Manchester City at Brighton and Hove Albion

Updated

Manchester City

75.5%15.8%8.7%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
2.40Projected Goals 0.68
4Final Score 0

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 4-2 at Crystal Palace-310
W 1-4 vs Aston Villa-450
T 0-0 vs Arsenal+105
T 1-1 at Liverpool+100
W 1-3 vs Manchester United-400
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
T 1-1 at Burnley-105
L 3-0 vs Arsenal+550
L 1-2 at Liverpool+800
L 0-3 at Fulham+175
T 1-1 vs Everton-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-215--300-277--277-277-
Brighton and Hove Albion+475-+675+700-+700+700-
Draw+400-+440+470-+470+470-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-240--297--340-320-297-
Brighton and Hove Albion+555-+665-+600+720+720-
Draw+400-+475-+375+490+490-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 20.0%
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -285 to -292
Brighton and Hove Albion ML moved from +710 to +700

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 20.0%
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -310 to -320
Brighton and Hove Albion ML moved from +715 to +665

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-108-o3¼-118o3¼-122-o3¼-122o3¼-118-
Underu3¼-112-u3¼-102u3¼+106-u3¼+106u3¼+106-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+115o3½+105o3½+100-o3-135o3½+100o3-135-
Underu3½-135u3½-125u3½-120-u3+105u3½-120u3½-120-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-120 to u3¼-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-135 to o3½+110
The Under moved from u3½-145 to u3+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.9%
 
No55.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.60%
Exactly 221.81%
Exactly 417.23%
Exactly 65.44%
Exactly 80.92%
 
Exactly 114.17%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 510.61%
Exactly 72.39%
Exactly 90.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 09.09%
Exactly 121.80%
Exactly 226.14%
Exactly 320.89%
Exactly 412.52%
Exactly 56.00%
Exactly 62.40%
Exactly 70.82%
Exactly 80.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 050.60%
Exactly 134.47%
Exactly 211.74%
Exactly 32.67%
Exactly 40.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.04%
Exactly 224.42%
Exactly 44.14%
Exactly 60.28%
 
Exactly 134.27%
Exactly 311.61%
Exactly 51.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 032.95%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 220.30%
Exactly 37.51%
Exactly 42.08%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 072.95%
Exactly 123.01%
Exactly 23.63%
Exactly 30.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals52.55%
Wins by 3+ goals30.49%
Wins by 4+ goals14.83%
Wins by 5+ goals6.12%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals2.15%
Wins by 3+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal22.86%
Wins by 2 goals22.07%
Wins by 3 goals15.66%
Wins by 4 goals8.71%
Wins by 5 goals3.97%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal6.49%
Wins by 2 goals1.77%
Wins by 3 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.40%4.60%
1.581.23%18.77%
2.559.42%40.58%
3.537.04%62.96%
4.519.82%80.18%
5.59.21%90.79%
6.53.76%96.24%
7.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.91%9.09%
1.569.10%30.90%
2.542.97%57.03%
3.522.08%77.92%
4.59.56%90.44%
5.53.55%96.45%
6.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.40%50.60%
1.514.93%85.07%
2.53.19%96.81%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.96%24.04%
1.541.69%58.31%
2.517.27%82.73%
3.55.66%94.34%
4.51.53%98.47%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score0123
0
4.60%
3.13%
1.07%
0.24%
1
11.03%
7.52%
2.56%
0.58%
2
13.22%
9.01%
3.07%
0.70%
3
10.57%
7.20%
2.45%
0.56%
4
6.34%
4.32%
1.47%
0.33%
5
3.04%
2.07%
0.70%
0.16%
Manchester City
1-011.03%
2-013.22%
2-19.01%
3-010.57%
3-17.20%
3-22.45%
4-06.34%
4-14.32%
4-21.47%
4-30.33%
5-03.04%
5-12.07%
5-20.70%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-04.60%
1-17.52%
2-23.07%
3-30.56%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-13.13%
0-21.07%
1-22.56%
0-30.24%
1-30.58%
2-30.70%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score0123
0
24.04%
7.58%
1.20%
0.13%
1
26.68%
8.42%
1.33%
0.14%
2
14.81%
4.67%
0.74%
0.08%
3
5.48%
1.73%
0.27%
0.03%
4
1.52%
0.48%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.34%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-026.68%
2-014.81%
2-14.67%
3-05.48%
3-11.73%
3-20.27%
4-01.52%
4-10.48%
5-00.34%
5-10.11%
Draw
0-024.04%
1-18.42%
2-20.74%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-17.58%
0-21.20%
1-21.33%
0-30.13%
1-30.14%