Southampton at Manchester City

Updated

Southampton

8.1%14.1%77.8%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.75Projected Goals 2.65
0Final Score 4

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Everton+130
L 0-1 at Aston Villa+260
L 0-1 at Wolverhampton+240
W 1-2 vs Chelsea+420
L 1-0 vs Manchester United+310
Manchester City
Money Line
W 3-6 vs Manchester United-250
W 3-0 at Wolverhampton-315
T 1-1 at Aston Villa-320
W 2-4 vs Crystal Palace-600
T 3-3 at Newcastle United-240

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+1500+2261+1600+2200+2047+2200+2261-
Manchester City-675-831-800-900-1055-900-800-
Draw+725+998+800+1000+900+1000+1000-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+1600-+1950--+1900+1950-
Manchester City-775--960---900-900-
Draw+850-+950--+890+950-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 30.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +1700 to +1600
Manchester City ML moved from -800 to -850

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 30.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +1930 to +1900
Manchester City ML moved from -875 to -960

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¾-105o4+111o4+102o3¾-117-o3¾-117o3¾-117-
Underu3¾-115u4-126u4-122u3¾+101-u3¾+101u4-122-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-135o4+100o4+107-o4-105o4+105o4+107-
Underu3½+115u4-120u4-127-u4-125u4-125u4-120-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-135 to o4+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.0%
 
No51.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.33%
Exactly 219.27%
Exactly 418.59%
Exactly 67.17%
Exactly 81.48%
Exactly 100.19%
 
Exactly 111.33%
Exactly 321.86%
Exactly 512.65%
Exactly 73.49%
Exactly 90.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 047.26%
Exactly 135.42%
Exactly 213.27%
Exactly 33.32%
Exactly 40.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 07.05%
Exactly 118.69%
Exactly 224.79%
Exactly 321.92%
Exactly 414.54%
Exactly 57.71%
Exactly 63.41%
Exactly 71.29%
Exactly 80.43%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.70%
Exactly 225.68%
Exactly 45.31%
Exactly 60.44%
 
Exactly 132.60%
Exactly 313.48%
Exactly 51.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 070.68%
Exactly 124.53%
Exactly 24.26%
Exactly 30.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 029.28%
Exactly 135.96%
Exactly 222.09%
Exactly 39.04%
Exactly 42.78%
Exactly 50.68%
Exactly 60.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals2.10%
Wins by 3+ goals0.39%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals56.70%
Wins by 3+ goals35.01%
Wins by 4+ goals18.36%
Wins by 5+ goals8.26%
Wins by 6+ goals3.22%
Wins by 7+ goals1.09%
Wins by 8+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Manchester City
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal5.94%
Wins by 2 goals1.71%
Wins by 3 goals0.35%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal21.06%
Wins by 2 goals21.69%
Wins by 3 goals16.65%
Wins by 4 goals10.10%
Wins by 5 goals5.04%
Wins by 6 goals2.13%
Wins by 7 goals0.78%
Wins by 8 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.67%3.33%
1.585.34%14.66%
2.566.07%33.93%
3.544.21%55.79%
4.525.62%74.38%
5.512.97%87.03%
6.55.80%94.20%
7.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.74%47.26%
1.517.32%82.68%
2.54.04%95.96%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.95%7.05%
1.574.26%25.74%
2.549.47%50.53%
3.527.55%72.45%
4.513.01%86.99%
5.55.30%94.70%
6.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.30%20.70%
1.546.70%53.30%
2.521.03%78.97%
3.57.54%92.46%
4.52.23%97.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Manchester City
Score012345
0
3.33%
8.83%
11.72%
10.36%
6.87%
3.64%
1
2.50%
6.62%
8.78%
7.76%
5.15%
2.73%
2
0.94%
2.48%
3.29%
2.91%
1.93%
1.02%
3
0.23%
0.62%
0.82%
0.73%
0.48%
0.26%
Southampton
1-02.50%
2-00.94%
2-12.48%
3-00.23%
3-10.62%
3-20.82%
Draw
0-03.33%
1-16.62%
2-23.29%
3-30.73%
Manchester City
0-18.83%
0-211.72%
1-28.78%
0-310.36%
1-37.76%
2-32.91%
0-46.87%
1-45.15%
2-41.93%
3-40.48%
0-53.64%
1-52.73%
2-51.02%
3-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Manchester City
Score012345
0
20.70%
25.42%
15.61%
6.39%
1.96%
0.48%
1
7.18%
8.82%
5.42%
2.22%
0.68%
0.17%
2
1.25%
1.53%
0.94%
0.38%
0.12%
0.03%
3
0.14%
0.18%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Southampton
1-07.18%
2-01.25%
2-11.53%
3-00.14%
3-10.18%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-020.70%
1-18.82%
2-20.94%
Manchester City
0-125.42%
0-215.61%
1-25.42%
0-36.39%
1-32.22%
2-30.38%
0-41.96%
1-40.68%
2-40.12%
0-50.48%
1-50.17%