Chelsea at Southampton

Updated

Chelsea

47.6%23.2%29.2%
Chelsea WinDrawSouthampton Win
1.79Projected Goals 1.10
1Final Score 1

Southampton

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Newcastle United-351
W 2-1 at Sheffield United-202
W 1-0 at Tottenham+105
W 0-2 vs Burnley-330
T 0-0 vs Wolverhampton-160
Southampton
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Wolverhampton+145
L 2-3 at Newcastle United+125
L 0-9 at Manchester United+600
L 1-0 vs Aston Villa+220
L 3-1 vs Arsenal+245

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-140-130-130-140-139-140-130-
Southampton+340+354+380+400+384+400+400-
Draw+245+278+275+285+267+285+285-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-140--135--165-135-135-
Southampton+380-+375-+350+355+375-
Draw+290-+274-+255+290+290-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Southampton: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Southampton: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -125 to -132
Southampton ML moved from +410 to +400

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Southampton: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -141 to -152
Southampton ML moved from +412 to +375

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-118o2½-120o2½-122-o2½-122o2½-118-
Underu2½+100u2½-104u2½+100u2½+102-u2½+102u2½+102-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-125o2½-116-o2½-125o2½-120o2½-116-
Underu2½-105u2½+105u2½-104-u2½-105u2½+100u2½+105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.5%
 
No44.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.58%
Exactly 223.24%
Exactly 416.13%
Exactly 64.48%
Exactly 80.67%
 
Exactly 116.11%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 59.31%
Exactly 71.85%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 016.69%
Exactly 129.88%
Exactly 226.75%
Exactly 315.96%
Exactly 47.14%
Exactly 52.56%
Exactly 60.76%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 033.43%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.07%
Exactly 37.33%
Exactly 42.01%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.29%
Exactly 223.46%
Exactly 43.49%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.12%
Exactly 310.45%
Exactly 50.93%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 043.65%
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 215.00%
Exactly 34.14%
Exactly 40.86%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 060.21%
Exactly 130.54%
Exactly 27.75%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals30.01%
Wins by 3+ goals13.58%
Wins by 4+ goals5.06%
Wins by 5+ goals1.57%
Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals8.63%
Wins by 3+ goals2.48%
Wins by 4+ goals0.54%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Southampton
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal23.57%
Wins by 2 goals16.43%
Wins by 3 goals8.53%
Wins by 4 goals3.49%
Wins by 5 goals1.17%
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal14.42%
Wins by 2 goals6.15%
Wins by 3 goals1.94%
Wins by 4 goals0.47%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.42%5.58%
1.578.31%21.69%
2.555.08%44.92%
3.532.72%67.28%
4.516.59%83.41%
5.57.28%92.72%
6.52.81%97.19%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.31%16.69%
1.553.42%46.58%
2.526.68%73.32%
3.510.71%89.29%
4.53.57%96.43%
5.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.57%33.43%
1.529.94%70.06%
2.59.87%90.13%
3.52.54%97.46%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.71%26.29%
1.538.59%61.41%
2.515.13%84.87%
3.54.68%95.32%
4.51.19%98.81%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Southampton
Score01234
0
5.58%
6.11%
3.35%
1.22%
0.34%
1
9.99%
10.95%
6.00%
2.19%
0.60%
2
8.94%
9.80%
5.37%
1.96%
0.54%
3
5.34%
5.85%
3.20%
1.17%
0.32%
4
2.39%
2.62%
1.43%
0.52%
0.14%
5
0.86%
0.94%
0.51%
0.19%
0.05%
Chelsea
1-09.99%
2-08.94%
2-19.80%
3-05.34%
3-15.85%
3-23.20%
4-02.39%
4-12.62%
4-21.43%
4-30.52%
5-00.86%
5-10.94%
5-20.51%
5-30.19%
Draw
0-05.58%
1-110.95%
2-25.37%
3-31.17%
4-40.14%
Southampton
0-16.11%
0-23.35%
1-26.00%
0-31.22%
1-32.19%
2-31.96%
0-40.34%
1-40.60%
2-40.54%
3-40.32%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Southampton
Score0123
0
26.29%
13.33%
3.38%
0.57%
1
21.79%
11.05%
2.80%
0.47%
2
9.03%
4.58%
1.16%
0.20%
3
2.49%
1.27%
0.32%
0.05%
4
0.52%
0.26%
0.07%
0.01%
Chelsea
1-021.79%
2-09.03%
2-14.58%
3-02.49%
3-11.27%
3-20.32%
4-00.52%
4-10.26%
Draw
0-026.29%
1-111.05%
2-21.16%
Southampton
0-113.33%
0-23.38%
1-22.80%
0-30.57%
1-30.47%
2-30.20%