Southampton at Leeds United

Updated

Southampton

38.4%27.0%34.6%
Southampton WinDrawLeeds United Win
1.31Projected Goals 1.18
0Final Score 3

Leeds United

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Chelsea+375
L 2-1 vs Wolverhampton+145
L 2-3 at Newcastle United+125
L 0-9 at Manchester United+600
L 1-0 vs Aston Villa+220
Leeds United
Money Line
L 0-1 at Wolverhampton+220
L 2-4 at Arsenal+325
W 0-2 vs Crystal Palace-120
L 2-1 vs Everton+155
W 3-1 at Leicester City+305

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+220+232+230+235+229+235+235-
Leeds United+115+116+115+115+113+115+116-
Draw+260+251+245+270+242+270+270-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+235-+233-+200+225+233-
Leeds United+115-+110-+105+115+115-
Draw+250-+255-+220+260+260-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 60.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +233 to +226
Leeds United ML moved from +122 to +113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 60.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +210 to +201
Leeds United ML moved from +120 to +110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o2¾-116o2½-130o2¾+101-o2¾+101o2½-130-
Underu3-125u2¾-105u2½+110u2¾-121-u2¾-121u3-124-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o2½-130o3+128-o2½-125o2½-130o2½-125-
Underu3-120u2½+110u3-148-u2½-105u2½+110u3-148-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-125 to u2½+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-125 to u2½-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.6%
 
No49.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.26%
Exactly 225.69%
Exactly 413.31%
Exactly 62.76%
Exactly 80.31%
 
Exactly 120.60%
Exactly 321.35%
Exactly 56.63%
Exactly 70.98%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 026.93%
Exactly 135.33%
Exactly 223.18%
Exactly 310.14%
Exactly 43.32%
Exactly 50.87%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 030.69%
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 221.41%
Exactly 38.43%
Exactly 42.49%
Exactly 50.59%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.53%
Exactly 221.01%
Exactly 42.33%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 38.08%
Exactly 50.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 054.47%
Exactly 133.09%
Exactly 210.05%
Exactly 32.04%
Exactly 40.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 057.87%
Exactly 131.65%
Exactly 28.66%
Exactly 31.58%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals17.87%
Wins by 3+ goals6.29%
Wins by 4+ goals1.77%
Wins by 5+ goals0.40%
Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals13.82%
Wins by 3+ goals4.43%
Wins by 4+ goals1.14%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Leeds United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal21.72%
Wins by 2 goals11.58%
Wins by 3 goals4.52%
Wins by 4 goals1.38%
Wins by 5 goals0.34%
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal19.55%
Wins by 2 goals9.38%
Wins by 3 goals3.30%
Wins by 4 goals0.91%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.74%8.26%
1.571.13%28.87%
2.545.45%54.55%
3.524.10%75.90%
4.510.79%89.21%
5.54.16%95.84%
6.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.07%26.93%
1.537.74%62.26%
2.514.57%85.43%
3.54.43%95.57%
4.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.31%30.69%
1.533.06%66.94%
2.511.65%88.35%
3.53.22%96.78%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.47%31.53%
1.532.08%67.92%
2.511.08%88.92%
3.52.99%97.01%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Leeds United
Score012345
0
8.26%
9.76%
5.77%
2.27%
0.67%
0.16%
1
10.84%
12.81%
7.56%
2.98%
0.88%
0.21%
2
7.11%
8.40%
4.96%
1.95%
0.58%
0.14%
3
3.11%
3.67%
2.17%
0.85%
0.25%
0.06%
4
1.02%
1.21%
0.71%
0.28%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.27%
0.32%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
Southampton
1-010.84%
2-07.11%
2-18.40%
3-03.11%
3-13.67%
3-22.17%
4-01.02%
4-11.21%
4-20.71%
4-30.28%
5-00.27%
5-10.32%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-08.26%
1-112.81%
2-24.96%
3-30.85%
Leeds United
0-19.76%
0-25.77%
1-27.56%
0-32.27%
1-32.98%
2-31.95%
0-40.67%
1-40.88%
2-40.58%
3-40.25%
0-50.16%
1-50.21%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Leeds United
Score01234
0
31.53%
17.24%
4.71%
0.86%
0.12%
1
19.15%
10.47%
2.86%
0.52%
0.07%
2
5.82%
3.18%
0.87%
0.16%
0.02%
3
1.18%
0.64%
0.18%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.18%
0.10%
0.03%
0.00%
0.00%
Southampton
1-019.15%
2-05.82%
2-13.18%
3-01.18%
3-10.64%
3-20.18%
4-00.18%
Draw
0-031.53%
1-110.47%
2-20.87%
Leeds United
0-117.24%
0-24.71%
1-22.86%
0-30.86%
1-30.52%
2-30.16%
0-40.12%