Wolverhampton at Aston Villa

Updated

Wolverhampton

35.0%27.6%37.3%
Wolverhampton WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.16Projected Goals 1.24
0Final Score 0

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Wolverhampton
Money Line
L 1-4 at Manchester City+1350
T 1-1 at Newcastle United+130
W 0-1 vs Leeds United+132
W 2-1 at Southampton+249
T 0-0 vs Leicester City+255
Aston Villa
Money Line
L 0-1 at Sheffield United+120
W 1-0 at Leeds United+237
L 2-1 vs Leicester City+260
T 0-0 at Brighton and Hove Albion+155
W 0-1 vs Arsenal+202

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Wolverhampton+211+190+195+198+194+198+198-
Aston Villa+129+156+165+163+163+163+165-
Draw+230+218+205+215+194+215+218-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Wolverhampton+205-+190-+185+190+190-
Aston Villa+140-+155-+125+160+160-
Draw+225-+217-+195+210+217-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Wolverhampton: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Wolverhampton: 50.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Wolverhampton: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Wolverhampton ML moved from +202 to +194
Aston Villa ML moved from +145 to +138

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Wolverhampton: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Wolverhampton: 50.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Wolverhampton: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Wolverhampton ML moved from +215 to +195
Aston Villa ML moved from +142 to +136

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+108o2-123o2-125o2-115-o2-115o2-115-
Underu2½-128u2+101u2+105u2-105-u2-105u2+105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110o2-125o2-120-o2½+115o2½+140o2-125-
Underu2½-130u2+105u2+100-u2½-145u2½-160u2½-145-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-128 to u2+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-150 to u2+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.07%
Exactly 226.13%
Exactly 412.54%
Exactly 62.41%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.77%
Exactly 320.90%
Exactly 56.02%
Exactly 70.83%
Exact Goals Scored - Wolverhampton
Exactly 031.30%
Exactly 136.36%
Exactly 221.12%
Exactly 38.18%
Exactly 42.37%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 028.98%
Exactly 135.89%
Exactly 222.23%
Exactly 39.18%
Exactly 42.84%
Exactly 50.70%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.92%
Exactly 220.32%
Exactly 42.09%
 
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 37.53%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Wolverhampton
Exactly 058.40%
Exactly 131.41%
Exactly 28.45%
Exactly 31.51%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 056.36%
Exactly 132.32%
Exactly 29.26%
Exactly 31.77%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Wolverhampton
Wins by 2+ goals14.13%
Wins by 3+ goals4.49%
Wins by 4+ goals1.14%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals16.51%
Wins by 3+ goals5.56%
Wins by 4+ goals1.49%
Wins by 5+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Wolverhampton
Aston Villa
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Wolverhampton
Wins by 1 goal20.17%
Wins by 2 goals9.64%
Wins by 3 goals3.35%
Wins by 4 goals0.91%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal21.50%
Wins by 2 goals10.95%
Wins by 3 goals4.06%
Wins by 4 goals1.18%
Wins by 5 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.93%9.07%
1.569.16%30.84%
2.543.03%56.97%
3.522.13%77.87%
4.59.59%90.41%
5.53.57%96.43%
6.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Wolverhampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.70%31.30%
1.532.35%67.65%
2.511.23%88.77%
3.53.05%96.95%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.02%28.98%
1.535.12%64.88%
2.512.89%87.11%
3.53.72%96.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.08%32.92%
1.530.51%69.49%
2.510.19%89.81%
3.52.66%97.34%

Score Props

Correct Score

Wolverhampton
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
9.07%
11.23%
6.96%
2.87%
0.89%
0.22%
1
10.54%
13.05%
8.08%
3.34%
1.03%
0.26%
2
6.12%
7.58%
4.69%
1.94%
0.60%
0.15%
3
2.37%
2.93%
1.82%
0.75%
0.23%
0.06%
4
0.69%
0.85%
0.53%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.16%
0.20%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Wolverhampton
1-010.54%
2-06.12%
2-17.58%
3-02.37%
3-12.93%
3-21.82%
4-00.69%
4-10.85%
4-20.53%
4-30.22%
5-00.16%
5-10.20%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-09.07%
1-113.05%
2-24.69%
3-30.75%
Aston Villa
0-111.23%
0-26.96%
1-28.08%
0-32.87%
1-33.34%
2-31.94%
0-40.89%
1-41.03%
2-40.60%
3-40.23%
0-50.22%
1-50.26%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Wolverhampton
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
32.92%
18.87%
5.41%
1.03%
0.15%
1
17.70%
10.15%
2.91%
0.56%
0.08%
2
4.76%
2.73%
0.78%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.85%
0.49%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Wolverhampton
1-017.70%
2-04.76%
2-12.73%
3-00.85%
3-10.49%
3-20.14%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-032.92%
1-110.15%
2-20.78%
Aston Villa
0-118.87%
0-25.41%
1-22.91%
0-31.03%
1-30.56%
2-30.15%
0-40.15%