Leicester City at Aston Villa

Updated

Leicester City

44.8%23.9%31.3%
Leicester City WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.71Projected Goals 1.19
1Final Score 2

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Leicester City
Money Line
T 2-2 at Southampton+200
W 2-4 vs Watford-135
L 3-0 vs Chelsea+385
T 1-1 at Leeds United+164
W 2-4 vs Manchester United+275
Aston Villa
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Manchester City+650
W 2-1 at Crystal Palace+235
W 0-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+148
L 0-1 at Southampton+275
L 1-3 at Arsenal+285

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leicester City+160-+225+227+227+235+235+253.7
Aston Villa+160-+125+130+120+125+125+131.0
Draw+243-+225+240+233+240+240+251.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leicester City+185-+234-+185+245+245+253.7
Aston Villa+120-+120-+120+120+120+131.0
Draw+210-+235-+210+225+235+251.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leicester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leicester City: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leicester City: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leicester City ML moved from +238 to +227
Aston Villa ML moved from +130 to +115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leicester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leicester City: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leicester City: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leicester City ML moved from +245 to +234
Aston Villa ML moved from +126 to +115

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o2½-118o2½-119-o2½-119o2½-108
Under-u2½-102u2½-101-u2½-101u2½+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-110-o2½-120o2½-110o2½-108
Underu2½-110u2½-110-u2½-110u2½-110u2½+108

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.0%
 
No43.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.50%
Exactly 223.14%
Exactly 416.22%
Exactly 64.55%
Exactly 80.68%
 
Exactly 115.96%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 59.40%
Exactly 71.88%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Leicester City
Exactly 018.14%
Exactly 130.97%
Exactly 226.43%
Exactly 315.04%
Exactly 46.42%
Exactly 52.19%
Exactly 60.62%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 030.33%
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 221.59%
Exactly 38.59%
Exactly 42.56%
Exactly 50.61%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.11%
Exactly 223.54%
Exactly 43.54%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.06%
Exactly 310.54%
Exactly 50.95%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leicester City
Exactly 045.37%
Exactly 135.86%
Exactly 214.17%
Exactly 33.73%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 057.55%
Exactly 131.80%
Exactly 28.78%
Exactly 31.62%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Leicester City
Wins by 2+ goals26.56%
Wins by 3+ goals11.51%
Wins by 4+ goals4.10%
Wins by 5+ goals1.21%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals10.74%
Wins by 3+ goals3.39%
Wins by 4+ goals0.86%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Leicester City
Aston Villa
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Leicester City
Wins by 1 goal22.81%
Wins by 2 goals15.05%
Wins by 3 goals7.41%
Wins by 4 goals2.89%
Wins by 5 goals0.92%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal15.95%
Wins by 2 goals7.35%
Wins by 3 goals2.53%
Wins by 4 goals0.69%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.50%5.50%
1.578.54%21.46%
2.555.40%44.60%
3.533.04%66.96%
4.516.82%83.18%
5.57.42%92.58%
6.52.87%97.13%

Total Goals Leicester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.86%18.14%
1.550.89%49.11%
2.524.46%75.54%
3.59.42%90.58%
4.53.00%97.00%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.67%30.33%
1.533.49%66.51%
2.511.90%88.10%
3.53.32%96.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.89%26.11%
1.538.82%61.18%
2.515.28%84.72%
3.54.75%95.25%
4.51.21%98.79%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leicester City
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
5.50%
6.57%
3.92%
1.56%
0.46%
0.11%
1
9.39%
11.21%
6.69%
2.66%
0.79%
0.19%
2
8.01%
9.56%
5.71%
2.27%
0.68%
0.16%
3
4.56%
5.44%
3.25%
1.29%
0.39%
0.09%
4
1.95%
2.32%
1.39%
0.55%
0.16%
0.04%
5
0.66%
0.79%
0.47%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
Leicester City
1-09.39%
2-08.01%
2-19.56%
3-04.56%
3-15.44%
3-23.25%
4-01.95%
4-12.32%
4-21.39%
4-30.55%
5-00.66%
5-10.79%
5-20.47%
5-30.19%
Draw
0-05.50%
1-111.21%
2-25.71%
3-31.29%
4-40.16%
Aston Villa
0-16.57%
0-23.92%
1-26.69%
0-31.56%
1-32.66%
2-32.27%
0-40.46%
1-40.79%
2-40.68%
3-40.39%
0-50.11%
1-50.19%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Leicester City
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
26.11%
14.43%
3.98%
0.73%
0.10%
1
20.64%
11.40%
3.15%
0.58%
0.08%
2
8.15%
4.50%
1.24%
0.23%
0.03%
3
2.15%
1.19%
0.33%
0.06%
0.01%
4
0.42%
0.23%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Leicester City
1-020.64%
2-08.15%
2-14.50%
3-02.15%
3-11.19%
3-20.33%
4-00.42%
4-10.23%
Draw
0-026.11%
1-111.40%
2-21.24%
Aston Villa
0-114.43%
0-23.98%
1-23.15%
0-30.73%
1-30.58%
2-30.23%
0-40.10%