 4+ goals1.21%
Wins by 5+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Leeds United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal21.46%
Wins by 2 goals11.33%
Wins by 3 goals4.38%
Wins by 4 goals1.32%
Wins by 5 goals0.32%
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal19.81%
Wins by 2 goals9.65%
Wins by 3 goals3.45%
Wins by 4 goals0.96%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.81%8.19%
1.571.31%28.69%
2.545.67%54.33%
3.524.28%75.72%
4.510.91%89.09%
5.54.22%95.78%
6.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.77%27.23%
1.537.35%62.65%
2.514.31%85.69%
3.54.32%95.68%
4.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.91%30.09%
1.533.77%66.23%
2.512.07%87.93%
3.53.39%96.61%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.60%31.40%
1.532.23%67.77%
2.511.16%88.84%
3.53.03%96.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Leeds United
Score012345
0
8.19%
9.84%
5.91%
2.37%
0.71%
0.17%
1
10.66%
12.80%
7.69%
3.08%
0.92%
0.22%
2
6.93%
8.33%
5.00%
2.00%
0.60%
0.14%
3
3.01%
3.61%
2.17%
0.87%
0.26%
0.06%
4
0.98%
1.17%
0.71%
0.28%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.25%
0.31%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
Aston Villa
1-010.66%
2-06.93%
2-18.33%
3-03.01%
3-13.61%
3-22.17%
4-00.98%
4-11.17%
4-20.71%
4-30.28%
5-00.25%
5-10.31%
5-20.18%
Draw
0-08.19%
1-112.80%
2-25.00%
3-30.87%
Leeds United
0-19.84%
0-25.91%
1-27.69%
0-32.37%
1-33.08%
2-32.00%
0-40.71%
1-40.92%
2-40.60%
3-40.26%
0-50.17%
1-50.22%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Leeds United
Score01234
0
31.40%
17.46%
4.85%
0.90%
0.13%
1
18.91%
10.52%
2.92%
0.54%
0.08%
2
5.70%
3.17%
0.88%
0.16%
0.02%
3
1.14%
0.64%
0.18%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.17%
0.10%
0.03%
0.00%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-018.91%
2-05.70%
2-13.17%
3-01.14%
3-10.64%
3-20.18%
4-00.17%
Draw
0-031.40%
1-110.52%
2-20.88%
Leeds United
0-117.46%
0-24.85%
1-22.92%
0-30.90%
1-30.54%
2-30.16%
0-40.13%