Leeds United at Aston Villa

Updated

Leeds United

30.5%24.9%44.6%
Leeds United WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.60
3Final Score 3

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Leeds United
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Newcastle United-115
W 3-2 at West Ham United+390
W 1-3 vs Burnley+100
L 4-1 vs Arsenal+500
L 0-7 at Manchester City+1850
Aston Villa
Money Line
W 1-0 at Everton+165
T 2-2 vs Manchester United+150
L 3-1 vs Chelsea+425
W 2-0 at Norwich City+110
L 0-1 at Liverpool+1200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United+280-+265+280+272+280+280+298.1
Aston Villa-110--105+102-113+102+102+107.3
Draw+280-+280+260+282+260+282+275.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United+325-+275-+285+300+300+298.1
Aston Villa-130--102--145-110-102+107.3
Draw+300-+255-+265+260+265+275.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 20.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leeds United ML moved from +290 to +280
Aston Villa ML moved from -127 to -135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 20.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 20.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leeds United ML moved from +308 to +280
Aston Villa ML moved from -125 to -131

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115-o2¾-120o2¾-115-o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-107
Underu2¾-105-u2¾+100u2¾-101-u2¾-101u2¾+100u2¾+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+115o2½-140o2½-142-o2½-145o2½-145o2½-140o2¾-107
Underu3-135u2½+120u2½+122-u2½+115u2½+125u2½+125u2¾+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-140 to u2½+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.0%
 
No47.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.80%
Exactly 224.57%
Exactly 414.80%
Exactly 63.57%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.28%
Exactly 322.02%
Exactly 57.96%
Exactly 71.37%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 033.56%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 220.01%
Exactly 37.28%
Exactly 41.99%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 020.26%
Exactly 132.34%
Exactly 225.82%
Exactly 313.74%
Exactly 45.49%
Exactly 51.75%
Exactly 60.47%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.80%
Exactly 222.31%
Exactly 42.88%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.85%
Exactly 39.26%
Exactly 50.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 060.32%
Exactly 130.49%
Exactly 27.71%
Exactly 31.30%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 047.75%
Exactly 135.30%
Exactly 213.05%
Exactly 33.22%
Exactly 40.59%

Alternate Props

Spread

Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals9.84%
Wins by 3+ goals2.86%
Wins by 4+ goals0.63%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals25.54%
Wins by 3+ goals10.60%
Wins by 4+ goals3.59%
Wins by 5+ goals1.01%
Wins by 6+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

Leeds United
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal16.07%
Wins by 2 goals6.98%
Wins by 3 goals2.23%
Wins by 4 goals0.54%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal23.50%
Wins by 2 goals14.94%
Wins by 3 goals7.01%
Wins by 4 goals2.58%
Wins by 5 goals0.78%
Wins by 6 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.20%6.80%
1.574.93%25.07%
2.550.36%49.64%
3.528.34%71.66%
4.513.54%86.46%
5.55.58%94.42%
6.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.44%33.56%
1.529.80%70.20%
2.59.80%90.20%
3.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.74%20.26%
1.547.40%52.60%
2.521.58%78.42%
3.57.84%92.16%
4.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.20%28.80%
1.535.35%64.65%
2.513.04%86.96%
3.53.78%96.22%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leeds United
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
6.80%
10.85%
8.66%
4.61%
1.84%
0.59%
1
7.42%
11.85%
9.46%
5.04%
2.01%
0.64%
2
4.05%
6.47%
5.17%
2.75%
1.10%
0.35%
3
1.47%
2.36%
1.88%
1.00%
0.40%
0.13%
4
0.40%
0.64%
0.51%
0.27%
0.11%
0.03%
Leeds United
1-07.42%
2-04.05%
2-16.47%
3-01.47%
3-12.36%
3-21.88%
4-00.40%
4-10.64%
4-20.51%
4-30.27%
Draw
0-06.80%
1-111.85%
2-25.17%
3-31.00%
4-40.11%
Aston Villa
0-110.85%
0-28.66%
1-29.46%
0-34.61%
1-35.04%
2-32.75%
0-41.84%
1-42.01%
2-41.10%
3-40.40%
0-50.59%
1-50.64%
2-50.35%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Leeds United
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
28.80%
21.29%
7.87%
1.94%
0.36%
1
14.56%
10.76%
3.98%
0.98%
0.18%
2
3.68%
2.72%
1.01%
0.25%
0.05%
3
0.62%
0.46%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
Leeds United
1-014.56%
2-03.68%
2-12.72%
3-00.62%
3-10.46%
3-20.17%
Draw
0-028.80%
1-110.76%
2-21.01%
Aston Villa
0-121.29%
0-27.87%
1-23.98%
0-31.94%
1-30.98%
2-30.25%
0-40.36%
1-40.18%