Manchester United at Aston Villa

Updated 1088 days ago

05:30 PM • Jan 15, 2022

Manchester United

52.9%21.3%25.8%

Manchester United WinDrawAston Villa Win

1.97Projected Goals 0.97

2Final Score 2

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Manchester United		Money Line
L 1-0	1/03 vs Wolverhampton	-155
W 1-3	12/30 vs Burnley	-280
T 1-1	12/27 at Newcastle United	-200
W 1-0	12/11 at Norwich City	-245
W 0-1	12/05 vs Crystal Palace	-190

Aston Villa		Money Line
L 3-1	12/26 vs Chelsea	+425
W 2-0	12/14 at Norwich City	+110
L 0-1	12/11 at Liverpool	+1200
W 1-2	12/05 vs Leicester City	+120
L 2-1	12/01 vs Manchester City	+650

Money Line Analysis

:2.2%:3.5%

	Open Line	Bookmaker	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester United	+110	-	+185	+175	+172	+175	+185	+196.3
Aston Villa	+240	-	+150	+155	+146	+155	+155	+155.5
Draw	+250	-	+235	+258	+250	+258	+258	+268.9

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester United	+125	-	+185	-	+130	+175	+185	+196.3
Aston Villa	+205	-	+140	-	+140	+150	+150	+155.5
Draw	+255	-	+250	-	+220	+250	+250	+268.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Manchester United: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Manchester United: 0.0%

Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Manchester United: 0.0%

Aston Villa: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Manchester United: 0.0%

Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Manchester United ML moved from +138 to +13001/15/2022
03:48 PM

Aston Villa ML moved from +160 to +15001/15/2022
05:28 PM

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Manchester United: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Manchester United: 0.0%

Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Manchester United: 0.0%

Aston Villa: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Manchester United: 0.0%

Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Manchester United ML moved from +140 to +13001/15/2022
04:18 PM

Aston Villa ML moved from +148 to +14001/15/2022
05:28 PM

Over/Under Analysis

	Open Line	Bookmaker	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	o2½-110	o2½-115	-	o2½-115		o2½-101
Under		-	u2½-110	u2½-105	-	u2½-105		u2½+101

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		o2½-120	o2½-113	-	o2½-130	o2½-115		o2½-101
Under		u2½+100	u2½-107	-	u2½+100	u2½-105		u2½+101

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	53.3%


No	46.7%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	5.28%
Exactly 2	22.84%
Exactly 4	16.46%
Exactly 6	4.74%
Exactly 8	0.73%


Exactly 1	15.54%
Exactly 3	22.39%
Exactly 5	9.68%
Exactly 7	1.99%
Exactly 9	0.24%

Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 0	13.87%
Exactly 1	27.40%
Exactly 2	27.06%
Exactly 3	17.82%
Exactly 4	8.80%
Exactly 5	3.48%
Exactly 6	1.14%
Exactly 7	0.32%

Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 0	38.09%
Exactly 1	36.77%
Exactly 2	17.74%
Exactly 3	5.71%
Exactly 4	1.38%
Exactly 5	0.27%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	25.63%
Exactly 2	23.75%
Exactly 4	3.67%
Exactly 6	0.23%


Exactly 1	34.89%
Exactly 3	10.78%
Exactly 5	1.00%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 0	40.07%
Exactly 1	36.65%
Exactly 2	16.76%
Exactly 3	5.11%
Exactly 4	1.17%
Exactly 5	0.21%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 0	63.96%
Exactly 1	28.59%
Exactly 2	6.39%
Exactly 3	0.95%
Exactly 4	0.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals	36.67%
Wins by 3+ goals	18.04%
Wins by 4+ goals	7.33%
Wins by 5+ goals	2.48%

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals	5.99%
Wins by 3+ goals	1.54%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester United

Aston Villa

Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal	24.10%
Wins by 2 goals	18.63%
Wins by 3 goals	10.71%
Wins by 4 goals	4.85%
Wins by 5 goals	1.80%

Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal	11.78%
Wins by 2 goals	4.45%
Wins by 3 goals	1.24%
Wins by 4 goals	0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	94.72%	5.28%
1.5	79.18%	20.82%
2.5	56.33%	43.67%
3.5	33.94%	66.06%
4.5	17.48%	82.52%
5.5	7.80%	92.20%
6.5	3.06%	96.94%
7.5	1.07%	98.93%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	86.13%	13.87%
1.5	58.72%	41.28%
2.5	31.66%	68.34%
3.5	13.84%	86.16%
4.5	5.04%	94.96%
5.5	1.57%	98.43%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	61.91%	38.09%
1.5	25.15%	74.85%
2.5	7.40%	92.60%
3.5	1.69%	98.31%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	74.37%	25.63%
1.5	39.48%	60.52%
2.5	15.73%	84.27%
3.5	4.95%	95.05%
4.5	1.28%	98.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester United

Aston Villa

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.28%	5.10%	2.46%	0.79%	0.19%
1	10.44%	10.07%	4.86%	1.56%	0.38%
2	10.31%	9.95%	4.80%	1.55%	0.37%
3	6.79%	6.55%	3.16%	1.02%	0.25%
4	3.35%	3.23%	1.56%	0.50%	0.12%
5	1.32%	1.28%	0.62%	0.20%	0.05%

Manchester United
1-0	10.44%
2-0	10.31%
2-1	9.95%
3-0	6.79%
3-1	6.55%
3-2	3.16%
4-0	3.35%
4-1	3.23%
4-2	1.56%
4-3	0.50%
5-0	1.32%
5-1	1.28%
5-2	0.62%
5-3	0.20%

Draw
0-0	5.28%
1-1	10.07%
2-2	4.80%
3-3	1.02%
4-4	0.12%

Aston Villa
0-1	5.10%
0-2	2.46%
1-2	4.86%
0-3	0.79%
1-3	1.56%
2-3	1.55%
0-4	0.19%
1-4	0.38%
2-4	0.37%
3-4	0.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester United

Aston Villa

Score	0	1	2	3
0	25.63%	11.45%	2.56%	0.38%
1	23.44%	10.48%	2.34%	0.35%
2	10.72%	4.79%	1.07%	0.16%
3	3.27%	1.46%	0.33%	0.05%
4	0.75%	0.33%	0.07%	0.01%
5	0.14%	0.06%	0.01%	0.00%

Manchester United
1-0	23.44%
2-0	10.72%
2-1	4.79%
3-0	3.27%
3-1	1.46%
3-2	0.33%
4-0	0.75%
4-1	0.33%
5-0	0.14%

Draw
0-0	25.63%
1-1	10.48%
2-2	1.07%

Aston Villa
0-1	11.45%
0-2	2.56%
1-2	2.34%
0-3	0.38%
1-3	0.35%
2-3	0.16%

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